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Blues at Sharks
NHL

St. Louis Blues at San Jose Sharks

NHL scoreboard
St. Louis Blues
▸5
San Jose Sharks
3
FinalTV NBCSCA, BSMW·SAP Center at San Jose

Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the San Jose Sharks 5-3. The Sharks scored first; the Blues answered. The Blues led 4-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was James Neal's goal at 11:42 of the second period, which took the Blues' chances from 47% to 67%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 3.6 to 2.0; shots on goal were STL 28, SJS 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Joel Hofer stopped 23 of 26 (.885), 1.0 goals below expected; Adin Hill stopped 23 of 27 (.852), 1.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Brandon Saad (2 G), 2. Tyler Bozak (2 A), 3. Brent Burns (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    B. Saad2 G
  2. ★★
    STL
    T. Bozak2 A
  3. ★★★
    SJS
    B. Burns1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
STLSTL1731219528
SJSSJS2121806326

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. SJS
    B. Burns(1)PPG
    T. Hertl (3), A. Barabanov (4)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    7:13
  2. STL
    B. Saad(2)SHG
    T. Bozak (3)
    wristxG 0.24win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    10:00
  3. SJS
    L. Couture(4)SHG
    R. Balcers (3)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    17:16

2nd period

  1. STL
    P. Buchnevich(2)
    I. Barbashev (4), K. Kostin (2)
    slapxG 0.11win prob +17 pts
    2-2
    4:20
  2. SJS
    N. Merkley(1)
    M. Ferraro (3), B. Burns (6)
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +17 pts
    2-3
    4:49
  3. STL
    B. Saad(3)
    R. Thomas (7), D. Perron (4)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +18 pts
    3-3
    8:09
  4. STL
    J. Neal(2)
    J. Walman (2), T. Bozak (4)
    tip-inxG 0.03win prob +20 pts
    4-3
    11:42

3rd period

  1. STL
    R. Thomas(1)EN
    C. Parayko (3), J. Hofer (1)
    wristxG 0.92win prob +7 pts
    5-3
    19:00

Penalties

STL 10 PIM·SJS 8 PIM

1st

  • 4:50SJSLane Pederson · Interferencedrawn by James Neal2 min
  • 5:46STLPavel Buchnevich · Boardingdrawn by Nicolas Meloche2 min
  • 5:46STLVladimir Tarasenko · Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
  • 6:37STLIvan Barbashev · High sticking double minordrawn by Logan Couture4 min
  • 15:49SJSMario Ferraro · Holdingdrawn by Robert Thomas2 min

2nd

  • 5:09SJSJasper Weatherby · Cross checkingdrawn by James Neal2 min

3rd

  • 7:08SJSJaycob Megna · Slashingdrawn by Klim Kostin2 min
  • 14:52STLKlim Kostin · Holdingdrawn by Ryan Merkley2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SJS goalSTL goalFinal: SJS 0%

Biggest swing: James Neal, 2nd 11:42 — STL 47% → 67%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.13L. Couture · Missed · xG 0.13R. Balcers · On goal · xG 0.11W. Eklund · On goal · xG 0.11T. Hertl · Missed · xG 0.11L. Couture · Goal · xG 0.10R. Balcers · On goal · xG 0.10T. Hertl · Missed · xG 0.10T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.10J. Dahlen · On goal · xG 0.10L. Couture · On goal · xG 0.09L. Pederson · On goal · xG 0.06A. Kniazev · Missed · xG 0.06N. Merkley · Goal · xG 0.06A. Cogliano · Missed · xG 0.06J. Dahlen · Missed · xG 0.05R. Balcers · Missed · xG 0.05B. Burns · Goal · xG 0.04L. Couture · On goal · xG 0.04T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.03J. Weatherby · On goal · xG 0.03B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.03N. Merkley · On goal · xG 0.03A. Kniazev · On goal · xG 0.03A. Kniazev · On goal · xG 0.03R. Balcers · Missed · xG 0.02B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.02J. Megna · On goal · xG 0.02L. Couture · Missed · xG 0.02M. Ferraro · Missed · xG 0.02N. Bonino · On goal · xG 0.02B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.02B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.01L. Couture · On goal · xG 0.01J. Megna · On goal · xG 0.01J. Weatherby · On goal · xG 0.01R. Merkley · Missed · xG 0.01J. Weatherby · On goal · xG 0.01
SJS3 G · 2.0 xG · 38 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsSJS
3.64 G
All situations
3 G2.0
2.13 G
Even strength
1 G1.0
0.30 G
Power play
1 G0.9
0.21 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 78 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL64%36%SJS

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.66 – 1.96

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsSJS
28
Shots on goal
26
42%
Faceoffs
58%
0/4
Power play
1/5
10
Penalty minutes
8
15
Hits
11
9
Blocked shots
13
5
Giveaways
15
7
Takeaways
13

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
72J. FaulkD000-100.02430—24:04
47T. KrugD000020.12100—22:59
18R. ThomasC112041.800005021:24
6M. ScandellaD000+210.02120—20:30
55C. ParaykoD011+210.02000—19:48
89P. BuchnevichL101+140.330024019:10
91V. TarasenkoR000+110.18212—18:54
57D. PerronL011010.08200—18:53
49I. BarbashevL011+100.000041018:29
20B. SaadL202+120.27000—15:38
25J. KyrouR000-120.1701010015:35
21T. BozakC022+210.060004313:48
46J. WalmanD011+120.09110—13:06
77N. MikkolaD000+310.04210—11:57
81J. NealL101020.06000—11:45
63J. NeighboursL000+120.24100—09:04
37K. KostinC011+120.08102008:14
10B. SchennC000000.000006707:15
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1J. Hofer(W)26233.8851.99-1.0160:00

Season series

STL leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).