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Detroit Red Wings at Los Angeles Kings

FinalTV BSDET, BSW·Crypto.com Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Los Angeles Kings beat the Detroit Red Wings 4-0. The Kings scored first and never trailed. The Kings led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Drew Doughty's goal at 9:06 of the first period, which took the Kings' chances from 66% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Kings, 5.1 to 2.4; shots on goal were DET 21, LAK 42. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kings win a replay of these chances 70% of the time. Alex Nedeljkovic stopped 38 of 41 (.927), 0.7 goals saved above expected; Cal Petersen stopped 21 of 21 (1.000), 2.4 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Drew Doughty (1 G), 2. Dustin Brown (2 A), 3. Cal Petersen (21 saves, 1.000).

Three stars

  1. ★
    LAK
    D. Doughty1 G
  2. ★★
    LAK
    D. Brown2 A
  3. ★★★
    LAK
    C. Petersen21 saves, 1.000

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DETDET0201009021
LAKLAK2271817442

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. LAK
    wristxG 0.25win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    6:27
  2. LAK
    slapxG 0.02win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    9:06

2nd period

  1. LAK
    A. Kempe(15)SHG
    M. Roy (13), B. Lizotte (6)
    snapxG 0.18win prob +8 pts
    0-3
    16:23

3rd period

  1. LAK
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.88
    0-4
    17:29

Penalties

DET 11 PIM·LAK 9 PIM

1st

  • 4:23DETJoseph Veleno · Trippingdrawn by Blake Lizotte2 min
  • 9:12DETDylan Larkin · Fightingdrawn by Phillip Danault5 min
  • 9:12LAKPhillip Danault · Fightingdrawn by Dylan Larkin5 min
  • 9:12DETDylan Larkin · Cross checkingdrawn by Phillip Danault2 min

2nd

  • 4:05LAKMikey Anderson · Interferencedrawn by Tyler Bertuzzi2 min
  • 14:41LAKDrew Doughty · Interferencedrawn by Pius Suter2 min

3rd

  • 3:18DETNick Leddy · Holdingdrawn by Dustin Brown2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
LAK goalDET goalFinal: LAK 100%

Biggest swing: Drew Doughty, 1st 9:06 — LAK 66% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Moore · Goal · xG 0.88T. Moore · Missed · xG 0.44A. Kaliyev · On goal · xG 0.36A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.36P. Danault · Goal · xG 0.25A. Kempe · Goal · xG 0.18T. Moore · On goal · xG 0.14L. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.14B. Lemieux · On goal · xG 0.13S. Durzi · Missed · xG 0.13A. Kaliyev · On goal · xG 0.12B. Lizotte · On goal · xG 0.12A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.11P. Danault · Missed · xG 0.10A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.10B. Lemieux · On goal · xG 0.10B. Lemieux · Missed · xG 0.09B. Lemieux · On goal · xG 0.09T. Moore · On goal · xG 0.07P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.07L. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.07A. Kempe · Missed · xG 0.07T. Moore · Missed · xG 0.07A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.06V. Arvidsson · Missed · xG 0.06A. Kaliyev · On goal · xG 0.06M. Frk · On goal · xG 0.05A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.05M. Frk · Missed · xG 0.04V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.04B. Lizotte · Missed · xG 0.04T. Moore · On goal · xG 0.04P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.03A. Kaliyev · On goal · xG 0.03D. Doughty · Missed · xG 0.03P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.03A. Kaliyev · Missed · xG 0.03M. Roy · On goal · xG 0.03V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.03V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.03A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.02D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.02D. Doughty · Goal · xG 0.02M. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.02B. Lemieux · On goal · xG 0.01V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.01M. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.01S. Durzi · On goal · xG 0.01D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.01L. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.01O. Maatta · On goal · xG 0.01S. Durzi · Missed · xG 0.01D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.00D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.00
LAK4 G · 5.1 xG · 54 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DETvsLAK
2.40 G
All situations
3 G5.1
1.20 G
Even strength
2 G3.0
1.00 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.20 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DET30%70%LAK

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.40 – 3.58

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DETvsLAK
21
Shots on goal
42
45%
Faceoffs
55%
0/2
Power play
0/3
11
Penalty minutes
9
27
Hits
18
16
Blocked shots
16
7
Giveaways
14
4
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Detroit Red Wings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2N. LeddyD000-200.00112—22:49
53M. SeiderD000-110.08120—22:11
17F. HronekD000-220.11010—22:07
23L. RaymondL000-110.22100—19:54
59T. BertuzziL000-120.49100—19:42
71D. LarkinC000-120.076174318:33
24P. SuterC000040.710004717:47
14R. FabbriC000-230.44500017:29
65D. DeKeyserD000-100.00020—17:26
28G. LindstromD000-100.00340—17:05
27M. RasmussenC000-210.001103317:01
73A. ErneL000-100.00120—14:31
18M. StaalD000000.00100—14:31
92V. NamestnikovC000-110.18120013:54
89S. GagnerC000-130.060005711:50
11F. ZadinaR000-200.00000—10:39
90J. VelenoC000-110.062023810:39
48G. SmithR000-100.00300—08:19
Detroit Red Wings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39A. Nedeljkovic(L)41383.9273.74+0.7457:33

Season series

LAK leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).