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Jets at Flames
NHL

Winnipeg Jets at Calgary Flames

NHL scoreboard
Winnipeg Jets
▸4
Calgary Flames
0
FinalTV TVAS, SNW·Scotiabank Saddledome

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Calgary Flames 4-0. The Jets scored first and never trailed. The Jets led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Adam Lowry's goal at 5:33 of the second period, which took the Jets' chances from 59% to 78%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 2.8 to 1.6; shots on goal were WPG 19, CGY 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 72% of the time. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 32 of 32 (1.000), 2.9 goals saved above expected; Jacob Markstrom stopped 15 of 19 (.789), 2.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Adam Lowry (2 G, 1 A), 2. Blake Wheeler (2 G), 3. Connor Hellebuyck (32 saves, 1.000).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    A. Lowry2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    WPG
    B. Wheeler2 G
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    C. Hellebuyck32 saves, 1.000

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WPGWPG172517419
CGYCGY0609017032

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. WPG
    A. Lowry(9)
    A. Copp (23)
    snapxG 0.08win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    1:09

2nd period

  1. WPG
    A. Lowry(10)SHG
    D. DeMelo (7), A. Copp (24)
    backhandxG 0.11win prob +18 pts
    2-0
    5:33
  2. WPG
    B. Wheeler(12)
    N. Pionk (28), A. Lowry (13)
    deflectedxG 0.09win prob +9 pts
    3-0
    18:46

3rd period

  1. WPG
    B. Wheeler(13)PPG
    M. Scheifele (37), P. Stastny (16)
    backhandxG 0.20win prob +1 pts
    4-0
    3:02

Penalties

WPG 10 PIM·CGY 6 PIM

1st

  • 6:41CGYDillon Dube · Cross checkingdrawn by Neal Pionk2 min
  • 12:34WPGPaul Stastny · Hookingdrawn by Mikael Backlund2 min

2nd

  • 5:12WPGVille Heinola · Interferencedrawn by Sean Monahan2 min
  • 16:28WPGBlake Wheeler · Trippingdrawn by Andrew Mangiapane2 min

3rd

  • 2:31CGYDerek Ryan · Hookingdrawn by Pierre-Luc Dubois2 min
  • 5:14CGYMikael Backlund · Roughingdrawn by Neal Pionk2 min
  • 9:31WPGJosh Morrissey · High sticking double minordrawn by Milan Lucic4 min
  • 19:11CGYRasmus Andersson · Ps holding on breakawaydrawn by Andrew Copp0 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalWPG goalFinal: CGY 0%

Biggest swing: Adam Lowry, 2nd 5:33 — WPG 59% → 78%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Lucic · Missed · xG 0.23A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.17J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.16E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.15M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.14A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.14M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.13M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.09M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.08E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.08E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.08M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.07J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.07B. Robinson · On goal · xG 0.07A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.06D. Dube · On goal · xG 0.06E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.06B. Ritchie · Missed · xG 0.06M. Lucic · Missed · xG 0.06D. Dube · Missed · xG 0.06M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.06J. Gaudreau · Missed · xG 0.06S. Monahan · Missed · xG 0.05M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.05S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.05M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.05J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.04M. Giordano · Missed · xG 0.04A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.04M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.04M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.03D. Dube · On goal · xG 0.03R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.03N. Nesterov · Missed · xG 0.03C. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.03M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.03M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.03M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.02B. Robinson · On goal · xG 0.02M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.02M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.02R. Andersson · Missed · xG 0.01N. Nesterov · On goal · xG 0.01C. Tanev · Missed · xG 0.01J. Välimäki · On goal · xG 0.01J. Nordstrom · On goal · xG 0.01M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.00
CGY0 G · 2.8 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsCGY
1.64 G
All situations
0 G2.8
1.02 G
Even strength
0 G1.7
0.41 G
Power play
0 G1.0
0.21 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 73 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG28%72%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.63 – 2.85

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsCGY
19
Shots on goal
32
52%
Faceoffs
48%
1/3
Power play
0/5
10
Penalty minutes
6
9
Hits
19
13
Blocked shots
13
10
Giveaways
22
9
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4N. PionkD011+100.00320—22:55
44J. MorrisseyD000000.06024—22:26
2D. DeMeloD011+220.05120—19:45
24D. ForbortD000+200.00010—19:27
9A. CoppC022+330.3602010018:59
3T. PoolmanD000+110.03100—17:40
55M. ScheifeleC011000.000004417:36
81K. ConnorL000010.23000—17:32
17A. LowryC213+330.192103816:45
26B. WheelerR202+120.29102—16:07
25P. StastnyC011010.070028014:25
85M. PerreaultC000010.01000014:12
14V. HeinolaD000010.02002—13:50
13P. DuboisC000010.040105713:32
11N. ThompsonC000000.000106713:17
22M. AppletonC000+120.24100012:23
23T. LewisC000010.06000012:08
12J. HarkinsC000000.00010007:35
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37C. Hellebuyck(W)323201.0002.85+2.8559:26

Season series

WPG leads 6-3

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).