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Stars at Jets
NHL

Dallas Stars at Winnipeg Jets

NHL scoreboard
Dallas Stars
▸4
Winnipeg Jets
3
Final/OTTV BSSW, TSN3·Canada Life Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the Winnipeg Jets 4-3 in overtime, Jason Robertson scoring at 4:30. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Stars led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jason Robertson's goal at 4:30 of overtime, which took the Stars' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 5.0 to 3.6; shots on goal were DAL 34, WPG 42. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. Braden Holtby stopped 39 of 42 (.929), 2.0 goals saved above expected; Connor Hellebuyck stopped 30 of 34 (.882). Three stars: 1. Jason Robertson (3 G), 2. Paul Stastny (2 G), 3. Kyle Connor (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    J. Robertson3 G
  2. ★★
    WPG
    P. Stastny2 G
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    K. Connor1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
DALDAL114171815434
WPGWPG0161821602342

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. DAL
    J. Robertson(24)
    R. Suter (18), J. Pavelski (36)
    wristxG 0.24win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    5:23

2nd period

  1. WPG
    P. Stastny(14)PPG
    A. Copp (18), N. Ehlers (13)
    snapxG 0.16win prob +18 pts
    1-1
    13:38
  2. DAL
    J. Robertson(25)
    T. Harley (2)
    backhandxG 0.19win prob +23 pts
    2-1
    19:09

3rd period

  1. WPG
    K. Connor(33)
    E. Svechnikov (10), P. Dubois (22)
    wristxG 0.29win prob +25 pts
    2-2
    1:21
  2. WPG
    P. Stastny(15)
    B. Wheeler (31), D. DeMelo (7)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +34 pts
    2-3
    12:19
  3. DAL
    D. Gurianov(9)
    J. Benn (16), R. Suter (19)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +38 pts
    3-3
    15:28

Overtime

  1. DAL
    J. Robertson(26)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.25win prob +51 pts
    4-3
    4:30

Penalties

DAL 14 PIM·WPG 8 PIM

1st

  • 1:08DALJoe Pavelski · Hookingdrawn by Josh Morrissey2 min
  • 7:37DALRoope Hintz · Hookingdrawn by Blake Wheeler2 min
  • 12:04DALJamie Benn · Hookingdrawn by Pierre-Luc Dubois2 min
  • 16:25WPGNikolaj Ehlers · Hookingdrawn by Radek Faksa2 min

2nd

  • 0:51WPGDylan DeMelo · Trippingdrawn by Roope Hintz2 min
  • 5:00WPGPierre-Luc Dubois · Holdingdrawn by Jason Robertson2 min
  • 5:26DALRyan Suter · Interferencedrawn by Adam Lowry2 min
  • 6:08DALRadek Faksa · Trippingdrawn by Nate Schmidt2 min
  • 11:39DALRiley Tufte · Slashingdrawn by Neal Pionk2 min

3rd

  • 10:18WPGMark Scheifele · Roughingdrawn by Michael Raffl2 min
  • 10:18DALMichael Raffl · Roughingdrawn by Mark Scheifele2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalDAL goalFinal: WPG 0%

Biggest swing: Jason Robertson, OT 4:30 — DAL 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
K. Connor · Goal · xG 0.29A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.22A. Copp · Missed · xG 0.21E. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.20N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.18N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.18P. Stastny · On goal · xG 0.17P. Stastny · Goal · xG 0.16A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.16E. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.16A. Copp · Missed · xG 0.15K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.14P. Stastny · Goal · xG 0.14K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.14N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.13B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.13M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.13K. Vesalainen · On goal · xG 0.12N. Pionk · Missed · xG 0.11P. Dubois · Missed · xG 0.11A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.10K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.10N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.09K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.09P. Dubois · Missed · xG 0.08K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.07K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.07N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.07K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.07E. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.07N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.07N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.06K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.06A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.05B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.05K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.05K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.05M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.05P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.05N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.04B. Wheeler · Missed · xG 0.04P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.04A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.04N. Pionk · Missed · xG 0.03N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.03B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.02D. Toninato · On goal · xG 0.02P. Dubois · Missed · xG 0.02N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.02A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.02N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.02P. Dubois · Missed · xG 0.02P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.02N. Pionk · Missed · xG 0.02B. Dillon · Missed · xG 0.02P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.01A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.01A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.00A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.00E. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.00
WPG3 G · 5.0 xG · 60 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DALvsWPG
3.64 G
All situations
3 G5.0
2.64 G
Even strength
2 G2.7
1.00 G
Power play
1 G1.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.8

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 103 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DAL32%68%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.52 – 4.81

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DALvsWPG
34
Shots on goal
42
59%
Faceoffs
41%
0/3
Power play
1/6
14
Penalty minutes
8
28
Hits
25
11
Blocked shots
9
5
Giveaways
26
6
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Dallas Stars skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
3J. KlingbergD000030.18010—26:41
20R. SuterD022+210.05012—25:59
2J. HakanpääD000+210.02610—25:14
23E. LindellD000-210.10120—24:31
24R. HintzC000-100.070028221:02
21J. RobertsonL303+371.27100—19:47
16J. PavelskiC011060.911223819:01
11L. GlendeningC000010.162005818:32
14J. BennL011+250.171024017:22
12R. FaksaC000000.074329016:15
18M. RafflL000-110.03502—15:32
55T. HarleyD011+100.01110—13:39
34D. GurianovR101+120.23000—13:06
40J. PetersonC000+140.260003310:17
47A. RadulovR000000.05100—09:37
25J. KivirantaL000020.01200—07:55
27R. TufteL000000.00302—07:46
44J. HanleyD000000.00000—07:15
Dallas Stars goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
70B. Holtby(W)42393.9294.96+1.9664:30

Season series

DAL leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).