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Hurricanes at Capitals
NHL

Carolina Hurricanes at Washington Capitals

NHL scoreboard
Carolina Hurricanes
▸6
Washington Capitals
1
FinalTV NHLN, NBCSWA·Capital One Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Washington Capitals 6-1. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. The Hurricanes led 5-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Sebastian Aho's goal at 8:35 of the second period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 63% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 3.2 to 2.5; shots on goal were CAR 29, WSH 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Frederik Andersen stopped 25 of 26 (.962), 1.5 goals saved above expected; Vitek Vanecek stopped 18 of 23 (.783), 2.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Martin Necas (2 G, 1 A), 2. Frederik Andersen (25 saves, .962), 3. Sebastian Aho (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    M. Necas2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    CAR
    F. Andersen25 saves, .962
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    S. Aho1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CARCAR21031316629
WSHWSH0511506126

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    D. Stepan(8)
    J. Kotkaniemi (15), M. Domi (24)
    slapxG 0.34win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    2:41
  2. CAR
    M. Necas(12)
    V. Trocheck (27), A. Svechnikov (33)
    snapxG 0.37win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    7:47

2nd period

  1. WSH
    T. Wilson(21)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.18win prob +15 pts
    2-1
    6:47
  2. CAR
    S. Aho(29)SHG
    T. Teravainen (36), I. Cole (15)
    wristxG 0.38win prob +19 pts
    3-1
    8:35
  3. CAR
    B. Pesce(7)
    T. Teravainen (37), B. Skjei (21)
    snapxG 0.20win prob +9 pts
    4-1
    10:38
  4. CAR
    M. Necas(13)
    M. Domi (25), J. Slavin (31)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +4 pts
    5-1
    15:39

3rd period

  1. CAR
    B. Skjei(8)
    M. Necas (22), V. Trocheck (28)
    slapxG 0.01
    6-1
    9:57

Penalties

CAR 15 PIM·WSH 15 PIM

1st

  • 13:51CARBrendan Smith · Cross checkingdrawn by T.J. Oshie2 min
  • 14:38WSHT.J. Oshie · Slashingdrawn by Jordan Staal2 min

2nd

  • 4:41CARMartin Necas · Elbowingdrawn by John Carlson2 min
  • 6:51CARMax Domi · Cross checkingdrawn by Garnet Hathaway2 min
  • 9:56WSHConnor McMichael · Roughing removing opponents helmetdrawn by Vincent Trocheck2 min
  • 9:56CARBrendan Smith · Cross checkingdrawn by Nick Jensen2 min
  • 10:42WSHAlex Ovechkin · Trippingdrawn by Tony DeAngelo2 min

3rd

  • 1:00CARBrady Skjei · Trippingdrawn by Garnet Hathaway2 min
  • 3:36WSHTom Wilson · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Brendan Smith2 min
  • 9:19WSHTom Wilson · Fightingdrawn by Brendan Smith5 min
  • 9:19CARBrendan Smith · Fightingdrawn by Tom Wilson5 min
  • 19:58WSHLars Eller · Chargingdrawn by Jesperi Kotkaniemi2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WSH goalCAR goalFinal: WSH 0%

Biggest swing: Sebastian Aho, 2nd 8:35 — CAR 63% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Sheary · On goal · xG 0.29A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.21T. Wilson · Goal · xG 0.18A. Jonsson-Fjallby · On goal · xG 0.17G. Hathaway · On goal · xG 0.12N. Backstrom · On goal · xG 0.11N. Backstrom · On goal · xG 0.11A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.10A. Jonsson-Fjallby · On goal · xG 0.09M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.09D. Orlov · Missed · xG 0.08E. Kuznetsov · Missed · xG 0.08A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.07T. Wilson · Missed · xG 0.07A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.07N. Jensen · On goal · xG 0.06A. Jonsson-Fjallby · On goal · xG 0.06A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.05T. Wilson · Missed · xG 0.05A. Jonsson-Fjallby · On goal · xG 0.05A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.04M. Kempny · Missed · xG 0.04A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.04A. Jonsson-Fjallby · On goal · xG 0.03A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.03C. McMichael · On goal · xG 0.03A. Jonsson-Fjallby · Missed · xG 0.03D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.02A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.02E. Kuznetsov · Missed · xG 0.02A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.02A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.01D. Orlov · Missed · xG 0.01L. Eller · Missed · xG 0.01J. Schultz · Missed · xG 0.01A. Jonsson-Fjallby · Missed · xG 0.01M. Fehérváry · On goal · xG 0.01N. Jensen · On goal · xG 0.01M. Kempny · On goal · xG 0.01
WSH1 G · 2.5 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsWSH
3.26 G
All situations
1 G2.5
2.65 G
Even strength
1 G1.7
0.20 G
Power play
0 G0.7
0.41 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR63%37%WSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.15 – 2.45

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsWSH
29
Shots on goal
26
61%
Faceoffs
39%
0/4
Power play
0/4
15
Penalty minutes
15
26
Hits
45
8
Blocked shots
10
8
Giveaways
8
8
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. SlavinD011+300.01010—22:31
77T. DeAngeloD000+220.08420—21:03
22B. PesceD101+240.35110—20:38
28I. ColeD011+120.07330—19:45
16V. TrocheckC022+120.133005518:45
76B. SkjeiD112+220.05312—18:28
11J. StaalC000020.160007516:33
88M. NecasC213+240.60102015:58
21N. NiederreiterR000010.03100—15:56
37A. SvechnikovR011+210.08200—15:38
71J. FastR000000.00000—15:29
20S. AhoC101+220.491004314:33
82J. KotkaniemiC011+220.440006713:20
7B. SmithD000000.00109—13:15
18D. StepanC101020.470006012:52
86T. TeravainenC022+210.07000012:44
13M. DomiC022+210.0400210011:45
24S. JarvisR000010.136005010:47
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31F. Andersen(W)26251.9622.51+1.5160:00

Season series

WSH leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).