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Blackhawks at Panthers
NHL

Chicago Blackhawks at Florida Panthers

FinalTV FS-F, NBCSCH·BB&T Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Chicago Blackhawks 6-3. The Panthers came back from two goals down. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Aleksander Barkov's goal at 13:26 of the third period, which took the Panthers' chances from 44% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 4.8 to 2.4; shots on goal were CHI 29, FLA 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Kevin Lankinen stopped 30 of 34 (.882), 1.0 goals below expected; Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 26 of 29 (.897), 0.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Aleksander Barkov (1 G, 2 A), 2. Gustav Forsling (1 G, 1 A), 3. Sergei Bobrovsky (26 saves, .897).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    A. Barkov1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    FLA
    G. Forsling1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    S. Bobrovsky26 saves, .897

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CHICHI1828013329
FLAFLA113210313636

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. CHI
    snapxG 0.38win prob +14 pts
    1-0
    10:38
  2. FLA
    slapxG 0.12win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    18:15

2nd period

  1. CHI
    slapxG 0.16win prob +19 pts
    2-1
    10:19
  2. CHI
    D. Kubalik (13), D. Keith (10)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +17 pts
    3-1
    13:02
  3. FLA
    A. Ekblad(10)PPG
    snapxG 0.04win prob +13 pts
    3-2
    14:58
  4. FLA
    wristxG 0.03win prob +21 pts
    3-3
    16:00

3rd period

  1. FLA
    A. Barkov(12)SHG
    wristxG 0.53win prob +37 pts
    3-4
    13:26
  2. FLA
    wristxG 0.90win prob +6 pts
    3-5
    18:16
  3. FLA
    snapxG 0.48
    3-6
    19:04

Penalties

CHI 8 PIM·FLA 10 PIM

1st

  • 7:18FLAGustav Forsling · Trippingdrawn by Brandon Hagel2 min
  • 12:05CHINikita Zadorov · Interferencedrawn by Noel Acciari2 min
  • 12:05FLAserved by M. Marchment · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 14:20FLAFrank Vatrano · Trippingdrawn by Carl Soderberg2 min
  • 16:23CHIDuncan Keith · Trippingdrawn by Aleksander Barkov2 min

2nd

  • 14:02CHIAlex DeBrincat · Trippingdrawn by Aaron Ekblad2 min
  • 16:22CHIConnor Murphy · Interferencedrawn by Patric Hornqvist2 min

3rd

  • 10:29FLARadko Gudas · Interferencedrawn by Pius Suter2 min
  • 13:11FLAJonathan Huberdeau · Trippingdrawn by Matthew Highmore2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalCHI goalFinal: FLA 100%

Biggest swing: Aleksander Barkov, 3rd 13:26 — FLA 44% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Verhaeghe · Goal · xG 0.90A. Barkov · Goal · xG 0.53A. Wennberg · Goal · xG 0.48M. Marchment · Missed · xG 0.45P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.13F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.13A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.12C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.12O. Tippett · Goal · xG 0.12M. Marchment · On goal · xG 0.11A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.11A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.10A. Wennberg · On goal · xG 0.10N. Acciari · On goal · xG 0.09N. Acciari · On goal · xG 0.09M. Marchment · On goal · xG 0.09A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.08A. Stralman · Missed · xG 0.08A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.08P. Hornqvist · Missed · xG 0.08J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.08O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.07J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.07P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.06P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.06M. Marchment · On goal · xG 0.06M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.04A. Ekblad · Goal · xG 0.04G. Forsling · Missed · xG 0.04J. Lammikko · Missed · xG 0.04C. Verhaeghe · Missed · xG 0.04A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.03M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.03G. Forsling · Goal · xG 0.03A. Ekblad · Missed · xG 0.03F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.02C. Verhaeghe · Missed · xG 0.02G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.02K. Yandle · On goal · xG 0.01E. Luostarinen · On goal · xG 0.01F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.01M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.01A. Wennberg · On goal · xG 0.00R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.00
FLA6 G · 4.8 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CHIvsFLA
2.43 G
All situations
4 G4.8
2.03 G
Even strength
1 G1.7
0.40 G
Power play
2 G0.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 79 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CHI40%60%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.39 – 2.97

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CHIvsFLA
29
Shots on goal
36
38%
Faceoffs
62%
0/4
Power play
2/3
8
Penalty minutes
10
20
Hits
16
9
Blocked shots
10
8
Giveaways
8
2
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Chicago Blackhawks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2D. KeithD011+210.01012—24:41
5C. MurphyD000020.08212—22:12
88P. KaneR101-240.48000—20:18
12A. DeBrincatR000-130.2930210019:09
8D. KubalikL011-130.29100—17:50
44C. de HaanD011000.00310—17:48
16N. ZadorovD000010.01302—17:42
27A. BoqvistD000-200.00110—16:39
24P. SuterC000-130.171003316:01
34C. SoderbergC000-110.221204415:46
38B. HagelL101-140.37010—15:18
13M. JanmarkC011020.07100015:07
64D. KampfC011000.001005014:50
23P. KurashevC101+120.19000014:00
22R. CarpenterC000-110.061105013:48
51I. MitchellD000000.00210—12:31
71L. WallmarkC000020.160002011:10
36M. HighmoreC000000.00000009:48
Chicago Blackhawks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32K. Lankinen(L)34304.8822.99-1.0158:34

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).