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Blues at Ducks
NHL

St. Louis Blues at Anaheim Ducks

NHL scoreboard
St. Louis Blues
1
Anaheim Ducks
▸4
FinalTV BSW, BSMW·Honda Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Anaheim Ducks beat the St. Louis Blues 4-1. The Blues scored first; the Ducks answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Troy Terry's goal at 2:46 of the third period, which took the Ducks' chances from 58% to 77%. Expected goals favored the Ducks, 3.3 to 2.9; shots on goal were STL 35, ANA 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Jordan Binnington stopped 23 of 26 (.885), 0.6 goals below expected; John Gibson stopped 34 of 35 (.971), 1.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. John Gibson (34 saves, .971), 2. Ryan Getzlaf, 3. Hampus Lindholm (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ANA
    J. Gibson34 saves, .971
  2. ★★
    ANA
    R. Getzlaf
  3. ★★★
    ANA
    H. Lindholm1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
STLSTL18012015135
ANAANA0916312427

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    B. Saad(4)
    D. Perron (5), C. Parayko (4)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +11 pts
    1-0
    0:13

2nd period

  1. ANA
    S. Carrick(3)
    D. Grant (3), B. Groulx (2)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +18 pts
    1-1
    8:23

3rd period

  1. ANA
    T. Terry(8)PPG
    S. Milano (4), C. Fowler (8)
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +19 pts
    1-2
    2:46
  2. ANA
    S. Steel(3)
    H. Lindholm (4), N. Deslauriers (1)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +14 pts
    1-3
    8:31
  3. ANA
    B. Groulx(1)EN
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.84
    1-4
    19:12

Penalties

STL 14 PIM·ANA 2 PIM

1st

  • 14:39STLIvan Barbashev · Slashingdrawn by Nicolas Deslauriers2 min

2nd

  • 19:02ANARyan Getzlaf · Cross checkingdrawn by Justin Faulk2 min

3rd

  • 2:18STLRobert Thomas · Hookingdrawn by Cam Fowler2 min
  • 19:12STLDavid Perron · Misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalSTL goalFinal: ANA 100%

Biggest swing: Troy Terry, 3rd 2:46 — ANA 58% → 77%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Groulx · Goal · xG 0.84A. Henrique · Missed · xG 0.20N. Deslauriers · On goal · xG 0.20A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.17M. McTavish · On goal · xG 0.13D. Grant · On goal · xG 0.13D. Grant · On goal · xG 0.12T. Terry · Goal · xG 0.12R. Getzlaf · On goal · xG 0.10K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.10S. Milano · Missed · xG 0.09S. Carrick · Goal · xG 0.09S. Steel · Goal · xG 0.09M. McTavish · On goal · xG 0.07N. Deslauriers · On goal · xG 0.07R. Getzlaf · On goal · xG 0.07J. Drysdale · On goal · xG 0.07R. Getzlaf · On goal · xG 0.07I. Lundeström · Missed · xG 0.06I. Lundeström · Missed · xG 0.06C. Fowler · Missed · xG 0.05I. Lundeström · On goal · xG 0.05A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.05K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.04C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.04J. Manson · Missed · xG 0.03C. Fowler · Missed · xG 0.03S. Carrick · On goal · xG 0.02K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.02I. Lundeström · Missed · xG 0.02K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.02J. Drysdale · On goal · xG 0.01H. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.01R. Getzlaf · On goal · xG 0.01I. Lundeström · On goal · xG 0.01A. Henrique · Missed · xG 0.00R. Getzlaf · Missed · xG 0.00S. Carrick · On goal · xG 0.00
ANA4 G · 3.3 xG · 38 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsANA
2.91 G
All situations
3 G3.3
2.11 G
Even strength
2 G2.1
0.80 G
Power play
1 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL58%42%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.89 – 2.41

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsANA
35
Shots on goal
27
57%
Faceoffs
43%
0/1
Power play
1/2
14
Penalty minutes
2
15
Hits
27
8
Blocked shots
15
13
Giveaways
15
7
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
72J. FaulkD000-340.11200—25:22
55C. ParaykoD011030.09020—23:51
18R. ThomasC000-220.380026720:33
6M. ScandellaD000+120.08000—20:15
91V. TarasenkoR000-230.25210—19:21
90R. O'ReillyC000020.310005819:03
57D. PerronL011040.290010—18:09
20B. SaadL101030.21010—17:58
89P. BuchnevichL000-140.1410010017:50
25J. KyrouR000030.27100—16:57
43C. RosenD000-110.03000—15:52
46J. WalmanD000000.03000—15:30
49I. BarbashevL000-210.144024214:26
37K. KostinC000-120.49200013:59
41R. BortuzzoD000000.00130—13:54
21T. BozakC000000.000105010:23
63J. NeighboursL000010.07100—09:32
81J. NealL000000.00100—08:22
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
50J. Binnington(L)26233.8852.41-0.5955:34

Season series

ANA leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).