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Boston Bruins at Washington Capitals

FinalTV USA, NBCSWA·Capital One Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Boston Bruins beat the Washington Capitals 3-1. The Bruins scored first and never trailed. The Bruins led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Patrice Bergeron's goal at 14:05 of the second period, which took the Bruins' chances from 68% to 85%. Expected goals favored the Capitals, 3.1 to 1.7; shots on goal were BOS 19, WSH 41. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 74% of the time. Tuukka Rask stopped 40 of 41 (.976), 2.1 goals saved above expected; Ilya Samsonov stopped 16 of 19 (.842), 1.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Tuukka Rask (40 saves, .976), 2. Patrice Bergeron (2 G), 3. Conor Sheary (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BOS
    T. Rask40 saves, .976
  2. ★★
    BOS
    P. Bergeron2 G
  3. ★★★
    WSH
    C. Sheary1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BOSBOS092416319
WSHWSH010020111141

Scoring

4 goals

2nd period

  1. BOS
    wristxG 0.19win prob +16 pts
    1-0
    2:28
  2. BOS
    wristxG 0.03win prob +18 pts
    2-0
    14:05

3rd period

  1. WSH
    wristxG 0.09win prob +17 pts
    2-1
    0:11
  2. BOS
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.09win prob +14 pts
    3-1
    12:25

Penalties

BOS 10 PIM·WSH 8 PIM

1st

  • 5:09WSHGarnet Hathaway · Roughingdrawn by Taylor Hall2 min
  • 5:09BOSTaylor Hall · Roughingdrawn by Garnet Hathaway2 min
  • 6:46BOSDavid Pastrnak · Trippingdrawn by Justin Schultz2 min
  • 8:47WSHTom Wilson · Cross checkingdrawn by Jake DeBrusk2 min
  • 16:14BOSBrad Marchand · Roughingdrawn by John Carlson2 min
  • 19:31BOSCraig Smith · Trippingdrawn by Alex Ovechkin2 min

2nd

  • 3:48WSHDaniel Sprong · Holdingdrawn by Jarred Tinordi2 min

3rd

  • 12:45BOSMike Reilly · Cross checkingdrawn by T.J. Oshie2 min
  • 16:18WSHDaniel Sprong · Trippingdrawn by Charlie McAvoy2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WSH goalBOS goalFinal: WSH 0%

Biggest swing: Patrice Bergeron, 2nd 14:05 — BOS 68% → 85%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.22A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.18N. Dowd · On goal · xG 0.18L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.15E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.14T. Wilson · Missed · xG 0.14C. Sheary · On goal · xG 0.14A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.12C. Hagelin · On goal · xG 0.10C. Sheary · Goal · xG 0.09E. Kuznetsov · Missed · xG 0.08L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.08A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.07L. Eller · Missed · xG 0.07E. Kuznetsov · Missed · xG 0.07D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.06C. Hagelin · On goal · xG 0.06E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.06A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.06J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.06J. Schultz · Missed · xG 0.06A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.06T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.05D. Sprong · On goal · xG 0.05G. Hathaway · On goal · xG 0.05A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.05E. Kuznetsov · Missed · xG 0.05D. Sprong · On goal · xG 0.04J. Schultz · Missed · xG 0.04T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.04J. Schultz · On goal · xG 0.04J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.03C. Sheary · On goal · xG 0.03E. Kuznetsov · Missed · xG 0.03T. Wilson · Missed · xG 0.03N. Jensen · On goal · xG 0.02E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.02N. Backstrom · On goal · xG 0.02J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.02J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.02D. Sprong · On goal · xG 0.02N. Jensen · On goal · xG 0.02N. Backstrom · On goal · xG 0.02G. Hathaway · On goal · xG 0.02J. Schultz · Missed · xG 0.01D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.01G. Hathaway · On goal · xG 0.01E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Chara · On goal · xG 0.01E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.01D. Sprong · On goal · xG 0.01N. Backstrom · On goal · xG 0.01J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.01A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.01B. Dillon · Missed · xG 0.01L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.01
WSH1 G · 3.1 xG · 56 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BOSvsWSH
1.73 G
All situations
1 G3.1
1.33 G
Even strength
1 G2.0
0.30 G
Power play
0 G1.1
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BOS26%74%WSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.73 – 3.07

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BOSvsWSH
19
Shots on goal
41
47%
Faceoffs
53%
0/3
Power play
0/4
10
Penalty minutes
8
26
Hits
36
19
Blocked shots
14
5
Giveaways
9
4
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Boston Bruins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
73C. McAvoyD000+100.06160—25:19
25B. CarloD000+100.00140—23:16
63B. MarchandL000+110.23002—19:10
84J. TinordiD000000.03430—19:02
6M. ReillyD022+300.01202—18:17
37P. BergeronC202+140.391006017:53
13C. CoyleC000020.130005017:01
88D. PastrnakR112+240.35102—16:55
75C. CliftonD000010.03200—15:40
46D. KrejciC000+120.080103115:04
48M. GrzelcykD000-100.01110—15:02
71T. HallL000+110.04002—13:49
74J. DeBruskL000000.04010—13:38
12C. SmithC000000.00012013:05
52S. KuralyC000010.073105012:43
21N. RitchieL000020.18200—12:30
20C. LazarC000000.005102011:34
14C. WagnerR000010.09300—10:02
Boston Bruins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40T. Rask(W)41401.9763.10+2.1060:00

Series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).