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Islanders at Lightning
NHL

New York Islanders at Tampa Bay Lightning

NHL scoreboard
New York Islanders
0
Tampa Bay Lightning
▸1
FinalTV NBCSN, CBC·Amalie Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the New York Islanders 1-0. The Lightning scored first and never trailed. The Lightning led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Yanni Gourde's goal at 1:49 of the second period, which took the Lightning's chances from 49% to 67%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 3.5 to 1.7; shots on goal were NYI 18, TBL 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. Semyon Varlamov stopped 30 of 31 (.968), 1.7 goals saved above expected; Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 18 of 18 (1.000), 1.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Yanni Gourde (1 G), 2. Ryan McDonagh, 3. Barclay Goodrow.

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    Y. Gourde1 G
  2. ★★
    TBL
    R. McDonagh
  3. ★★★
    TBL
    B. Goodrow

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYINYI050607018
TBLTBL01511204131

Scoring

1 goal

2nd period

  1. TBL
    Y. Gourde(5)SHG
    A. Cirelli (6), A. Killorn (9)
    snapxG 0.16win prob +17 pts
    0-1
    1:49

Penalties

NYI 0 PIM·TBL 2 PIM

2nd

  • 0:50TBLBarclay Goodrow · Cross checkingdrawn by Adam Pelech2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TBL goalNYI goalFinal: TBL 100%

Biggest swing: Yanni Gourde, 2nd 1:49 — TBL 49% → 67%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Sergachev · Missed · xG 0.79Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.19S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.18V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.18T. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.17Y. Gourde · Goal · xG 0.16B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.16A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.12N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.12T. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.11V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.11R. Colton · Missed · xG 0.10O. Palat · On goal · xG 0.10V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.10A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.10P. Maroon · Missed · xG 0.08Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.08N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.07A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.06R. McDonagh · On goal · xG 0.06O. Palat · Missed · xG 0.06V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.05Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.05E. Cernak · On goal · xG 0.04N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.03E. Cernak · On goal · xG 0.03B. Point · On goal · xG 0.02M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.02Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.02D. Savard · On goal · xG 0.02B. Goodrow · On goal · xG 0.02R. McDonagh · On goal · xG 0.02M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.02M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.01E. Cernak · Missed · xG 0.01N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.01D. Savard · Missed · xG 0.01E. Cernak · On goal · xG 0.01B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.01
TBL1 G · 3.5 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsTBL
1.70 G
All situations
1 G3.5
1.40 G
Even strength
0 G2.5
0.40 G
Power play
0 G0.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 68 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI32%68%TBL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.74 – 2.70

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsTBL
18
Shots on goal
31
50%
Faceoffs
50%
0/1
Power play
0/0
0
Penalty minutes
2
49
Hits
48
8
Blocked shots
21
4
Giveaways
4
3
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2N. LeddyD000-100.01420—24:00
3A. PelechD000010.06600—23:38
6R. PulockD000020.17100—22:11
13M. BarzalC000-110.180002021:10
18A. BeauvillierR000020.26100—19:57
24S. MayfieldD000010.04220—18:12
7J. EberleR000000.00100—16:59
44J. PageauC000000.001005016:50
8N. DobsonD000020.03200—16:34
12J. BaileyR000-110.21300—16:07
29B. NelsonC000-120.260006716:04
21K. PalmieriC000-110.17400015:25
17M. MartinL000010.03330—14:42
4A. GreeneD000000.00400—12:36
53C. CizikasC000030.200005012:17
14T. ZajacC000010.06210012:15
15C. ClutterbuckR000000.05800—12:14
47L. KomarovR000000.007006711:11
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40S. Varlamov(L)31301.9682.70+1.7057:24

Series

TBL leads 4-3

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).