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Montréal Canadiens at Minnesota Wild

FinalTV BSN, BSWI·Xcel Energy Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Montréal Canadiens 8-2. The Canadiens scored first; the Wild answered. The Wild led 5-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Connor Dewar's goal at 4:01 of the second period, which took the Wild's chances from 70% to 85%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 3.3 to 1.0; shots on goal were MTL 21, MIN 39. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 88% of the time. Cayden Primeau stopped 27 of 32 (.844), 2.7 goals below expected; Cam Talbot stopped 14 of 15 (.933). Three stars: 1. Nico Sturm (1 G, 2 A), 2. Connor Dewar (1 G, 1 A), 3. Jared Spurgeon (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    N. Sturm1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    MIN
    C. Dewar1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    J. Spurgeon1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MTLMTL180716221
MINMIN22131137839

Scoring

10 goals

1st period

  1. MTL
    slapxG 0.09win prob +11 pts
    1-0
    1:23
  2. MIN
    slapxG 0.05win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    3:04
  3. MIN
    wristxG 0.07win prob +13 pts
    1-2
    9:22

2nd period

  1. MIN
    wristxG 0.04win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    4:01
  2. MIN
    deflectedxG 0.06win prob +9 pts
    1-4
    4:23
  3. MIN
    wristxG 0.02win prob +2 pts
    1-5
    19:29

3rd period

  1. MTL
    wristxG 0.10win prob +1 pts
    2-5
    4:24
  2. MIN
    M. Boldy(3)PPG
    wristxG 0.07win prob +1 pts
    2-6
    6:04
  3. MIN
    N. Sturm (8), K. Fiala (18)
    wristxG 0.09
    2-7
    9:58
  4. MIN
    wristxG 0.23
    2-8
    15:12

Penalties

MTL 35 PIM·MIN 29 PIM

1st

  • 12:32MTLDavid Savard · Elbowingdrawn by Marcus Foligno2 min
  • 14:28MINAlex Goligoski · Interferencedrawn by Nick Suzuki2 min
  • 15:28MTLRem Pitlick · Hookingdrawn by Dmitry Kulikov2 min
  • 18:56MINMathew Dumba · Roughingdrawn by Laurent Dauphin2 min
  • 18:56MTLLaurent Dauphin · Embellishment2 min
  • 18:56MINMathew Dumba · Roughingdrawn by Laurent Dauphin2 min

2nd

  • 5:05MTLJosh Anderson · Holdingdrawn by Dmitry Kulikov2 min
  • 19:55MTLJosh Anderson · Slashingdrawn by Ryan Hartman2 min
  • 19:55MTLJosh Anderson · Fightingdrawn by Ryan Hartman5 min
  • 19:55MINRyan Hartman · Interferencedrawn by Josh Anderson2 min
  • 19:55MINRyan Hartman · Fightingdrawn by Josh Anderson5 min

3rd

  • 5:25MTLCedric Paquette · Interferencedrawn by Connor Dewar2 min
  • 11:52MTLChris Wideman · Interferencedrawn by Kirill Kaprizov2 min
  • 19:49MINMarcus Foligno · Misconductdrawn by Michael Pezzetta10 min
  • 19:49MTLMichael Pezzetta · Misconductdrawn by Marcus Foligno10 min
  • 19:49MTLMichael Pezzetta · Roughingdrawn by Marcus Foligno2 min
  • 19:49MTLMichael Pezzetta · Roughingdrawn by Marcus Foligno2 min
  • 19:49MINMarcus Foligno · Roughingdrawn by Michael Pezzetta2 min
  • 19:49MINMarcus Foligno · Roughingdrawn by Michael Pezzetta2 min
  • 19:54MTLJake Evans · Roughingdrawn by Connor Dewar2 min
  • 19:54MINConnor Dewar · Roughingdrawn by Jake Evans2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalMTL goalFinal: MIN 100%

Biggest swing: Connor Dewar, 2nd 4:01 — MIN 70% → 85%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
K. Fiala · Goal · xG 0.24K. Kaprizov · Missed · xG 0.19J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.17K. Kaprizov · Missed · xG 0.16J. Eriksson Ek · Missed · xG 0.12J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.12K. Kaprizov · Missed · xG 0.11J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.10J. Benn · Goal · xG 0.09J. Greenway · On goal · xG 0.09R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.09M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.08R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.08M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.07R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.07J. Eriksson Ek · Missed · xG 0.07M. Boldy · Goal · xG 0.07M. Foligno · Goal · xG 0.07F. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.07M. Foligno · Missed · xG 0.06K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.06M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.06N. Sturm · Goal · xG 0.06J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.06M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.06C. Dewar · Missed · xG 0.06K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.06M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.05J. Spurgeon · Goal · xG 0.05K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.05J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.05J. Greenway · Missed · xG 0.05M. Foligno · Missed · xG 0.04N. Sturm · Missed · xG 0.04C. Dewar · Goal · xG 0.04A. Goligoski · On goal · xG 0.04K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.03F. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.03K. Fiala · Missed · xG 0.03J. Benn · Missed · xG 0.03M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.02J. Benn · Missed · xG 0.02M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.02M. Zuccarello · Goal · xG 0.02M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.02N. Sturm · On goal · xG 0.02J. Greenway · On goal · xG 0.01F. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.01J. Spurgeon · Missed · xG 0.01F. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.01C. Dewar · On goal · xG 0.01J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.01A. Goligoski · Missed · xG 0.01N. Sturm · Missed · xG 0.01C. Dewar · On goal · xG 0.01M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.01B. Duhaime · On goal · xG 0.00
MIN8 G · 3.3 xG · 57 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MTLvsMIN
1.02 G
All situations
8 G3.3
0.92 G
Even strength
7 G2.7
0.00 G
Power play
1 G0.5
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MTL12%88%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 0.97 – 3.28

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MTLvsMIN
21
Shots on goal
39
39%
Faceoffs
61%
0/2
Power play
1/5
35
Penalty minutes
29
33
Hits
27
13
Blocked shots
10
5
Giveaways
11
8
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Montréal Canadiens skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8B. ChiarotD000-200.00300—22:31
26J. PetryD011-220.06220—22:27
58D. SavardD000-100.00312—20:20
27A. RomanovD000-200.00430—19:38
14N. SuzukiC000-310.063103319:31
71J. EvansC011010.140023719:31
77B. KulakD000-210.02210—17:36
32R. PitlickC101-120.13002017:07
45L. DauphinC011-210.001127516:56
68M. HoffmanC101-120.09000016:28
17J. AndersonR000-120.06519—16:24
25R. PoehlingC000-230.231103615:55
20C. WidemanD000-110.01112—15:48
62A. LehkonenL000-210.01100—15:33
73T. ToffoliC000-230.12100014:56
13C. PaquetteC011010.032123311:40
55M. PezzettaL000-100.00401410008:16
28C. DvorakC000+100.000005000:36
Montréal Canadiens goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30C. Primeau(L)32275.8442.32-2.6840:00
70M. McNiven743.5710.98-2.0220:00

Season series

MIN leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).