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Jets at Stars
NHL

Winnipeg Jets at Dallas Stars

NHL scoreboard
Winnipeg Jets
3
Dallas Stars
▸4
Final/OTTV BSSW, TSN3·American Airlines Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the Winnipeg Jets 4-3 in overtime, Jason Robertson scoring at 3:10. The lead changed hands 3 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jason Robertson's goal at 3:10 of overtime, which took the Stars' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 4.0 to 2.6; shots on goal were WPG 34, DAL 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 72% of the time. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 31 of 35 (.886); Jake Oettinger stopped 31 of 34 (.912). Three stars: 1. Jason Robertson (1 G), 2. Jamie Benn (1 G, 1 A), 3. Mark Scheifele (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    J. Robertson1 G
  2. ★★
    DAL
    J. Benn1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    M. Scheifele1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
WPGWPG0122911003334
DALDAL0721311312435

Scoring

7 goals

2nd period

  1. WPG
    P. Dubois(19)
    N. Schmidt (19), B. Dillon (12)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +16 pts
    1-0
    0:50
  2. DAL
    J. Peterson(9)
    A. Radulov (14)
    deflectedxG 0.13win prob +19 pts
    1-1
    10:46
  3. DAL
    T. Seguin(15)
    D. Gurianov (14), J. Benn (10)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +19 pts
    1-2
    11:42
  4. WPG
    J. Harkins(5)
    C. Perfetti (4), M. Scheifele (20)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +21 pts
    2-2
    16:21

3rd period

  1. DAL
    J. Benn(12)
    D. Gurianov (15), R. Suter (15)
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +32 pts
    2-3
    12:47
  2. WPG
    M. Scheifele(12)
    N. Pionk (17), K. Connor (23)
    slapxG 0.05win prob +46 pts
    3-3
    19:28

Overtime

  1. DAL
    J. Robertson(20)
    J. Klingberg (25), R. Hintz (19)
    backhandxG 0.38win prob +49 pts
    3-4
    3:10

Penalties

WPG 13 PIM·DAL 7 PIM

1st

  • 11:02WPGBrenden Dillon · High stickingdrawn by Tanner Kero2 min
  • 12:28DALJamie Benn · Trippingdrawn by Dominic Toninato2 min

2nd

  • 2:27WPGDylan DeMelo · Cross checkingdrawn by Tyler Seguin2 min
  • 13:15WPGNeal Pionk · Hookingdrawn by Tanner Kero2 min
  • 17:21DALJamie Benn · Fightingdrawn by Brenden Dillon5 min
  • 17:21WPGBrenden Dillon · Fightingdrawn by Jamie Benn5 min

3rd

  • 10:35WPGMark Scheifele · Hookingdrawn by Tyler Seguin2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DAL goalWPG goalFinal: DAL 100%

Biggest swing: Jason Robertson, OT 3:10 — DAL 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Robertson · Goal · xG 0.38D. Gurianov · On goal · xG 0.21M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.20J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.19J. Pavelski · Missed · xG 0.19J. Benn · Missed · xG 0.16R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.16J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.14J. Peterson · Goal · xG 0.13A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.12T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.12J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.11J. Benn · Goal · xG 0.11M. Raffl · Missed · xG 0.11D. Gurianov · On goal · xG 0.11R. Hintz · Missed · xG 0.11J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.10T. Seguin · Goal · xG 0.10D. Gurianov · Missed · xG 0.10M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.10J. Pavelski · Missed · xG 0.09J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.09A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.09D. Gurianov · On goal · xG 0.09A. Radulov · Missed · xG 0.09T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.08T. Kero · On goal · xG 0.08L. Glendening · Missed · xG 0.07J. Peterson · Missed · xG 0.07M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.04J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.03J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.03D. Gurianov · On goal · xG 0.03M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.03M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.03R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.02M. Raffl · Missed · xG 0.02E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.02J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.02D. Gurianov · On goal · xG 0.01J. Hakanpää · On goal · xG 0.01J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.01J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.01J. Hanley · Missed · xG 0.01M. Raffl · On goal · xG 0.01J. Hakanpää · On goal · xG 0.01
DAL4 G · 4.0 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsDAL
2.63 G
All situations
4 G4.0
2.23 G
Even strength
4 G2.8
0.40 G
Power play
0 G1.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG28%72%DAL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.59 – 4.00

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsDAL
34
Shots on goal
35
50%
Faceoffs
50%
0/1
Power play
0/4
13
Penalty minutes
7
16
Hits
17
23
Blocked shots
12
12
Giveaways
15
2
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
44J. MorrisseyD000-320.11240—27:34
88N. SchmidtD011+110.07010—23:36
81K. ConnorL011-130.44020—23:24
55M. ScheifeleC112-120.230025721:46
2D. DeMeloD000-100.04152—21:36
26B. WheelerR000000.00010—20:31
4N. PionkD011030.03032—19:20
25P. StastnyC000030.310005019:02
9A. CoppC000-110.050304118:59
5B. DillonD011+120.06507—17:31
80P. DuboisC101+260.555106717:05
17A. LowryC000020.100105015:20
14V. HeinolaD000050.08110—11:30
12J. HarkinsC101+120.20100011:26
91C. PerfettiC011+100.00000011:14
87K. ReichelC000000.00010010:30
21D. ToninatoC000020.26100007:28
71E. SvechnikovL000-100.07000—04:53
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37C. Hellebuyck(O)35314.8864.02+0.0261:55

Season series

DAL leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).