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Senators at Kraken
NHL

Ottawa Senators at Seattle Kraken

NHL scoreboard
Ottawa Senators
2
Seattle Kraken
▸4
FinalTV ROOT-NW, TSN5·Climate Pledge Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Seattle Kraken beat the Ottawa Senators 4-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Kraken led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Victor Rask's goal at 16:15 of the second period, which took the Kraken's chances from 53% to 74%. Expected goals favored the Kraken, 3.5 to 1.5; shots on goal were OTT 14, SEA 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kraken win a replay of these chances 72% of the time. Anton Forsberg stopped 25 of 28 (.893); Chris Driedger stopped 12 of 14 (.857), 0.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Victor Rask (1 G, 1 A), 2. Vince Dunn (3 A), 3. Matty Beniers (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    SEA
    V. Rask1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    SEA
    V. Dunn3 A
  3. ★★★
    SEA
    M. Beniers1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
OTTOTT032704214
SEASEA11121117429

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. SEA
    D. Sprong(12)PPG
    V. Rask (11), V. Dunn (25)
    slapxG 0.10win prob +7 pts
    0-1
    4:36

2nd period

  1. OTT
    B. Tkachuk(28)
    C. Brown (29)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +15 pts
    1-1
    1:11
  2. OTT
    N. Holden(5)
    N. Zaitsev (7), P. Kelly (4)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +17 pts
    2-1
    3:15
  3. SEA
    M. Beniers(2)
    A. Larsson (14), V. Dunn (26)
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +18 pts
    2-2
    9:52
  4. SEA
    V. Rask(8)
    J. Donskoi (18), A. Wennberg (25)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +21 pts
    2-3
    16:15

3rd period

  1. SEA
    J. McCann(26)EN
    A. Larsson (15), V. Dunn (27)
    wristxG 0.93win prob +5 pts
    2-4
    18:49

Penalties

OTT 15 PIM·SEA 9 PIM

1st

  • 2:41OTTParker Kelly · High sticking double minordrawn by Vince Dunn4 min
  • 8:16OTTTravis Hamonic · Roughingdrawn by Karson Kuhlman2 min
  • 13:55SEACarson Soucy · Roughingdrawn by Brady Tkachuk2 min

2nd

  • 16:53OTTAlex Formenton · Chargingdrawn by Carson Soucy2 min
  • 16:53SEAHaydn Fleury · Fightingdrawn by Alex Formenton5 min
  • 16:53OTTAlex Formenton · Fightingdrawn by Haydn Fleury5 min
  • 18:55OTTAustin Watson · Cross checkingdrawn by Ryan Donato2 min

3rd

  • 0:47SEAJordan Eberle · Hookingdrawn by Nick Holden2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SEA goalOTT goalFinal: SEA 100%

Biggest swing: Victor Rask, 2nd 16:15 — SEA 53% → 74%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. McCann · Goal · xG 0.93J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.23J. Oleksiak · On goal · xG 0.21J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.18M. Beniers · On goal · xG 0.16V. Dunn · Missed · xG 0.16J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.13A. Wennberg · On goal · xG 0.12J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.12K. Kuhlman · On goal · xG 0.10D. Sprong · Goal · xG 0.10R. Donato · On goal · xG 0.10K. Kuhlman · On goal · xG 0.09V. Rask · On goal · xG 0.08J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.08V. Rask · On goal · xG 0.07M. Beniers · Goal · xG 0.06V. Rask · Goal · xG 0.06J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.06R. Donato · Missed · xG 0.06Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.05J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.05W. Borgen · Missed · xG 0.05D. Sprong · On goal · xG 0.03D. Sprong · On goal · xG 0.03D. Sprong · Missed · xG 0.03V. Dunn · Missed · xG 0.03M. Beniers · On goal · xG 0.02W. Borgen · Missed · xG 0.02V. Dunn · Missed · xG 0.02V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.01H. Fleury · On goal · xG 0.01A. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Oleksiak · On goal · xG 0.01D. Sprong · Missed · xG 0.01R. Sheahan · On goal · xG 0.01K. Kuhlman · On goal · xG 0.01
SEA4 G · 3.5 xG · 37 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

OTTvsSEA
1.52 G
All situations
3 G3.5
1.12 G
Even strength
2 G1.5
0.30 G
Power play
1 G1.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 64 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
OTT28%72%SEA

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.44 – 2.55

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

OTTvsSEA
14
Shots on goal
29
50%
Faceoffs
50%
0/2
Power play
1/5
15
Penalty minutes
9
21
Hits
24
11
Blocked shots
11
7
Giveaways
11
10
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Ottawa Senators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
26E. BrannstromD000-110.03140—23:17
2A. ZubD000000.00120—21:03
18T. StützleC000-210.212004720:49
28C. BrownR011-100.00000—19:42
23T. HamonicD000000.04122—19:24
15M. Del ZottoD000000.12110—18:40
7B. TkachukL101040.28100—18:20
9J. NorrisC000010.130006018:17
5N. HoldenD101020.11110—17:29
19D. BathersonR000-100.14200—16:52
10A. FormentonL000-100.00107—16:02
22N. ZaitsevD011010.01210—15:43
27D. GambrellC000010.002006711:46
17A. GaudetteR000000.070005011:26
16A. WatsonL000020.2310210011:25
71C. TierneyC000000.001006011:13
45P. KellyC011010.10104010:14
56Z. SenyshynR000000.01300—08:48
Ottawa Senators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31A. Forsberg(L)28253.8932.58-0.4259:35

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).