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Hurricanes at Capitals
NHL

Carolina Hurricanes at Washington Capitals

FinalTV ESPN+, HULU·Capital One Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Washington Capitals beat the Carolina Hurricanes 4-0. The Capitals scored first and never trailed. The Capitals led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Martin Fehérváry's goal at 8:30 of the second period, which took the Capitals' chances from 71% to 86%. Expected goals favored the Capitals, 2.3 to 1.8; shots on goal were CAR 36, WSH 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Frederik Andersen stopped 29 of 33 (.879), 1.7 goals below expected; Vitek Vanecek stopped 36 of 36 (1.000), 1.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Vitek Vanecek (36 saves, 1.000), 2. Evgeny Kuznetsov (1 G), 3. Martin Fehérváry (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WSH
    V. Vanecek36 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    WSH
    E. Kuznetsov1 G
  3. ★★★
    WSH
    M. Fehérváry1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CARCAR06013017036
WSHWSH1821619433

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. WSH
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.08win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    18:33

2nd period

  1. WSH
    wristxG 0.08win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    8:30
  2. WSH
    slapxG 0.05win prob +7 pts
    0-3
    15:05

3rd period

  1. WSH
    slapxG 0.03
    0-4
    19:02

Penalties

CAR 12 PIM·WSH 6 PIM

1st

  • 6:51CARVincent Trocheck · High stickingdrawn by T.J. Oshie2 min
  • 12:11WSHEvgeny Kuznetsov · Hookingdrawn by Martin Necas2 min
  • 16:55CAREthan Bear · Holdingdrawn by Lars Eller2 min
  • 17:36CARBrady Skjei · High stickingdrawn by Evgeny Kuznetsov2 min

2nd

  • 1:09CARSebastian Aho · Trippingdrawn by Conor Sheary2 min
  • 13:42CARDerek Stepan · Hookingdrawn by Nick Jensen2 min
  • 15:48WSHGarnet Hathaway · Interferencedrawn by Vincent Trocheck2 min
  • 18:44WSHAlex Ovechkin · Hookingdrawn by Steven Lorentz2 min

3rd

  • 16:53CARBrady Skjei · Elbowingdrawn by Tom Wilson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WSH goalCAR goalFinal: WSH 100%

Biggest swing: Martin Fehérváry, 2nd 8:30 — WSH 71% → 86%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Backstrom · On goal · xG 0.21A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.15N. Backstrom · Missed · xG 0.14G. Hathaway · On goal · xG 0.13L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.11A. Mantha · Missed · xG 0.10T. Oshie · Missed · xG 0.10T. Oshie · On goal · xG 0.10T. Oshie · Missed · xG 0.10N. Dowd · On goal · xG 0.08J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.08E. Kuznetsov · Goal · xG 0.08M. Fehérváry · Goal · xG 0.08C. Sheary · On goal · xG 0.07N. Backstrom · On goal · xG 0.07D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.06J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.06A. Ovechkin · Goal · xG 0.05E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.05E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.05L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.04C. Sheary · On goal · xG 0.04D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.04T. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.04A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.04C. McMichael · Missed · xG 0.03T. Oshie · Missed · xG 0.03N. Jensen · On goal · xG 0.03D. Orlov · Goal · xG 0.03J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.03N. Jensen · On goal · xG 0.02N. Jensen · On goal · xG 0.01D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.01J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.01M. Fehérváry · On goal · xG 0.01L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.01A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.01N. Jensen · On goal · xG 0.01M. Fehérváry · On goal · xG 0.01D. Sprong · On goal · xG 0.00D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.00
WSH4 G · 2.3 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsWSH
1.80 G
All situations
4 G2.3
1.50 G
Even strength
2 G1.3
0.30 G
Power play
2 G1.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR40%60%WSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.81 – 2.30

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsWSH
36
Shots on goal
33
46%
Faceoffs
54%
0/3
Power play
2/6
12
Penalty minutes
6
21
Hits
18
9
Blocked shots
12
5
Giveaways
9
6
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. SlavinD000-140.06210—22:39
22B. PesceD000-120.08010—20:40
28I. ColeD000010.02120—20:21
16V. TrocheckC000030.102025619:23
76B. SkjeiD000-120.04104—18:33
25E. BearD000-110.06112—17:29
20S. AhoC000-120.090021417:12
86T. TeravainenC000-120.2010010017:09
88M. NecasC000020.08100016:56
37A. SvechnikovR000-110.06210—15:07
11J. StaalC000020.064004214:58
64J. ChatfieldD000-120.06320—14:31
82J. KotkaniemiC000020.25000014:04
71J. FastR000-100.00200—12:52
21N. NiederreiterR000030.1800010012:49
48J. MartinookL000010.06100—11:43
18D. StepanC000-130.210126711:19
78S. LorentzC000030.21000011:14
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31F. Andersen(L)33294.8792.32-1.6860:00

Season series

WSH leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).