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Washington Capitals at Boston Bruins

Final/2OTTV NBCSN, NBCSWA·TD Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The Boston Bruins beat the Washington Capitals 3-2 in double overtime, Craig Smith scoring at 5:48. The Capitals scored first; the Bruins answered. The Capitals led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Craig Smith's goal at 5:48 of the second overtime, which took the Bruins' chances from 52% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Bruins, 4.1 to 2.9; shots on goal were WSH 37, BOS 43. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Bruins win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. Ilya Samsonov stopped 40 of 43 (.930), 1.1 goals saved above expected; Tuukka Rask stopped 35 of 37 (.946), 0.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Craig Smith (1 G, 1 A), 2. Brad Marchand (1 G), 3. Taylor Hall (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BOS
    C. Smith1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    BOS
    B. Marchand1 G
  3. ★★★
    BOS
    T. Hall1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOT2OTT
WSHWSH04216090503237
BOSBOS0101111301712343

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. WSH
    snapxG 0.19win prob +16 pts
    1-0
    8:21
  2. BOS
    wristxG 0.08win prob +19 pts
    1-1
    9:17
  3. WSH
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +23 pts
    2-1
    18:15

3rd period

  1. BOS
    wristxG 0.10win prob +26 pts
    2-2
    11:32

2OT overtime

  1. BOS
    Unassisted
    wrap-aroundxG 0.07win prob +48 pts
    2-3
    5:48

Penalties

WSH 10 PIM·BOS 10 PIM

1st

  • 2:20WSHAlex Ovechkin · Interferencedrawn by Sean Kuraly2 min
  • 7:38BOSMike Reilly · High stickingdrawn by T.J. Oshie2 min
  • 10:34BOSserved by N. Ritchie · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 13:18WSHZdeno Chara · Slashingdrawn by Charlie Coyle2 min
  • 14:24WSHJohn Carlson · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 17:25BOSSean Kuraly · Trippingdrawn by Alex Ovechkin2 min

2nd

  • 6:56BOSBrad Marchand · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Brenden Dillon2 min
  • 15:45BOSMatt Grzelcyk · High stickingdrawn by Alex Ovechkin2 min

3rd

  • 3:25WSHDaniel Carr · Trippingdrawn by Charlie Coyle2 min
  • 11:00WSHNic Dowd · High stickingdrawn by Charlie McAvoy2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BOS goalWSH goalFinal: BOS 100%

Biggest swing: Craig Smith, 2OT 5:48 — BOS 52% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.25D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.23S. Kuraly · On goal · xG 0.21P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.17B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.17D. Pastrnak · Missed · xG 0.17D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.14P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.13D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.13D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.12B. Marchand · Missed · xG 0.11B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.10C. McAvoy · On goal · xG 0.10P. Bergeron · Missed · xG 0.10B. Marchand · Goal · xG 0.10C. Coyle · Missed · xG 0.09D. Pastrnak · Missed · xG 0.09P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.08D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.08P. Bergeron · Missed · xG 0.08P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.08T. Hall · Goal · xG 0.08N. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.07C. McAvoy · On goal · xG 0.07J. DeBrusk · Missed · xG 0.07C. Smith · Goal · xG 0.07S. Kuraly · On goal · xG 0.06C. Clifton · Missed · xG 0.06C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.06C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.06D. Krejci · Missed · xG 0.05C. Smith · Missed · xG 0.05D. Krejci · On goal · xG 0.05M. Reilly · On goal · xG 0.05M. Grzelcyk · On goal · xG 0.04C. Clifton · Missed · xG 0.04M. Reilly · On goal · xG 0.04N. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.03P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.03D. Pastrnak · Missed · xG 0.03D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.03C. Wagner · On goal · xG 0.03C. Coyle · Missed · xG 0.03K. Miller · Missed · xG 0.03C. Lazar · On goal · xG 0.03C. Wagner · Missed · xG 0.02T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.02M. Grzelcyk · Missed · xG 0.02C. Wagner · Missed · xG 0.02C. McAvoy · On goal · xG 0.02P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.02M. Reilly · Missed · xG 0.02D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.02K. Miller · Missed · xG 0.01C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.01M. Reilly · On goal · xG 0.01M. Grzelcyk · Missed · xG 0.01M. Reilly · On goal · xG 0.01C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.01D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.01K. Miller · Missed · xG 0.00K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.00D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.00M. Grzelcyk · On goal · xG 0.00
BOS3 G · 4.1 xG · 64 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WSHvsBOS
2.92 G
All situations
3 G4.1
1.71 G
Even strength
2 G2.5
1.01 G
Power play
1 G1.3
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 119 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WSH32%68%BOS

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.90 – 4.06

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WSHvsBOS
37
Shots on goal
43
52%
Faceoffs
48%
1/5
Power play
1/5
10
Penalty minutes
10
57
Hits
60
20
Blocked shots
14
10
Giveaways
12
15
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Washington Capitals skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. CarlsonD000-130.15222—33:40
9D. OrlovD000-140.21450—32:08
2J. SchultzD000-120.17210—29:06
8A. OvechkinL101040.55412—27:54
92E. KuznetsovC000010.041004526:41
77T. OshieR000-130.315104026:10
43T. WilsonR000-110.3062010025:56
4B. DillonD000010.02310—25:14
19N. BackstromC000-110.172105024:10
39A. ManthaR011040.3040010022:39
3N. JensenD000+110.00210—22:17
26N. DowdC101+110.157226120:53
33Z. CharaD000020.02112—20:07
73C. ShearyL000-120.20100—19:37
62C. HagelinL000010.08210—18:52
17M. RafflL000-140.093003317:13
21G. HathawayR011+110.09710—16:27
28D. CarrL000010.05102—10:33
Washington Capitals goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30I. Samsonov(L)43403.9304.12+1.1285:45

Series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).