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Montréal Canadiens at St. Louis Blues

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Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Montréal Canadiens 4-1. The Blues scored first and never trailed. The Blues led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Dakota Joshua's goal at 8:52 of the second period, which took the Blues' chances from 71% to 86%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 3.3 to 1.8; shots on goal were MTL 23, STL 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 76% of the time. Jake Allen stopped 33 of 37 (.892), 0.7 goals below expected; Charlie Lindgren stopped 22 of 23 (.957), 0.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Charlie Lindgren (22 saves, .957), 2. Torey Krug (1 G), 3. Dakota Joshua (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    C. Lindgren22 saves, .957
  2. ★★
    STL
    T. Krug1 G
  3. ★★★
    STL
    D. Joshua1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MTLMTL0606111123
STLSTL112211114437

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    wristxG 0.10win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    1:03

2nd period

  1. STL
    L. Brown (2), M. Peca (1)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +16 pts
    0-2
    8:52
  2. STL
    snapxG 0.21win prob +6 pts
    0-3
    15:20

3rd period

  1. MTL
    wristxG 0.13win prob +6 pts
    1-3
    1:57
  2. STL
    T. Krug(4)PPG
    slapxG 0.04win prob +3 pts
    1-4
    10:16

Penalties

MTL 6 PIM·STL 2 PIM

2nd

  • 1:51MTLCole Caufield · Slashingdrawn by Nathan Walker2 min
  • 14:28MTLMichael Pezzetta · Holdingdrawn by Vladimir Tarasenko2 min

3rd

  • 5:19STLTorey Krug · Interferencedrawn by Mike Hoffman2 min
  • 8:51MTLMike Hoffman · Hookingdrawn by Dakota Joshua2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalMTL goalFinal: STL 100%

Biggest swing: Dakota Joshua, 2nd 8:52 — STL 71% → 86%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Joshua · On goal · xG 0.30I. Barbashev · Goal · xG 0.21V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.16N. Walker · On goal · xG 0.16J. Kyrou · Missed · xG 0.15V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.13O. Sundqvist · On goal · xG 0.12R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.12J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.11B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.10D. Joshua · Goal · xG 0.10P. Buchnevich · Goal · xG 0.10P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.09D. Joshua · On goal · xG 0.09L. Brown · On goal · xG 0.09N. Walker · On goal · xG 0.09C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.09J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.09M. Peca · On goal · xG 0.08B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.08V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.07P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.06N. Walker · On goal · xG 0.06J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.06P. Buchnevich · Missed · xG 0.06O. Sundqvist · Missed · xG 0.06L. Brown · On goal · xG 0.06I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.05S. Perunovich · On goal · xG 0.04I. Barbashev · Missed · xG 0.04P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.04T. Krug · Goal · xG 0.04C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.03I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.03R. Bortuzzo · On goal · xG 0.03M. Scandella · Missed · xG 0.03M. Peca · On goal · xG 0.02I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.02M. Scandella · On goal · xG 0.02C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.02J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.00N. Mikkola · On goal · xG 0.00
STL4 G · 3.3 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MTLvsSTL
1.81 G
All situations
4 G3.3
1.51 G
Even strength
2 G2.7
0.30 G
Power play
2 G0.7

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 79 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MTL24%76%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.79 – 3.31

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MTLvsSTL
23
Shots on goal
37
50%
Faceoffs
50%
0/1
Power play
2/3
6
Penalty minutes
2
35
Hits
16
8
Blocked shots
6
8
Giveaways
4
7
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Montréal Canadiens skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8B. ChiarotD000-220.01300—23:35
58D. SavardD000000.00140—22:28
14N. SuzukiC000030.144005719:12
27A. RomanovD101+130.16610—18:38
68M. HoffmanC000030.22002018:32
43K. ClagueD000010.03110—18:30
77B. KulakD000-100.00010—18:22
92J. DrouinL000-110.141005717:37
40J. ArmiaR000-110.25400—16:37
20C. WidemanD000010.01100—16:30
62A. LehkonenL000-110.12010—16:11
22C. CaufieldR000040.35002—16:04
45L. DauphinC011010.011003315:02
85M. PerreaultC000+100.07200014:37
25R. PoehlingC011000.160003013:38
56J. YlonenR000-100.02100—11:12
13C. PaquetteC000000.025006009:51
55M. PezzettaL000020.07502—09:07
Montréal Canadiens goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34J. Allen(L)37334.8923.35-0.6560:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).