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Blues at Ducks
NHL

St. Louis Blues at Anaheim Ducks

NHL scoreboard
St. Louis Blues
▸6
Anaheim Ducks
3
FinalTV BSSD, BSSC·Honda Center

Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Anaheim Ducks 6-3. The Blues came back from two goals down. The Blues led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ivan Barbashev's goal at 12:37 of the second period, which took the Blues' chances from 47% to 67%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 3.8 to 1.7; shots on goal were STL 37, ANA 17. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 81% of the time. Ville Husso stopped 14 of 17 (.824), 1.3 goals below expected; John Gibson stopped 31 of 37 (.838), 2.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Ryan Getzlaf (1 A), 2. Ryan Getzlaf (1 A), 3. Ryan Getzlaf (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ANA
    R. Getzlaf1 A
  2. ★★
    ANA
    R. Getzlaf1 A
  3. ★★★
    ANA
    R. Getzlaf1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
STLSTL012415210637
ANAANA230618317

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. ANA
    M. Comtois(4)
    V. Lettieri (5), S. Steel (13)
    tip-inxG 0.15win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    10:31
  2. ANA
    G. Mayhew(11)
    T. Zegras (37), A. Sustr (5)
    slapxG 0.02win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    12:40

2nd period

  1. STL
    J. Kyrou(26)
    I. Barbashev (33), J. Faulk (31)
    snapxG 0.10win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    7:29
  2. STL
    V. Tarasenko(34)
    N. Mikkola (9), R. Thomas (57)
    deflectedxG 0.13win prob +18 pts
    2-2
    8:37
  3. STL
    I. Barbashev(26)
    J. Kyrou (44), T. Bozak (9)
    tip-inxG 0.04win prob +20 pts
    3-2
    12:37
  4. STL
    J. Faulk(16)
    C. Parayko (29), V. Tarasenko (48)
    slapxG 0.02win prob +18 pts
    4-2
    14:38

3rd period

  1. STL
    P. Buchnevich(30)
    R. O'Reilly (35), N. Mikkola (10)
    snapxG 0.03win prob +7 pts
    5-2
    4:44
  2. STL
    M. Scandella(3)
    I. Barbashev (34), P. Buchnevich (45)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +2 pts
    6-2
    5:37
  3. ANA
    A. Henrique(19)
    R. Getzlaf (34), T. Terry (29)
    wristxG 0.08
    6-3
    17:19

Penalties

STL 2 PIM·ANA 2 PIM

2nd

  • 3:24ANAJohn Gibson · High stickingdrawn by Nathan Walker2 min

3rd

  • 5:56STLMarco Scandella · Trippingdrawn by Sam Steel2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalSTL goalFinal: ANA 0%

Biggest swing: Ivan Barbashev, 2nd 12:37 — STL 47% → 67%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Drysdale · On goal · xG 0.19G. Mayhew · On goal · xG 0.16M. Comtois · Goal · xG 0.15K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.13J. Drysdale · On goal · xG 0.12S. Milano · On goal · xG 0.12G. Mayhew · Missed · xG 0.09V. Lettieri · On goal · xG 0.08A. Henrique · Goal · xG 0.08S. Steel · On goal · xG 0.08T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.06A. Henrique · Missed · xG 0.05V. Lettieri · Missed · xG 0.05T. Terry · Missed · xG 0.04R. Getzlaf · On goal · xG 0.04R. Getzlaf · Missed · xG 0.04R. Getzlaf · On goal · xG 0.03R. Getzlaf · On goal · xG 0.03J. Drysdale · On goal · xG 0.03S. Benoit · On goal · xG 0.02G. Mayhew · Goal · xG 0.02A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.02R. Getzlaf · Missed · xG 0.02U. Vaakanainen · Missed · xG 0.02A. Sustr · Missed · xG 0.02U. Vaakanainen · Missed · xG 0.01K. Shattenkirk · Missed · xG 0.01U. Vaakanainen · Missed · xG 0.00S. Benoit · Missed · xG 0.00
ANA3 G · 1.7 xG · 29 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsANA
3.86 G
All situations
3 G1.7
3.26 G
Even strength
3 G1.7
0.60 G
Power play
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 78 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL81%19%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.69 – 1.72

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsANA
37
Shots on goal
17
59%
Faceoffs
41%
0/1
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
2
11
Hits
17
7
Blocked shots
11
6
Giveaways
10
3
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
72J. FaulkD112+260.22000—24:38
4N. LeddyD000+110.01010—24:24
55C. ParaykoD011+300.05020—23:25
6M. ScandellaD101010.13012—22:14
18R. ThomasC011+220.290006716:55
25J. KyrouR112+230.34100—16:31
49I. BarbashevL123+320.22000—16:24
90R. O'ReillyC011-130.240005316:19
89P. BuchnevichL112+320.33000—16:12
77N. MikkolaD022+100.00320—15:48
20B. SaadL000-140.40000—15:44
57D. PerronL000-140.78000—14:59
21T. BozakC011+300.000008614:53
91V. TarasenkoR112+140.32000—14:34
65A. ToropchenkoR000-110.06200—12:23
26N. WalkerL000-100.14300—12:22
22L. BrownC000-140.261005012:07
41R. BortuzzoD000000.00110—08:08
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35V. Husso(W)17143.8241.72-1.2860:00

Season series

ANA leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).