Skip to content
Jets at Flames
NHL

Winnipeg Jets at Calgary Flames

NHL scoreboard
Winnipeg Jets
▸3
Calgary Flames
2
FinalTV ESPN+, SNW·Scotiabank Saddledome

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Calgary Flames 3-2. The Jets scored first and never trailed. The Jets led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kyle Connor's goal at 5:33 of the second period, which took the Jets' chances from 64% to 81%. Expected goals were close — WPG 3.0, CGY 2.8; shots on goal were WPG 29, CGY 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 25 of 27 (.926), 0.8 goals saved above expected; Jacob Markstrom stopped 26 of 29 (.897). Three stars: 1. Connor Hellebuyck (25 saves, .926), 2. Paul Stastny (1 G, 1 A), 3. Noah Hanifin (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    C. Hellebuyck25 saves, .926
  2. ★★
    WPG
    P. Stastny1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    N. Hanifin2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WPGWPG11011019329
CGYCGY0608213227

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. WPG
    B. Wheeler(10)PPG
    P. Stastny (11), K. Connor (15)
    deflectedxG 0.21win prob +9 pts
    1-0
    9:13

2nd period

  1. WPG
    K. Connor(17)
    T. Poolman (1)
    wristxG 0.26win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    5:33

3rd period

  1. CGY
    M. Lucic(7)PPG
    M. Backlund (12), N. Hanifin (6)
    tip-inxG 0.20win prob +13 pts
    2-1
    6:52
  2. WPG
    P. Stastny(11)PPG
    B. Wheeler (20), M. Scheifele (27)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +7 pts
    3-1
    14:54
  3. CGY
    M. Tkachuk(9)
    E. Lindholm (21), N. Hanifin (7)
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +7 pts
    3-2
    18:01

Penalties

WPG 8 PIM·CGY 12 PIM

1st

  • 2:49WPGPierre-Luc Dubois · Cross checkingdrawn by Derek Ryan2 min
  • 9:05CGYDillon Dube · High stickingdrawn by Nikolaj Ehlers2 min
  • 14:07CGYNoah Hanifin · Holdingdrawn by Adam Lowry2 min
  • 14:51WPGMark Scheifele · Interferencedrawn by Derek Ryan2 min
  • 18:45CGYElias Lindholm · High stickingdrawn by Pierre-Luc Dubois2 min

3rd

  • 5:33WPGDylan DeMelo · Interferencedrawn by Dillon Dube2 min
  • 12:07CGYMilan Lucic · Boardingdrawn by Mason Appleton2 min
  • 12:07CGYMilan Lucic · Roughingdrawn by Neal Pionk2 min
  • 14:37CGYJacob Markstrom · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 18:07WPGPaul Stastny · Trippingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalWPG goalFinal: CGY 0%

Biggest swing: Kyle Connor, 2nd 5:33 — WPG 64% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.30M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.25M. Lucic · Goal · xG 0.20S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.19M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.18M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.17S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.15J. Nordstrom · Missed · xG 0.13S. Monahan · Missed · xG 0.13M. Tkachuk · Goal · xG 0.12D. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.09N. Hanifin · Missed · xG 0.08M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.08M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.07S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.07J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.06J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.06D. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.05J. Leivo · Missed · xG 0.05M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.04M. Giordano · Missed · xG 0.04E. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.04M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.03N. Nesterov · On goal · xG 0.03N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.03N. Nesterov · On goal · xG 0.03C. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.03M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.02N. Hanifin · Missed · xG 0.02N. Nesterov · On goal · xG 0.02S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.02C. Tanev · Missed · xG 0.01D. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.01S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hanifin · Missed · xG 0.01M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.00R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.00N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.00
CGY2 G · 2.8 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsCGY
3.03 G
All situations
2 G2.8
1.91 G
Even strength
1 G1.4
1.12 G
Power play
1 G1.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 77 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG53%47%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.92 – 2.72

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsCGY
29
Shots on goal
27
50%
Faceoffs
50%
2/6
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
12
11
Hits
18
22
Blocked shots
9
5
Giveaways
13
11
Takeaways
14

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
44J. MorrisseyD000+120.03130—24:50
4N. PionkD000-130.07140—22:33
55M. ScheifeleC011020.430226722:08
24D. ForbortD000010.05220—21:19
81K. ConnorL112040.84000—20:01
25P. StastnyC112020.351025019:07
3T. PoolmanD011010.01020—18:44
26B. WheelerR112030.43010—17:58
9A. CoppC000010.021005017:11
27N. EhlersL000010.05000—15:38
17A. LowryC000030.311205315:23
2D. DeMeloD000000.00122—14:11
22M. AppletonC000010.04000013:58
13P. DuboisC000010.061024413:44
64L. StanleyD000030.20120—11:40
85M. PerreaultC000000.00100008:45
23T. LewisC000010.07010008:15
11N. ThompsonC000000.010103307:23
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37C. Hellebuyck(W)27252.9262.82+0.8260:00

Season series

WPG leads 6-3

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).