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Islanders at Lightning
NHL

New York Islanders at Tampa Bay Lightning

NHL scoreboard
New York Islanders
2
Tampa Bay Lightning
▸4
FinalTV NBCSN, CBC·Amalie Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the New York Islanders 4-2. The Lightning scored first and never trailed. The Lightning led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ondrej Palat's goal at 13:15 of the second period, which took the Lightning's chances from 53% to 73%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 3.8 to 3.1; shots on goal were NYI 26, TBL 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Semyon Varlamov stopped 23 of 27 (.852), 0.8 goals below expected; Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 24 of 26 (.923), 1.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Nikita Kucherov (3 A), 2. Andrei Vasilevskiy (24 saves, .923), 3. Victor Hedman (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    N. Kucherov3 A
  2. ★★
    TBL
    A. Vasilevskiy24 saves, .923
  3. ★★★
    TBL
    V. Hedman1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYINYI1100719226
TBLTBL1171828433

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. TBL
    B. Point(10)
    N. Kucherov (15), D. Savard (1)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    8:58
  2. NYI
    B. Nelson(7)PPG
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.25win prob +10 pts
    1-1
    13:30

2nd period

  1. TBL
    O. Palat(3)
    N. Kucherov (16), V. Hedman (12)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +20 pts
    1-2
    13:15

3rd period

  1. TBL
    J. Rutta(1)
    B. Goodrow (1), B. Coleman (4)
    slapxG 0.02win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    2:16
  2. TBL
    V. Hedman(1)PPG
    N. Kucherov (17), S. Stamkos (9)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +3 pts
    1-4
    9:17
  3. NYI
    M. Barzal(5)
    J. Eberle (7), N. Leddy (6)
    wristxG 0.22win prob +1 pts
    2-4
    16:44

Penalties

NYI 33 PIM·TBL 21 PIM

1st

  • 3:15TBLPatrick Maroon · Holdingdrawn by Scott Mayfield2 min
  • 3:15NYIScott Mayfield · Roughingdrawn by Patrick Maroon2 min
  • 4:16NYIRyan Pulock · High stickingdrawn by Anthony Cirelli2 min
  • 9:23TBLSteven Stamkos · Slashingdrawn by Andy Greene2 min
  • 13:10TBLBrayden Point · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Semyon Varlamov2 min
  • 13:45TBLPatrick Maroon · Fightingdrawn by Matt Martin5 min
  • 13:45NYIMatt Martin · Fightingdrawn by Patrick Maroon5 min
  • 16:28NYILeo Komarov · Interferencedrawn by Alex Killorn2 min

2nd

  • 3:29TBLBlake Coleman · Slashingdrawn by Jean-Gabriel Pageau2 min

3rd

  • 4:41NYITravis Zajac · Interferencedrawn by Steven Stamkos2 min
  • 8:09NYITravis Zajac · Slashingdrawn by Barclay Goodrow2 min
  • 10:55TBLYanni Gourde · Roughingdrawn by Leo Komarov2 min
  • 10:55NYILeo Komarov · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Yanni Gourde2 min
  • 10:55NYILeo Komarov · Misconduct10 min
  • 11:09TBLErik Cernak · Slashingdrawn by Nick Leddy2 min
  • 13:50NYIAnthony Beauvillier · Roughingdrawn by Nikita Kucherov2 min
  • 20:00NYIMatt Martin · Roughingdrawn by Barclay Goodrow2 min
  • 20:00TBLAnthony Cirelli · Roughingdrawn by Travis Zajac2 min
  • 20:00NYITravis Zajac · Roughingdrawn by Anthony Cirelli2 min
  • 20:00TBLBarclay Goodrow · Roughingdrawn by Matt Martin2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TBL goalNYI goalFinal: TBL 100%

Biggest swing: Ondrej Palat, 2nd 13:15 — TBL 53% → 73%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.23O. Palat · On goal · xG 0.20N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.19A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.17B. Point · On goal · xG 0.16V. Hedman · Goal · xG 0.16O. Palat · Goal · xG 0.16N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.16Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.15B. Point · Goal · xG 0.15A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.15A. Cirelli · Missed · xG 0.14R. Colton · On goal · xG 0.13B. Goodrow · On goal · xG 0.13S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.13P. Maroon · On goal · xG 0.13O. Palat · On goal · xG 0.12N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.11S. Stamkos · Missed · xG 0.10V. Hedman · Missed · xG 0.10Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.08S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.08Y. Gourde · Missed · xG 0.07A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.06V. Hedman · Missed · xG 0.06J. Rutta · On goal · xG 0.05O. Palat · On goal · xG 0.05B. Goodrow · On goal · xG 0.05A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.04V. Hedman · Missed · xG 0.04R. McDonagh · On goal · xG 0.04T. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.04P. Maroon · On goal · xG 0.03E. Cernak · Missed · xG 0.03J. Rutta · Goal · xG 0.02J. Rutta · On goal · xG 0.02B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.02M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.02V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.01M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.01O. Palat · On goal · xG 0.01
TBL4 G · 3.8 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsTBL
3.12 G
All situations
4 G3.8
1.91 G
Even strength
3 G2.2
1.21 G
Power play
1 G1.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 77 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI37%63%TBL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.97 – 3.77

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsTBL
26
Shots on goal
33
53%
Faceoffs
47%
1/4
Power play
1/5
33
Penalty minutes
21
37
Hits
32
16
Blocked shots
8
4
Giveaways
4
3
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2N. LeddyD011-100.00230—22:44
6R. PulockD000-210.17722—22:25
3A. PelechD000-100.02220—19:53
13M. BarzalC101030.46110018:22
4A. GreeneD000000.00300—17:41
29B. NelsonC101-210.481007317:40
24S. MayfieldD000+110.01212—17:32
12J. BaileyR000-230.16100—16:51
7J. EberleR011030.23200—15:54
21K. PalmieriC000+120.27010015:38
14T. ZajacC000010.122066015:25
18A. BeauvillierR000-220.30102—14:56
53C. CizikasC000030.484205014:30
15C. ClutterbuckR000010.10000—14:17
8N. DobsonD000-110.01110—14:12
44J. PageauC000020.033204713:37
47L. KomarovR000-120.2211145010:21
17M. MartinL000000.00407—07:00
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40S. Varlamov(L)27234.8523.22-0.7850:46
30I. Sorokin6601.0000.56+0.5606:50

Series

TBL leads 4-3

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).