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Sharks at Maple Leafs
NHL

San Jose Sharks at Toronto Maple Leafs

NHL scoreboard
San Jose Sharks
▸5
Toronto Maple Leafs
3
FinalTV NBCSCA, TSN4·Scotiabank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The San Jose Sharks beat the Toronto Maple Leafs 5-3. The Sharks scored first and never trailed. The Sharks led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Erik Karlsson's goal at 11:55 of the second period, which took the Sharks' chances from 47% to 67%. Expected goals favored the Maple Leafs, 4.3 to 3.3; shots on goal were SJS 31, TOR 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Maple Leafs win a replay of these chances 76% of the time. Adin Hill stopped 30 of 33 (.909), 1.3 goals saved above expected; Michael Hutchinson stopped 26 of 30 (.867), 1.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Logan Couture (2 G, 1 A), 2. Timo Meier (1 G, 1 A), 3. Ondrej Kase (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    SJS
    L. Couture2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    SJS
    T. Meier1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    TOR
    O. Kase1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
SJSSJS01131228531
TORTOR011212110333

Scoring

8 goals

2nd period

  1. SJS
    L. Couture(2)
    M. Vlasic (1)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +17 pts
    1-0
    2:31
  2. TOR
    J. Spezza(2)
    P. Engvall (1), W. Simmonds (1)
    wristxG 0.28win prob +17 pts
    1-1
    3:27
  3. SJS
    T. Meier(2)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.03win prob +17 pts
    2-1
    3:44
  4. TOR
    O. Kase(1)
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.35win prob +19 pts
    2-2
    10:24
  5. SJS
    E. Karlsson(2)
    J. Middleton (1)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +20 pts
    3-2
    11:55

3rd period

  1. SJS
    J. Dahlen(3)
    L. Couture (4), T. Meier (5)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +17 pts
    4-2
    0:25
  2. TOR
    J. Tavares(1)
    W. Nylander (3), J. Muzzin (1)
    wristxG 0.36win prob +11 pts
    4-3
    13:39
  3. SJS
    L. Couture(3)EN
    A. Cogliano (1)
    wristxG 0.70win prob +5 pts
    5-3
    19:20

Penalties

SJS 4 PIM·TOR 6 PIM

1st

  • 9:21SJSLogan Couture · Trippingdrawn by Morgan Rielly2 min
  • 13:50TORNick Ritchie · Interferencedrawn by Mario Ferraro2 min

3rd

  • 7:49SJSLane Pederson · Trippingdrawn by William Nylander2 min
  • 10:56TORJustin Holl · Cross checkingdrawn by Kevin Labanc2 min
  • 14:24TORJason Spezza · High stickingdrawn by Logan Couture2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TOR goalSJS goalFinal: TOR 0%

Biggest swing: Erik Karlsson, 2nd 11:55 — SJS 47% → 67%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Tavares · Goal · xG 0.36O. Kase · Goal · xG 0.35J. Spezza · Goal · xG 0.28J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.18W. Simmonds · On goal · xG 0.15A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.14M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.14P. Engvall · On goal · xG 0.14M. Bunting · Missed · xG 0.12J. Spezza · On goal · xG 0.11A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.11J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.09D. Kampf · On goal · xG 0.09M. Bunting · Missed · xG 0.09D. Kampf · Missed · xG 0.09A. Kerfoot · On goal · xG 0.09O. Kase · On goal · xG 0.08N. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.08J. Spezza · On goal · xG 0.08M. Bunting · On goal · xG 0.08M. Marner · Missed · xG 0.08J. Tavares · Missed · xG 0.08J. Tavares · Missed · xG 0.07A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.07J. Tavares · Missed · xG 0.07W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.07W. Simmonds · On goal · xG 0.07O. Kase · On goal · xG 0.07J. Spezza · Missed · xG 0.07W. Simmonds · On goal · xG 0.07M. Bunting · Missed · xG 0.06W. Nylander · Missed · xG 0.06W. Nylander · Missed · xG 0.06W. Simmonds · On goal · xG 0.06W. Nylander · Missed · xG 0.06J. Tavares · Missed · xG 0.06P. Engvall · On goal · xG 0.05P. Engvall · Missed · xG 0.05J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.04J. Holl · On goal · xG 0.04R. Sandin · On goal · xG 0.03J. Tavares · Missed · xG 0.03J. Holl · Missed · xG 0.03M. Bunting · Missed · xG 0.02M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.02R. Sandin · On goal · xG 0.01A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.01T. Dermott · On goal · xG 0.01T. Brodie · On goal · xG 0.01P. Engvall · On goal · xG 0.01P. Engvall · On goal · xG 0.01J. Holl · Missed · xG 0.01
TOR3 G · 4.3 xG · 52 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SJSvsTOR
3.34 G
All situations
3 G4.3
1.94 G
Even strength
3 G3.4
0.60 G
Power play
0 G0.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SJS24%76%TOR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.55 – 4.26

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SJSvsTOR
31
Shots on goal
33
48%
Faceoffs
52%
0/3
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
6
23
Hits
10
18
Blocked shots
11
9
Giveaways
14
14
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
San Jose Sharks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
88B. BurnsD000+120.04050—26:27
38M. FerraroD000010.18200—24:36
65E. KarlssonD101+210.35310—23:19
13N. BoninoC000+210.090207119:58
48T. HertlC000-120.070005317:36
21J. MiddletonD011+100.00210—17:36
62K. LabancR000+130.05430—17:28
39L. CoutureC213+461.121024717:04
28T. MeierR112+320.29320—16:35
83M. NietoL000010.0110010015:35
92R. BalcersL000-200.00120—14:48
11A. CoglianoC011010.06100012:47
26J. WeatherbyC000-110.01100012:45
76J. DahlenC101+350.63000012:27
51R. SimekD000000.00010—12:21
44M. VlasicD011040.22100—11:46
18L. PedersonC000-200.06312011:33
72W. EklundL000-110.08000—11:19
San Jose Sharks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33A. Hill(W)33303.9094.31+1.3160:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).