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Los Angeles Kings at Detroit Red Wings

FinalTV BSDET, BSW·Little Caesars Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Los Angeles Kings beat the Detroit Red Wings 5-3. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Kings led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tyler Bertuzzi's goal at 8:39 of the third period, which took the Red Wings' chances from 22% to 52%. Expected goals favored the Kings, 4.8 to 2.3; shots on goal were LAK 45, DET 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kings win a replay of these chances 77% of the time. Jonathan Quick stopped 22 of 25 (.880), 0.7 goals below expected; Alex Nedeljkovic stopped 40 of 43 (.930), 1.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Phillip Danault (2 G), 2. Alex Nedeljkovic (40 saves, .930), 3. Viktor Arvidsson (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    LAK
    P. Danault2 G
  2. ★★
    DET
    A. Nedeljkovic40 saves, .930
  3. ★★★
    LAK
    V. Arvidsson1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
LAKLAK013222310545
DETDET1508212325

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. DET
    wristxG 0.06win prob +14 pts
    0-1
    17:05

2nd period

  1. LAK
    backhandxG 0.24win prob +19 pts
    1-1
    12:47
  2. LAK
    backhandxG 0.81win prob +23 pts
    2-1
    18:11

3rd period

  1. DET
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +30 pts
    2-2
    8:39
  2. LAK
    snapxG 0.19win prob +23 pts
    3-2
    12:12
  3. LAK
    wristxG 0.43win prob +5 pts
    4-2
    18:33
  4. DET
    snapxG 0.06win prob +2 pts
    4-3
    19:13
  5. LAK
    A. Kempe(19)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.44win prob +2 pts
    5-3
    19:50

Penalties

LAK 14 PIM·DET 16 PIM

1st

  • 12:15DETAdam Erne · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

2nd

  • 3:09LAKQuinton Byfield · Holdingdrawn by Filip Zadina2 min
  • 7:19DETMoritz Seider · Hookingdrawn by Anze Kopitar2 min
  • 11:53LAKSean Durzi · Fightingdrawn by Robby Fabbri5 min
  • 11:53LAKBrendan Lemieux · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Tyler Bertuzzi2 min
  • 11:53DETRobby Fabbri · Fightingdrawn by Sean Durzi5 min
  • 11:53DETTyler Bertuzzi · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Brendan Lemieux2 min

3rd

  • 10:26LAKBrendan Lemieux · Fightingdrawn by Gemel Smith5 min
  • 10:26DETGemel Smith · Fightingdrawn by Brendan Lemieux5 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DET goalLAK goalFinal: DET 0%

Biggest swing: Tyler Bertuzzi, 3rd 8:39 — DET 22% → 52%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Erne · On goal · xG 0.26L. Raymond · On goal · xG 0.23F. Zadina · On goal · xG 0.16D. Larkin · Missed · xG 0.15M. Staal · On goal · xG 0.15L. Raymond · On goal · xG 0.13T. Bertuzzi · Goal · xG 0.11R. Fabbri · Missed · xG 0.10M. Rasmussen · Missed · xG 0.09L. Raymond · On goal · xG 0.09L. Raymond · On goal · xG 0.09R. Fabbri · Missed · xG 0.08M. Rasmussen · On goal · xG 0.07M. Rasmussen · Goal · xG 0.06J. Veleno · Goal · xG 0.06M. Rasmussen · Missed · xG 0.06S. Gagner · On goal · xG 0.05T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.05P. Suter · On goal · xG 0.03J. Oesterle · Missed · xG 0.03M. Staal · On goal · xG 0.03F. Hronek · On goal · xG 0.03R. Fabbri · On goal · xG 0.03D. Larkin · Missed · xG 0.03J. Oesterle · On goal · xG 0.03G. Lindstrom · Missed · xG 0.02A. Erne · On goal · xG 0.02M. Staal · On goal · xG 0.01M. Seider · On goal · xG 0.01D. DeKeyser · On goal · xG 0.01M. Staal · Missed · xG 0.01F. Zadina · On goal · xG 0.00G. Lindstrom · On goal · xG 0.00T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.00
DET3 G · 2.3 xG · 34 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

LAKvsDET
4.83 G
All situations
3 G2.3
3.73 G
Even strength
3 G2.0
0.20 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
LAK77%23%DET

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.93 – 2.25

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

LAKvsDET
45
Shots on goal
25
54%
Faceoffs
46%
0/2
Power play
0/1
14
Penalty minutes
16
6
Hits
23
9
Blocked shots
8
6
Giveaways
2
6
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Los Angeles Kings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8D. DoughtyD011+140.15020—27:58
11A. KopitarC011+150.401007319:29
6O. MaattaD000+320.04010—19:25
57J. MoverareD000010.01000—18:45
33V. ArvidssonL112+270.7501010018:43
19A. IafalloL000+100.00000—18:21
50S. DurziD000-100.17225—18:01
12T. MooreL022+250.66010—17:57
24P. DanaultC202+150.700005017:53
9A. KempeR101020.53000—17:52
71A. StrandD022+240.05100—15:47
7T. BjornfotD000-110.02110—15:20
22A. AthanasiouC000-220.1600010014:25
23D. BrownR000-100.04000—13:00
46B. LizotteC011+100.000004412:22
34A. KaliyevR101+140.98000—11:15
55Q. ByfieldR000-110.090123010:57
48B. LemieuxL000+120.07107—10:30
Los Angeles Kings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32J. Quick(W)25223.8802.30-0.7060:00

Season series

LAK leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).