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Boston Bruins at Philadelphia Flyers

FinalTV TNT, SN1·Wells Fargo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Philadelphia Flyers beat the Boston Bruins 6-3. The Flyers scored first and never trailed. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Cam Atkinson's goal at 0:58 of the third period, which took the Flyers' chances from 53% to 76%. Expected goals were close — BOS 2.2, PHI 2.0; shots on goal were BOS 40, PHI 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Bruins win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Jeremy Swayman stopped 19 of 24 (.792), 3.5 goals below expected; Martin Jones stopped 37 of 40 (.925), 0.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Cam Atkinson (2 G), 2. Joel Farabee (1 G, 1 A), 3. Derick Brassard (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PHI
    C. Atkinson2 G
  2. ★★
    PHI
    J. Farabee1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    PHI
    D. Brassard2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BOSBOS110218012340
PHIPHI2711038625

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. PHI
    wristxG 0.09win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    8:08
  2. BOS
    wristxG 0.12win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    16:48
  3. PHI
    wristxG 0.13win prob +12 pts
    1-2
    19:51

2nd period

  1. PHI
    snapxG 0.09win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    1:58
  2. BOS
    wristxG 0.16win prob +15 pts
    2-3
    8:38
  3. BOS
    wristxG 0.11win prob +22 pts
    3-3
    19:00

3rd period

  1. PHI
    wristxG 0.23win prob +24 pts
    3-4
    0:58
  2. PHI
    wristxG 0.08win prob +13 pts
    3-5
    11:17
  3. PHI
    wristxG 0.50
    3-6
    19:01

Penalties

BOS 4 PIM·PHI 2 PIM

1st

  • 13:52PHIRasmus Ristolainen · Interferencedrawn by Patrice Bergeron2 min
  • 18:25BOSCharlie Coyle · Trippingdrawn by Travis Sanheim2 min

3rd

  • 17:43BOSBrandon Carlo · Roughingdrawn by Sean Couturier2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalBOS goalFinal: PHI 100%

Biggest swing: Cam Atkinson, 3rd 0:58 — PHI 53% → 76%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Couturier · Goal · xG 0.50C. Atkinson · Goal · xG 0.23J. Farabee · Goal · xG 0.13C. Atkinson · Missed · xG 0.13J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.11C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.10K. Yandle · Missed · xG 0.09C. Atkinson · Goal · xG 0.09S. Laughton · Goal · xG 0.09T. Konecny · Goal · xG 0.08S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.07O. Lindblom · On goal · xG 0.06J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.06J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.06J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.05J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.03S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.02S. Laughton · Missed · xG 0.02T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.02J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.02R. Ristolainen · Missed · xG 0.01R. Ellis · Missed · xG 0.01J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.01C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.01R. Ristolainen · On goal · xG 0.01R. Ristolainen · On goal · xG 0.01J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.01K. Yandle · On goal · xG 0.01T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.01S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.00
PHI6 G · 2.0 xG · 30 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BOSvsPHI
2.23 G
All situations
5 G2.0
2.23 G
Even strength
4 G1.3
0.00 G
Power play
1 G0.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 79 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BOS64%36%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.19 – 1.52

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BOSvsPHI
40
Shots on goal
25
48%
Faceoffs
52%
0/1
Power play
2/2
4
Penalty minutes
2
32
Hits
35
18
Blocked shots
23
6
Giveaways
12
4
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Boston Bruins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
73C. McAvoyD022+200.09330—23:19
6M. ReillyD000-100.01000—21:36
48M. GrzelcykD000+220.02040—20:28
63B. MarchandL101020.11100—19:53
88D. PastrnakR011050.52110—19:38
75C. CliftonD000-210.05410—18:39
37P. BergeronC000030.030006017:26
28D. ForbortD000-240.03220—17:06
71T. HallL101-120.16120—16:46
12C. SmithC000-170.44000016:43
25B. CarloD000-120.01102—16:37
56E. HaulaL000-100.002105515:27
13C. CoyleC000-110.042122714:30
92T. NosekL011+110.144105014:08
83K. KuhlmanC101+140.35210013:23
74J. DeBruskL000-120.11010—13:22
11T. FredericC011+120.02800010:09
17N. FolignoL000-120.1110010008:37
Boston Bruins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1J. Swayman(L)24195.7921.53-3.4759:29

Season series

BOS leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).