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Panthers at Blackhawks
NHL

Florida Panthers at Chicago Blackhawks

NHL scoreboard
Florida Panthers
▸5
Chicago Blackhawks
4
FinalTV BSFL, NBCSCH+·United Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Chicago Blackhawks 5-4. The Panthers scored first and never trailed. The Panthers led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Aleksander Barkov's goal at 19:53 of the second period, which took the Panthers' chances from 47% to 71%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 4.0 to 3.5; shots on goal were FLA 42, CHI 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 31 of 35 (.886), 0.5 goals below expected; Kevin Lankinen stopped 37 of 42 (.881), 1.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Anthony Duclair (2 G, 1 A), 2. Adam Gaudette (2 A), 3. Aleksander Barkov (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    A. Duclair2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    CHI
    A. Gaudette2 A
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    A. Barkov1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
FLAFLA117213212542
CHICHI01429212435

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. FLA
    A. Duclair(9)
    S. Bennett (15), G. Forsling (9)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +14 pts
    1-0
    7:54

2nd period

  1. FLA
    N. Gusev(3)
    R. Lomberg (2), R. Gudas (8)
    backhandxG 0.09win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    2:30
  2. CHI
    C. Murphy(3)PPG
    B. Connolly (3), A. Gaudette (5)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +17 pts
    2-1
    15:19
  3. CHI
    A. DeBrincat(25)
    A. Gaudette (6), I. Mitchell (3)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +22 pts
    2-2
    16:11
  4. FLA
    A. Barkov(25)
    G. Forsling (10), A. Duclair (21)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +24 pts
    3-2
    19:53

3rd period

  1. FLA
    A. Duclair(10)
    A. Barkov (29), G. Denisenko (2)
    wristxG 0.19win prob +18 pts
    4-2
    0:28
  2. FLA
    O. Tippett(7)
    S. Bennett (16)
    snapxG 0.31win prob +8 pts
    5-2
    0:59
  3. CHI
    K. Dach(2)PPG
    P. Kurashev (7), B. Hagel (14)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +2 pts
    5-3
    12:28
  4. CHI
    D. Kubalik(17)
    P. Kane (47), A. DeBrincat (23)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +1 pts
    5-4
    19:42

Penalties

FLA 8 PIM·CHI 2 PIM

1st

  • 5:34FLAAnthony Duclair · Trippingdrawn by David Kampf2 min
  • 13:47CHIDuncan Keith · Trippingdrawn by Noel Acciari2 min

2nd

  • 13:20FLARadko Gudas · Holdingdrawn by Brett Connolly2 min

3rd

  • 10:42FLAFrank Vatrano · Slashingdrawn by Philipp Kurashev2 min
  • 19:52FLARyan Lomberg · Slashingdrawn by Alex DeBrincat2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CHI goalFLA goalFinal: CHI 0%

Biggest swing: Aleksander Barkov, 2nd 19:53 — FLA 47% → 71%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.44D. Kubalik · On goal · xG 0.21D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.21K. Dach · On goal · xG 0.20B. Connolly · On goal · xG 0.20A. DeBrincat · Goal · xG 0.16P. Kurashev · On goal · xG 0.14P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.12K. Dach · Goal · xG 0.11M. Hardman · On goal · xG 0.11D. Kubalik · Missed · xG 0.10D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.09D. Kampf · On goal · xG 0.08P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.08V. Hinostroza · On goal · xG 0.07D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.07A. Gaudette · Missed · xG 0.07B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.07D. Kubalik · On goal · xG 0.07D. Kubalik · On goal · xG 0.07P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.07P. Kurashev · Missed · xG 0.06D. Kubalik · On goal · xG 0.06P. Kurashev · On goal · xG 0.05P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.05M. Hardman · On goal · xG 0.05D. Keith · On goal · xG 0.05A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.05D. Kampf · Missed · xG 0.04C. Murphy · Goal · xG 0.04P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.04W. Kalynuk · On goal · xG 0.04D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.04B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.03D. Kubalik · Goal · xG 0.03I. Mitchell · Missed · xG 0.03R. Stillman · On goal · xG 0.02C. Murphy · On goal · xG 0.02W. Kalynuk · Missed · xG 0.02B. Connolly · On goal · xG 0.02R. Stillman · On goal · xG 0.01M. Hardman · Missed · xG 0.01
CHI4 G · 3.5 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsCHI
4.05 G
All situations
4 G3.5
3.55 G
Even strength
2 G1.9
0.10 G
Power play
2 G1.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 105 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA54%46%CHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.57 – 3.28

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsCHI
42
Shots on goal
35
55%
Faceoffs
45%
0/1
Power play
2/4
8
Penalty minutes
2
27
Hits
31
13
Blocked shots
18
11
Giveaways
13
10
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
62B. MontourD000020.11110—22:28
52M. WeegarD000+240.33130—21:58
42G. ForslingD022+240.24020—20:50
65M. NutivaaraD000+120.12200—20:34
21A. WennbergC000-100.061204017:31
91A. DuclairL213+330.21012—17:16
7R. GudasD011010.04612—17:13
9S. BennettC022040.292006016:23
16A. BarkovC112+310.141206415:36
11J. HuberdeauL000010.2010010015:26
3K. YandleD000+130.05000—15:25
55N. AcciariC000+120.161005014:16
74O. TippettR101020.45100—13:56
94R. LombergL011+130.38512—13:43
77F. VatranoR000-120.73202—13:40
14G. DenisenkoL011+310.02300—12:54
20A. HeponiemiC000-130.17000012:39
97N. GusevL101+140.35000—12:19
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
72S. Bobrovsky(W)35314.8863.47-0.5360:00

Season series

FLA leads 6-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).