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Maple Leafs at Sharks
NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs at San Jose Sharks

NHL scoreboard
Toronto Maple Leafs
▸4
San Jose Sharks
1
FinalTV NBCSCA, SNO·SAP Center at San Jose

Recap

written from the game data

The Toronto Maple Leafs beat the San Jose Sharks 4-1. The Maple Leafs scored first and never trailed. The Maple Leafs led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Auston Matthews's goal at 4:57 of the second period, which took the Maple Leafs' chances from 64% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Maple Leafs, 2.9 to 2.3; shots on goal were TOR 33, SJS 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Maple Leafs win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Joseph Woll stopped 34 of 35 (.971), 1.3 goals saved above expected; James Reimer stopped 13 of 17 (.765), 2.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. William Nylander (1 G, 1 A), 2. John Tavares (1 G, 1 A), 3. Auston Matthews (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TOR
    W. Nylander1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    TOR
    J. Tavares1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    TOR
    A. Matthews1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TORTOR210211012433
SJSSJS18011016135

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. TOR
    W. Nylander(8)
    J. Tavares (10), M. Rielly (11)
    backhandxG 0.22win prob +11 pts
    1-0
    0:32
  2. SJS
    N. Bonino(2)
    N. Gregor (1), E. Karlsson (8)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    4:44
  3. TOR
    W. Simmonds(2)
    D. Kampf (4), N. Ritchie (4)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +12 pts
    2-1
    5:16

2nd period

  1. TOR
    A. Matthews(9)
    M. Bunting (7), T. Liljegren (2)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +17 pts
    3-1
    4:57
  2. TOR
    J. Tavares(10)PPG
    W. Nylander (11), M. Marner (12)
    wristxG 0.21win prob +9 pts
    4-1
    10:44

Penalties

TOR 8 PIM·SJS 6 PIM

1st

  • 1:48TORNick Ritchie · Roughingdrawn by Jasper Weatherby2 min
  • 1:48SJSJasper Weatherby · Roughingdrawn by Nick Ritchie2 min
  • 5:42TORAlexander Kerfoot · Slashingdrawn by Jake Middleton2 min
  • 15:34TORJoseph Woll · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

2nd

  • 5:27TORNick Ritchie · High stickingdrawn by Timo Meier2 min
  • 9:03SJSMarc-Edouard Vlasic · Interferencedrawn by Jason Spezza2 min

3rd

  • 11:26SJSJake Middleton · Hookingdrawn by Pierre Engvall2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SJS goalTOR goalFinal: SJS 0%

Biggest swing: Auston Matthews, 2nd 4:57 — TOR 64% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
L. Couture · On goal · xG 0.18N. Bonino · On goal · xG 0.16A. Barabanov · Missed · xG 0.15A. Barabanov · On goal · xG 0.14T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.13J. Gadjovich · On goal · xG 0.12K. Labanc · On goal · xG 0.11K. Labanc · On goal · xG 0.10N. Gregor · On goal · xG 0.10E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.08T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.07M. Nieto · On goal · xG 0.07N. Gregor · On goal · xG 0.07J. Weatherby · Missed · xG 0.07T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.06T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.05N. Bonino · Goal · xG 0.05N. Bonino · On goal · xG 0.05N. Bonino · Missed · xG 0.05R. Simek · Missed · xG 0.04J. Middleton · On goal · xG 0.04E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.03T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.03T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.03T. Hertl · Missed · xG 0.03J. Middleton · On goal · xG 0.03B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.03T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.02M. Nieto · On goal · xG 0.02B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.02B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.02A. Barabanov · On goal · xG 0.02K. Labanc · On goal · xG 0.01J. Middleton · On goal · xG 0.01N. Gregor · Missed · xG 0.01M. Vlasic · On goal · xG 0.01T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.01N. Bonino · On goal · xG 0.01A. Barabanov · On goal · xG 0.01R. Simek · On goal · xG 0.01J. Middleton · On goal · xG 0.01A. Cogliano · On goal · xG 0.01T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.01M. Nieto · On goal · xG 0.00J. Middleton · On goal · xG 0.00
SJS1 G · 2.3 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TORvsSJS
2.94 G
All situations
1 G2.3
1.53 G
Even strength
1 G2.0
1.01 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.40 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TOR60%40%SJS

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.82 – 2.26

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TORvsSJS
33
Shots on goal
35
60%
Faceoffs
40%
1/2
Power play
0/3
8
Penalty minutes
6
17
Hits
25
12
Blocked shots
9
5
Giveaways
13
14
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Toronto Maple Leafs skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
44M. RiellyD011+220.07130—23:38
8J. MuzzinD000020.05300—22:26
3J. HollD000+110.18320—21:38
78T. BrodieD000-110.05000—20:32
88W. NylanderR112+180.72000—19:33
34A. MatthewsC101+120.410106418:13
16M. MarnerR011+100.07000—17:54
91J. TavaresC112+120.370306017:46
15A. KerfootC000+120.43012017:12
64D. KampfC011+100.000105916:34
38R. SandinD000+110.01100—15:33
58M. BuntingL011+150.19010—13:42
37T. LiljegrenD011+110.01000—12:51
47P. EngvallL000010.02200—12:33
20N. RitchieL011010.02504—12:26
24W. SimmondsR101010.09200—11:31
19J. SpezzaC000030.180005009:23
94K. SemyonovC000-100.0000010008:35
Toronto Maple Leafs goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
60J. Woll(W)35341.9712.27+1.2760:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).