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Stars at Red Wings
NHL

Dallas Stars at Detroit Red Wings

NHL scoreboard
Dallas Stars
▸5
Detroit Red Wings
4
Final/OTTV BSDET, BSSW·Little Caesars Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the Detroit Red Wings 5-4 in overtime, Roope Hintz scoring at 2:51. The lead changed hands 3 times. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Roope Hintz's goal at 2:51 of overtime, which took the Stars' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 2.6 to 2.1; shots on goal were DAL 32, DET 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Braden Holtby stopped 24 of 28 (.857), 1.9 goals below expected; Alex Nedeljkovic stopped 27 of 32 (.844), 2.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Roope Hintz (1 G, 1 A), 2. Tyler Bertuzzi (1 G, 2 A), 3. Dylan Larkin (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    R. Hintz1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    DET
    T. Bertuzzi1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    DET
    D. Larkin1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
DALDAL1102101715532
DETDET111291701428

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. DAL
    R. Suter(4)
    M. Heiskanen (19), T. Seguin (7)
    snapxG 0.01win prob +14 pts
    1-0
    12:03
  2. DET
    R. Fabbri(11)
    T. Bertuzzi (15)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    12:26

2nd period

  1. DAL
    J. Kiviranta(1)
    M. Heiskanen (20), E. Lindell (8)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +17 pts
    2-1
    5:50
  2. DET
    P. Suter(9)
    T. Bertuzzi (16), F. Hronek (17)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +18 pts
    2-2
    7:34
  3. DET
    D. Larkin(19)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.10win prob +18 pts
    2-3
    9:16
  4. DAL
    E. Lindell(3)
    J. Pavelski (25), J. Robertson (21)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +22 pts
    3-3
    18:47

3rd period

  1. DET
    T. Bertuzzi(19)PPG
    L. Raymond (22), M. Seider (23)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +28 pts
    3-4
    13:46
  2. DAL
    J. Robertson(16)
    J. Pavelski (26), R. Hintz (15)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +44 pts
    4-4
    18:57

Overtime

  1. DAL
    R. Hintz(17)PPG
    J. Pavelski (27), J. Klingberg (21)
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +51 pts
    5-4
    2:51

Penalties

DAL 8 PIM·DET 10 PIM

1st

  • 2:19DALDenis Gurianov · Trippingdrawn by Moritz Seider2 min
  • 13:27DETFilip Hronek · Trippingdrawn by Joe Pavelski2 min
  • 18:08DALRyan Suter · High stickingdrawn by Filip Zadina2 min

2nd

  • 3:00DETJoseph Veleno · Trippingdrawn by Radek Faksa2 min
  • 12:05DETGustav Lindstrom · Holdingdrawn by Jacob Peterson2 min

3rd

  • 4:22DETAdam Erne · Cross checkingdrawn by Jacob Peterson2 min
  • 7:51DALAlexander Radulov · Holdingdrawn by Nick Leddy2 min
  • 12:58DALBraden Holtby · Trippingdrawn by Robby Fabbri2 min

OT

  • 2:09DETRobby Fabbri · Trippingdrawn by Roope Hintz2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DET goalDAL goalFinal: DET 0%

Biggest swing: Roope Hintz, OT 2:51 — DAL 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Fabbri · On goal · xG 0.19N. Leddy · On goal · xG 0.16F. Hronek · On goal · xG 0.14T. Bertuzzi · Missed · xG 0.13R. Fabbri · Goal · xG 0.12T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.12D. Larkin · Goal · xG 0.10T. Bertuzzi · Missed · xG 0.10P. Suter · On goal · xG 0.08M. Rasmussen · On goal · xG 0.07D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.07T. Bertuzzi · Goal · xG 0.07J. Veleno · On goal · xG 0.06P. Suter · On goal · xG 0.06F. Hronek · On goal · xG 0.05T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.04N. Leddy · On goal · xG 0.04D. Larkin · Missed · xG 0.04S. Gagner · Missed · xG 0.04M. Staal · Missed · xG 0.04M. Rasmussen · Missed · xG 0.04T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.04F. Zadina · Missed · xG 0.04D. DeKeyser · On goal · xG 0.03M. Seider · On goal · xG 0.03M. Seider · On goal · xG 0.02F. Zadina · On goal · xG 0.02D. DeKeyser · On goal · xG 0.02P. Suter · Goal · xG 0.02M. Seider · On goal · xG 0.02M. Seider · Missed · xG 0.02M. Staal · Missed · xG 0.02M. Seider · On goal · xG 0.01M. Seider · Missed · xG 0.01S. Gagner · On goal · xG 0.01M. Seider · Missed · xG 0.01M. Staal · On goal · xG 0.01G. Lindstrom · On goal · xG 0.00M. Seider · On goal · xG 0.00
DET4 G · 2.1 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DALvsDET
2.65 G
All situations
4 G2.1
1.94 G
Even strength
3 G1.5
0.71 G
Power play
1 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DAL58%42%DET

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.50 – 2.09

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DALvsDET
32
Shots on goal
28
51%
Faceoffs
49%
1/5
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
10
18
Hits
8
15
Blocked shots
11
4
Giveaways
7
3
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Dallas Stars skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
23E. LindellD112020.03120—25:10
3J. KlingbergD011030.23020—24:22
4M. HeiskanenD022+230.13110—24:02
20R. SuterD101010.01102—23:12
24R. HintzC112+150.591005622:07
16J. PavelskiC033+130.470003619:33
21J. RobertsonL112+130.35110—18:30
91T. SeguinC011020.130005518:19
14J. BennL000-110.033105616:51
47A. RadulovR000+130.13002—15:26
34D. GurianovR000-120.18012—14:46
2J. HakanpääD000000.01120—14:23
12R. FaksaC000000.004004313:14
11L. GlendeningC000010.042207813:07
40J. PetersonC000+110.160003312:21
25J. KivirantaL101+110.05210—11:58
44J. HanleyD000010.02110—08:09
18M. RafflL000000.00010—07:26
Dallas Stars goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
70B. Holtby(W)28244.8572.09-1.9162:22

Season series

DAL leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).