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Kraken at Senators
NHL

Seattle Kraken at Ottawa Senators

NHL scoreboard
Seattle Kraken
3
Ottawa Senators
▸4
Final/OTTV ROOT-NW, TSN5·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Ottawa Senators beat the Seattle Kraken 4-3 in overtime, Josh Norris scoring at 2:34. The Senators scored first and never trailed. The Senators led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Josh Norris's goal at 2:34 of overtime, which took the Senators' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Senators, 2.8 to 2.2; shots on goal were SEA 33, OTT 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Chris Driedger stopped 23 of 27 (.852), 1.2 goals below expected; Anton Forsberg stopped 30 of 33 (.909), 0.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Josh Norris (2 G), 2. Brady Tkachuk (1 G, 1 A), 3. Mason Appleton (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    OTT
    J. Norris2 G
  2. ★★
    OTT
    B. Tkachuk1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    SEA
    M. Appleton1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
SEASEA0801031500333
OTTOTT172120711427

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. OTT
    J. Norris(21)
    B. Tkachuk (22), N. Holden (9)
    slapxG 0.13win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    8:32

2nd period

  1. OTT
    B. Tkachuk(20)
    A. Zub (12), T. Stützle (21)
    backhandxG 0.21win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    5:43
  2. OTT
    P. Kelly(5)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.33win prob +9 pts
    0-3
    7:40

3rd period

  1. SEA
    J. McCann(22)
    V. Dunn (15), J. Eberle (19)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +3 pts
    1-3
    9:14
  2. SEA
    R. Donato(12)
    J. Oleksiak (13), M. Geekie (11)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +13 pts
    2-3
    9:50
  3. SEA
    M. Appleton(6)
    Y. Gourde (22), C. Blackwell (8)
    snapxG 0.02win prob +35 pts
    3-3
    13:01

Overtime

  1. OTT
    J. Norris(22)PPG
    T. Chabot (27), C. Brown (25)
    slapxG 0.15win prob +49 pts
    3-4
    2:34

Penalties

SEA 6 PIM·OTT 2 PIM

2nd

  • 1:27SEAserved by R. Donato · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 8:20OTTParker Kelly · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Chris Driedger2 min
  • 14:37SEAAlexander Wennberg · Slashingdrawn by Anton Forsberg2 min

OT

  • 1:59SEAMark Giordano · Trippingdrawn by Tim Stützle2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalSEA goalFinal: OTT 100%

Biggest swing: Josh Norris, OT 2:34 — OTT 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
P. Kelly · Goal · xG 0.32B. Tkachuk · Goal · xG 0.21A. Formenton · Missed · xG 0.21D. Gambrell · On goal · xG 0.18J. Norris · Goal · xG 0.15A. Formenton · On goal · xG 0.15T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.14J. Norris · Goal · xG 0.13T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.12C. White · Missed · xG 0.12Z. Sanford · On goal · xG 0.12J. Norris · Missed · xG 0.10T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.09J. Norris · Missed · xG 0.09T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.07D. Gambrell · On goal · xG 0.07N. Paul · Missed · xG 0.06Z. Sanford · On goal · xG 0.05D. Gambrell · Missed · xG 0.05Z. Sanford · On goal · xG 0.05A. Zub · On goal · xG 0.04C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.04C. Brown · Missed · xG 0.04A. Gaudette · On goal · xG 0.02T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.02N. Paul · Missed · xG 0.02P. Kelly · On goal · xG 0.01C. White · Missed · xG 0.01T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.01N. Zaitsev · On goal · xG 0.01N. Zaitsev · On goal · xG 0.01A. Zub · On goal · xG 0.01A. Zub · On goal · xG 0.01T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.01J. Norris · On goal · xG 0.00P. Kelly · On goal · xG 0.00N. Paul · Missed · xG 0.00
OTT4 G · 2.8 xG · 37 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SEAvsOTT
2.23 G
All situations
4 G2.8
1.83 G
Even strength
3 G2.6
0.20 G
Power play
1 G0.2
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 78 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SEA40%60%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.23 – 2.76

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SEAvsOTT
33
Shots on goal
27
50%
Faceoffs
50%
0/1
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
2
21
Hits
29
10
Blocked shots
18
8
Giveaways
12
3
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Seattle Kraken skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
5M. GiordanoD000+140.10122—23:13
29V. DunnD011+200.04220—21:12
17J. SchwartzL000050.33100—20:49
6A. LarssonD000-320.03100—20:19
37Y. GourdeC011+130.241106419:33
21A. WennbergC000000.002124719:29
28C. SoucyD000010.02100—19:11
24J. OleksiakD011-100.01410—19:09
19C. JarnkrokC000020.10010018:34
4H. FleuryD000+110.05010—18:18
22M. AppletonC101+120.05100018:05
43C. BlackwellC011+120.191008316:55
7J. EberleR011-220.10310—15:03
90M. JohanssonL000-200.00000—13:47
16J. McCannL101-120.183005012:36
15R. SheahanC000+100.000006010:16
67M. GeekieC011040.390003309:39
9R. DonatoC101+130.39000007:34
Seattle Kraken goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
60C. Driedger(O)27234.8522.76-1.2462:34

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).