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St. Louis Blues at Montréal Canadiens

Final/OTTV BSMW, TSN2·Centre Bell

Recap

written from the game data

The Montréal Canadiens beat the St. Louis Blues 3-2 in overtime, Cole Caufield scoring at 2:22. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Cole Caufield's goal at 19:50 of the third period, which took the Canadiens' chances from 3% to 51%. Expected goals were close — STL 2.4, MTL 2.3; shots on goal were STL 27, MTL 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Ville Husso stopped 27 of 30 (.900), 0.7 goals below expected; Samuel Montembeault stopped 25 of 27 (.926). Three stars: 1. Cole Caufield (2 G), 2. Paul Byron (1 G), 3. Samuel Montembeault (25 saves, .926).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MTL
    C. Caufield2 G
  2. ★★
    MTL
    P. Byron1 G
  3. ★★★
    MTL
    S. Montembeault25 saves, .926

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
STLSTL190411400227
MTLMTL111091911330

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. MTL
    wristxG 0.16win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    7:13
  2. STL
    R. Thomas(7)SHG
    wristxG 0.14win prob +15 pts
    1-1
    18:26

3rd period

  1. STL
    slapxG 0.04win prob +48 pts
    2-1
    18:41
  2. MTL
    wristxG 0.08win prob +49 pts
    2-2
    19:50

Overtime

  1. MTL
    wristxG 0.31win prob +49 pts
    2-3
    2:22

Penalties

STL 14 PIM·MTL 10 PIM

1st

  • 4:41STLRobert Bortuzzo · Interferencedrawn by Brendan Gallagher2 min
  • 10:20MTLJosh Anderson · Roughingdrawn by Klim Kostin2 min
  • 10:20STLKlim Kostin · Interferencedrawn by Josh Anderson2 min
  • 16:44STLRobert Bortuzzo · Trippingdrawn by Artturi Lehkonen2 min

2nd

  • 5:52MTLCorey Schueneman · Holding the stickdrawn by Pavel Buchnevich2 min
  • 7:17STLRyan O'Reilly · Trippingdrawn by Nick Suzuki2 min
  • 10:49STLJustin Faulk · Cross checkingdrawn by Laurent Dauphin2 min

3rd

  • 8:06STLNiko Mikkola · High stickingdrawn by Cole Caufield2 min
  • 12:23MTLJeff Petry · Holdingdrawn by Ryan O'Reilly2 min
  • 13:28MTLJake Evans · Roughingdrawn by Pavel Buchnevich2 min
  • 13:28STLPavel Buchnevich · Roughingdrawn by Jake Evans2 min
  • 14:25MTLAlexander Romanov · Holdingdrawn by David Perron2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MTL goalSTL goalFinal: MTL 100%

Biggest swing: Cole Caufield, 3rd 19:50 — MTL 3% → 51%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Caufield · Goal · xG 0.31L. Dauphin · On goal · xG 0.18M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.18A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.17P. Byron · Goal · xG 0.16J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.14N. Suzuki · Missed · xG 0.11B. Gallagher · Missed · xG 0.09N. Suzuki · Missed · xG 0.09C. Caufield · Goal · xG 0.08B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.06L. Dauphin · On goal · xG 0.05J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.05J. Evans · Missed · xG 0.04R. Poehling · On goal · xG 0.04A. Romanov · On goal · xG 0.04A. Romanov · On goal · xG 0.04B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.03L. Dauphin · On goal · xG 0.03J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.03M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.03C. Schueneman · Missed · xG 0.03M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.03A. Romanov · Missed · xG 0.03M. Hoffman · Missed · xG 0.03J. Anderson · Missed · xG 0.03N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.02J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.02J. Petry · Missed · xG 0.02A. Lehkonen · Missed · xG 0.02J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.02J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.02R. Poehling · Missed · xG 0.01M. Hoffman · Missed · xG 0.01B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.01J. Evans · On goal · xG 0.01C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.01J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.01C. Schueneman · On goal · xG 0.01A. Romanov · On goal · xG 0.01C. Wideman · Missed · xG 0.00J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.00J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.00
MTL3 G · 2.3 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsMTL
2.42 G
All situations
3 G2.3
1.71 G
Even strength
3 G1.6
0.60 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.11 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL53%47%MTL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.43 – 2.29

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsMTL
27
Shots on goal
30
46%
Faceoffs
54%
0/3
Power play
0/5
14
Penalty minutes
10
25
Hits
13
21
Blocked shots
10
13
Giveaways
10
6
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
72J. FaulkD011020.09832—26:54
55C. ParaykoD000+120.03240—24:32
47T. KrugD000020.07340—24:31
77N. MikkolaD000020.04242—20:07
18R. ThomasC101+151.020005219:35
90R. O'ReillyC000020.240024819:15
91V. TarasenkoR011-130.41110—18:58
25J. KyrouR000-210.04010—18:44
10B. SchennC000-200.003104317:19
89P. BuchnevichL112+220.11102—16:10
20B. SaadL000000.00000—15:53
57D. PerronL000030.24100—15:11
49I. BarbashevL000000.00000—14:19
70O. SundqvistC000-100.0010010011:32
41R. BortuzzoD000-100.00114—11:02
46J. WalmanD000-120.06020—10:35
37K. KostinC000010.08102005:43
54D. JoshuaC000000.001005005:18
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35V. Husso(O)30273.9002.30-0.7061:50

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).