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Boston Bruins at Philadelphia Flyers

FinalTV NBCSP, NESN·Wells Fargo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Boston Bruins beat the Philadelphia Flyers 5-2. The Bruins scored first and never trailed. The Bruins led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Derek Forbort's goal at 16:27 of the second period, which took the Bruins' chances from 47% to 69%. Expected goals favored the Bruins, 3.1 to 2.3; shots on goal were BOS 44, PHI 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Bruins win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Linus Ullmark stopped 29 of 31 (.935); Martin Jones stopped 39 of 44 (.886), 1.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Derek Forbort (2 G), 2. Craig Smith (1 G, 1 A), 3. Derick Brassard (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BOS
    D. Forbort2 G
  2. ★★
    BOS
    C. Smith1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    PHI
    D. Brassard2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BOSBOS121213210544
PHIPHI08211012231

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. BOS
    backhandxG 0.12win prob +15 pts
    1-0
    18:25

2nd period

  1. BOS
    slapxG 0.01win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    0:30
  2. PHI
    wristxG 0.30win prob +16 pts
    2-1
    1:22
  3. PHI
    wristxG 0.12win prob +15 pts
    2-2
    9:25
  4. BOS
    snapxG 0.14win prob +22 pts
    3-2
    16:27

3rd period

  1. BOS
    snapxG 0.11win prob +18 pts
    4-2
    1:28
  2. BOS
    snapxG 0.18win prob +3 pts
    5-2
    12:47

Penalties

BOS 17 PIM·PHI 13 PIM

1st

  • 4:36BOSTaylor Hall · Trippingdrawn by Claude Giroux2 min
  • 10:19PHIClaude Giroux · Trippingdrawn by Brandon Carlo2 min
  • 12:07PHIJustin Braun · Trippingdrawn by David Pastrnak2 min

2nd

  • 3:42BOSDerek Forbort · Trippingdrawn by Joel Farabee2 min
  • 8:30BOSBrad Marchand · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Rasmus Ristolainen2 min
  • 10:32BOSCharlie McAvoy · Fightingdrawn by Joel Farabee5 min
  • 10:32PHIJoel Farabee · Fightingdrawn by Charlie McAvoy5 min

3rd

  • 4:11PHIOskar Lindblom · Hookingdrawn by Jake DeBrusk2 min
  • 4:29BOSPatrice Bergeron · Hookingdrawn by Sean Couturier2 min
  • 11:54BOSBrandon Carlo · Trippingdrawn by Derick Brassard2 min
  • 11:54PHIserved by Z. MacEwen · Delaying game bench face off violation2 min
  • 14:20BOSDerek Forbort · Hookingdrawn by Zack MacEwen2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalBOS goalFinal: PHI 0%

Biggest swing: Derek Forbort, 2nd 16:27 — BOS 47% → 69%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Brassard · Goal · xG 0.30J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.16C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.15D. Brassard · On goal · xG 0.15D. Brassard · Goal · xG 0.12S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.11T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.11J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.09C. Giroux · Missed · xG 0.08C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.08O. Lindblom · Missed · xG 0.08C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.07N. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.07J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.06M. Willman · On goal · xG 0.06C. Giroux · Missed · xG 0.06C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.06S. Laughton · Missed · xG 0.05K. Yandle · Missed · xG 0.05S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.04Z. MacEwen · On goal · xG 0.04T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.03C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.03R. Ristolainen · Missed · xG 0.03J. Farabee · Missed · xG 0.03N. Seeler · On goal · xG 0.03T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.03J. Braun · On goal · xG 0.02J. Braun · On goal · xG 0.02C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.02J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.01K. Yandle · On goal · xG 0.01J. Braun · Missed · xG 0.01I. Provorov · Missed · xG 0.01C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.01M. Willman · On goal · xG 0.01T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.01K. Yandle · On goal · xG 0.01S. Laughton · Missed · xG 0.01T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.00D. Brassard · On goal · xG 0.00
PHI2 G · 2.3 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BOSvsPHI
3.15 G
All situations
2 G2.3
2.35 G
Even strength
1 G1.6
0.70 G
Power play
1 G0.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 94 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BOS63%37%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.04 – 2.31

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BOSvsPHI
44
Shots on goal
31
51%
Faceoffs
49%
0/3
Power play
1/5
17
Penalty minutes
13
33
Hits
29
9
Blocked shots
8
7
Giveaways
5
5
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Boston Bruins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
73C. McAvoyD000+120.08525—23:54
25B. CarloD000+140.04112—22:17
48M. GrzelcykD000-120.07210—19:26
28D. ForbortD202+230.16114—18:50
63B. MarchandL011+120.01302—18:19
67J. ZborilD011+200.00420—17:41
13C. CoyleC011010.112003017:27
88D. PastrnakR112+270.49100—16:25
37P. BergeronC000+150.152125615:52
17N. FolignoL000-130.46210—15:11
74J. DeBruskL022+230.3110010014:38
71T. HallL000-130.33002—14:19
6M. ReillyD000+310.01200—14:05
56E. HaulaL011+220.151004414:00
12C. SmithC112+240.35000013:27
92T. NosekL101+110.121006713:04
20C. LazarC011+110.204006011:23
81A. BlidhL011+100.00100—08:47
Boston Bruins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35L. Ullmark(W)31292.9352.31+0.3160:00

Season series

BOS leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).