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San Jose Sharks at St. Louis Blues

FinalTV NBCSCA, BSMW·Enterprise Center

Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the San Jose Sharks 4-1. The Blues scored first and never trailed. The Blues led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brandon Saad's goal at 10:17 of the second period, which took the Blues' chances from 71% to 87%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 4.3 to 2.7; shots on goal were SJS 27, STL 48. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 74% of the time. James Reimer stopped 44 of 48 (.917); Ville Husso stopped 26 of 27 (.963), 1.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Brandon Saad (2 G), 2. Ville Husso (26 saves, .963), 3. Oskar Sundqvist (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    B. Saad2 G
  2. ★★
    STL
    V. Husso26 saves, .963
  3. ★★★
    STL
    O. Sundqvist1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
SJSSJS0131806127
STLSTL116219113448

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    B. Saad(5)PPG
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    10:25

2nd period

  1. STL
    snapxG 0.15win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    1:35
  2. SJS
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    8:16
  3. STL
    snapxG 0.16win prob +16 pts
    1-3
    10:17

3rd period

  1. STL
    snapxG 0.15win prob +6 pts
    1-4
    1:09

Penalties

SJS 13 PIM·STL 5 PIM

1st

  • 0:03STLRobert Bortuzzo · Fightingdrawn by Jake Middleton5 min
  • 0:03SJSJake Middleton · Fightingdrawn by Robert Bortuzzo5 min
  • 8:59SJSKevin Labanc · Trippingdrawn by Tyler Bozak2 min

2nd

  • 2:13SJSJonah Gadjovich · Trippingdrawn by Robert Bortuzzo2 min
  • 13:48SJSBrent Burns · Trippingdrawn by Jordan Kyrou2 min

3rd

  • 14:18SJSJasper Weatherby · Cross checkingdrawn by Oskar Sundqvist2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalSJS goalFinal: STL 100%

Biggest swing: Brandon Saad, 2nd 10:17 — STL 71% → 87%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.24V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.19B. Saad · Goal · xG 0.16J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.15R. Thomas · Goal · xG 0.15J. Kyrou · Goal · xG 0.15D. Perron · Missed · xG 0.13R. Thomas · Missed · xG 0.11D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.11V. Tarasenko · Missed · xG 0.11B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.10D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.10J. Neal · On goal · xG 0.10B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.10O. Sundqvist · On goal · xG 0.09J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.09K. Kostin · Missed · xG 0.09J. Kyrou · Missed · xG 0.08V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.08J. Neal · Missed · xG 0.08R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.08C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.08I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.08O. Sundqvist · On goal · xG 0.08R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.08R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.08I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.07V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.07R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.07J. Kyrou · Missed · xG 0.07B. Saad · Goal · xG 0.07B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.07P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.07R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.07T. Krug · Missed · xG 0.06P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.06V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.05O. Sundqvist · On goal · xG 0.05T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.05B. Saad · Missed · xG 0.05K. Kostin · On goal · xG 0.05J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.04I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.04B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.04M. Scandella · On goal · xG 0.04C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.04S. Perunovich · On goal · xG 0.03S. Perunovich · On goal · xG 0.03V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.03J. Faulk · Missed · xG 0.03J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.03V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.02P. Buchnevich · Missed · xG 0.02T. Krug · Missed · xG 0.02V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.02S. Perunovich · On goal · xG 0.02R. Bortuzzo · On goal · xG 0.01R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.01C. Parayko · Missed · xG 0.01T. Krug · Missed · xG 0.01T. Bozak · On goal · xG 0.01T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.01
STL4 G · 4.3 xG · 62 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SJSvsSTL
2.71 G
All situations
4 G4.3
2.61 G
Even strength
3 G2.8
0.00 G
Power play
1 G1.6
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 105 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SJS26%74%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.64 – 4.26

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SJSvsSTL
27
Shots on goal
48
48%
Faceoffs
52%
0/0
Power play
1/4
13
Penalty minutes
5
18
Hits
15
17
Blocked shots
3
3
Giveaways
7
12
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
San Jose Sharks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
88B. BurnsD000000.00022—25:31
38M. FerraroD000-100.05140—24:57
65E. KarlssonD000020.31120—22:52
21J. MiddletonD000-110.03135—18:01
44M. VlasicD000-110.04020—17:22
48T. HertlC000-240.392004717:02
39L. CoutureC000+110.061007216:19
28T. MeierR011+150.29320—15:57
92R. BalcersL000-100.00300—15:18
13N. BoninoC000-120.350202715:09
94A. BarabanovL000-220.11100—14:42
76J. DahlenC101+120.22000014:21
83M. NietoL000-110.10100—13:07
26J. WeatherbyC000000.000024412:54
11A. CoglianoC000-120.25000012:46
62K. LabancR000-130.32002—12:24
61S. HatakkaD000-100.01000—12:08
42J. GadjovichL000010.16402—11:35
San Jose Sharks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
47J. Reimer(L)48444.9174.34+0.3460:00

Season series

STL leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).