Skip to content
Jets at Flames
NHL

Winnipeg Jets at Calgary Flames

NHL scoreboard
Winnipeg Jets
1
Calgary Flames
▸3
FinalTV SNW, TSN3·Scotiabank Saddledome

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the Winnipeg Jets 3-1. The Flames scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Elias Lindholm's goal at 19:13 of the third period, which took the Flames' chances from 52% to 98%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 3.6 to 1.8; shots on goal were WPG 23, CGY 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 28 of 30 (.933); Jacob Markstrom stopped 22 of 23 (.957), 0.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Elias Lindholm (1 G), 2. Sean Monahan (1 G), 3. Andrew Mangiapane (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    E. Lindholm1 G
  2. ★★
    CGY
    S. Monahan1 G
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    A. Mangiapane1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WPGWPG081708123
CGYCGY01111426331

Scoring

4 goals

2nd period

  1. CGY
    S. Monahan(8)PPG
    A. Mangiapane (9), N. Hanifin (19)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +14 pts
    0-1
    1:07
  2. WPG
    D. Toninato(5)
    N. Pionk (18), B. Dillon (14)
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +17 pts
    1-1
    7:39

3rd period

  1. CGY
    E. Lindholm(23)
    J. Gaudreau (44)
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +47 pts
    1-2
    19:13
  2. CGY
    T. Toffoli(11)EN
    M. Backlund (15), B. Coleman (11)
    wristxG 0.91win prob +2 pts
    1-3
    19:49

Penalties

WPG 8 PIM·CGY 6 PIM

1st

  • 0:25CGYJohnny Gaudreau · Trippingdrawn by Neal Pionk2 min
  • 1:34WPGMark Scheifele · Holdingdrawn by Rasmus Andersson2 min
  • 3:52CGYErik Gudbranson · Interferencedrawn by Mark Scheifele2 min
  • 18:06WPGJosh Morrissey · Interferencedrawn by Blake Coleman2 min
  • 19:44WPGDylan DeMelo · High stickingdrawn by Elias Lindholm2 min

2nd

  • 18:06WPGKristian Reichel · Holdingdrawn by Trevor Lewis2 min

3rd

  • 5:50CGYAndrew Mangiapane · Hookingdrawn by Brenden Dillon2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalWPG goalFinal: CGY 100%

Biggest swing: Elias Lindholm, 3rd 19:13 — CGY 52% → 98%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Toffoli · Goal · xG 0.91B. Coleman · Missed · xG 0.41S. Monahan · Missed · xG 0.19J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.18M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.17E. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.12T. Toffoli · Missed · xG 0.10E. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.10C. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.09S. Monahan · Goal · xG 0.08M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.08S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.07J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.07S. Monahan · Missed · xG 0.06E. Lindholm · Goal · xG 0.06E. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.06J. Gaudreau · Missed · xG 0.05M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.05R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.05M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.05O. Kylington · On goal · xG 0.05B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.05M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.05B. Coleman · Missed · xG 0.04R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.04A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.04B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.04M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.03M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.03M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.03T. Toffoli · Missed · xG 0.03D. Dube · On goal · xG 0.02O. Kylington · On goal · xG 0.02N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.02M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.02C. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.02N. Zadorov · Missed · xG 0.02R. Andersson · Missed · xG 0.02R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.01S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.01C. Tanev · Missed · xG 0.01S. Monahan · Missed · xG 0.01D. Dube · Missed · xG 0.01M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.01M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.01A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.01M. Lucic · On goal · xG 0.01D. Dube · On goal · xG 0.00T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.00C. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.00
CGY3 G · 3.6 xG · 50 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsCGY
1.81 G
All situations
2 G3.6
1.61 G
Even strength
1 G1.7
0.10 G
Power play
1 G0.6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 79 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG39%61%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.78 – 2.31

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsCGY
23
Shots on goal
31
49%
Faceoffs
51%
0/3
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
6
16
Hits
19
10
Blocked shots
10
3
Giveaways
13
8
Takeaways
12

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
44J. MorrisseyD000-100.05502—24:04
81K. ConnorL000-240.39000—21:35
2D. DeMeloD000-100.00122—21:29
25P. StastnyC000-120.130008020:42
55M. ScheifeleC000-120.191222220:05
4N. PionkD011+120.12010—19:41
26B. WheelerR000-130.23030—19:31
5B. DillonD011+110.01100—17:34
80P. DuboisC000-200.071005717:17
88N. SchmidtD000-140.20100—17:08
64L. StanleyD000010.04120—16:31
17A. LowryC000000.000005014:40
77A. BrooksC000010.09000014:12
87K. ReichelC000020.1510210011:11
12J. HarkinsC000000.00000011:01
21D. ToninatoC101+110.061003310:01
71E. SvechnikovL000000.06000—08:57
22A. PoganskiR000+100.00300—07:13
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37C. Hellebuyck(L)30282.9332.32+0.3259:45

Season series

WPG leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).