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Capitals at Hurricanes
NHL

Washington Capitals at Carolina Hurricanes

NHL scoreboard
Washington Capitals
▸4
Carolina Hurricanes
2
FinalTV NBCSWA, BSSO·PNC Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Washington Capitals beat the Carolina Hurricanes 4-2. The Capitals scored first and never trailed. The Capitals led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Dmitry Orlov's goal at 17:05 of the third period, which took the Capitals' chances from 51% to 91%. Expected goals favored the Capitals, 3.8 to 3.0; shots on goal were WSH 25, CAR 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Ilya Samsonov stopped 30 of 32 (.938), 1.0 goals saved above expected; Frederik Andersen stopped 21 of 24 (.875), 0.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Dmitry Orlov (1 G, 1 A), 2. Jesperi Kotkaniemi (1 G), 3. Ilya Samsonov (30 saves, .938).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WSH
    D. Orlov1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    CAR
    J. Kotkaniemi1 G
  3. ★★★
    WSH
    I. Samsonov30 saves, .938

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WSHWSH0721127425
CARCAR01009213232

Scoring

6 goals

2nd period

  1. WSH
    A. Ovechkin(19)
    D. Orlov (8), T. Wilson (13)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +20 pts
    1-0
    11:58
  2. WSH
    A. Protas(1)
    J. Carlson (16)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +18 pts
    2-0
    12:57

3rd period

  1. CAR
    J. Kotkaniemi(5)
    J. Martinook (5)
    snapxG 0.22win prob +16 pts
    2-1
    6:22
  2. CAR
    N. Niederreiter(4)
    M. Necas (8), B. Pesce (6)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +34 pts
    2-2
    13:32
  3. WSH
    D. Orlov(4)PPG
    T. Wilson (14), J. Carlson (17)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +40 pts
    3-2
    17:05
  4. WSH
    J. Carlson(5)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.54win prob +7 pts
    4-2
    18:19

Penalties

WSH 8 PIM·CAR 12 PIM

1st

  • 8:38WSHEvgeny Kuznetsov · Trippingdrawn by Jordan Staal2 min
  • 13:49WSHLars Eller · Interferencedrawn by Vincent Trocheck2 min

2nd

  • 0:40CARTeuvo Teravainen · Hookingdrawn by Martin Fehérváry2 min
  • 17:09CARBrady Skjei · Interferencedrawn by Evgeny Kuznetsov2 min
  • 18:19WSHTom Wilson · Slashingdrawn by Frederik Andersen2 min
  • 18:19CARBrendan Smith · Roughingdrawn by Tom Wilson2 min

3rd

  • 0:46CARBrady Skjei · Holdingdrawn by Aliaksei Protas2 min
  • 11:30WSHMartin Fehérváry · Hookingdrawn by Sebastian Aho2 min
  • 15:00CARSeth Jarvis · Holdingdrawn by Nick Jensen2 min
  • 15:30CARSebastian Aho · Slashingdrawn by Aliaksei Protas2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalWSH goalFinal: CAR 0%

Biggest swing: Dmitry Orlov, 3rd 17:05 — WSH 51% → 91%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Fast · On goal · xG 0.22J. Kotkaniemi · Goal · xG 0.22J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.18T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.16N. Niederreiter · Goal · xG 0.15S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.13N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.13J. Fast · On goal · xG 0.13B. Skjei · Missed · xG 0.10B. Smith · On goal · xG 0.10A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.09S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.09J. Fast · Missed · xG 0.08T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.08J. Fast · On goal · xG 0.07V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.07A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.07S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.06J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.06J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.06S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.06M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.06B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.06J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.05J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.05T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.05J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.04V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.04A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.03M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.03A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.03A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.03J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.02T. Teravainen · Missed · xG 0.02B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.02J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.02J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.02T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.02I. Cole · On goal · xG 0.02T. DeAngelo · Missed · xG 0.01T. DeAngelo · Missed · xG 0.01B. Smith · On goal · xG 0.01J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.01S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.01A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.01A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.01J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.01S. Lorentz · Missed · xG 0.01J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.00B. Smith · On goal · xG 0.00M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.00
CAR2 G · 3.0 xG · 51 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WSHvsCAR
3.83 G
All situations
2 G3.0
1.72 G
Even strength
2 G2.6
0.61 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WSH39%61%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.37 – 2.98

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WSHvsCAR
25
Shots on goal
32
45%
Faceoffs
55%
1/5
Power play
0/3
8
Penalty minutes
12
30
Hits
23
13
Blocked shots
14
7
Giveaways
14
7
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Washington Capitals skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. CarlsonD123+220.63110—26:54
8A. OvechkinL101+141.01100—23:32
92E. KuznetsovC000020.150223323:27
9D. OrlovD112+210.13100—21:02
3N. JensenD000010.16600—19:39
42M. FehérváryD000000.00222—19:24
43T. WilsonR022+110.65422—18:19
59A. ProtasL101040.33100—17:27
62C. HagelinL000010.150005015:52
20L. EllerC000000.002125315:48
57T. van RiemsdykD000-210.01010—15:43
21G. HathawayR000+130.1421010014:56
26N. DowdC000+130.182104714:46
38D. CholowskiD000-100.00100—13:37
24C. McMichaelL000020.15100—10:00
23M. SgarbossaC000000.001005009:43
47B. MalenstynL000000.145205008:00
49B. LeasonR000000.0000010005:51
Washington Capitals goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30I. Samsonov(W)32302.9383.02+1.0260:00

Season series

WSH leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).