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Blackhawks at Panthers
NHL

Chicago Blackhawks at Florida Panthers

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Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Chicago Blackhawks 5-2. The Panthers scored first and never trailed. The Panthers led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Eetu Luostarinen's goal at 3:15 of the third period, which took the Panthers' chances from 55% to 78%. Expected goals were close — CHI 2.3, FLA 2.3; shots on goal were CHI 30, FLA 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blackhawks win a replay of these chances 50% of the time. Collin Delia stopped 31 of 36 (.861), 2.7 goals below expected; Chris Driedger stopped 28 of 30 (.933). Three stars: 1. Eetu Luostarinen (1 G, 1 A), 2. Jonathan Huberdeau (1 G, 2 A), 3. Keith Yandle (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    E. Luostarinen1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    FLA
    J. Huberdeau1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    K. Yandle1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CHICHI07111112230
FLAFLA01527314536

Scoring

7 goals

2nd period

  1. FLA
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.01win prob +15 pts
    0-1
    0:12
  2. FLA
    wristxG 0.01win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    5:33
  3. CHI
    D. Keith (1), P. Kane (1)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    12:24

3rd period

  1. CHI
    snapxG 0.07win prob +19 pts
    2-2
    2:53
  2. FLA
    snapxG 0.09win prob +23 pts
    2-3
    3:15
  3. FLA
    snapxG 0.01win prob +15 pts
    2-4
    5:57
  4. FLA
    snapxG 0.24
    2-5
    16:55

Penalties

CHI 8 PIM·FLA 6 PIM

1st

  • 1:03CHIAlex DeBrincat · Hookingdrawn by Alexander Wennberg2 min
  • 5:42FLAAnton Stralman · Slashingdrawn by Alex DeBrincat2 min

2nd

  • 10:56FLAKeith Yandle · Holdingdrawn by Andrew Shaw2 min
  • 13:16CHIserved by D. Strome · Too many men on the ice2 min

3rd

  • 1:42CHILucas Wallmark · Holdingdrawn by Gustav Forsling2 min
  • 2:49FLAJonathan Huberdeau · Hookingdrawn by Mattias Janmark2 min
  • 16:47CHIRyan Carpenter · Slashingdrawn by Alexander Wennberg2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalCHI goalFinal: FLA 100%

Biggest swing: Eetu Luostarinen, 3rd 3:15 — FLA 55% → 78%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Huberdeau · Goal · xG 0.24B. Connolly · On goal · xG 0.22B. Connolly · On goal · xG 0.21A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.16C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.14A. Barkov · Missed · xG 0.13C. Verhaeghe · Missed · xG 0.13F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.12A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.09E. Luostarinen · Goal · xG 0.09A. Wennberg · On goal · xG 0.08A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.07P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.07F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.07A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.06R. Lomberg · On goal · xG 0.05A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.05M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.04M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.04K. Yandle · On goal · xG 0.03O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.02B. Connolly · Missed · xG 0.02A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.02R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.02E. Luostarinen · Missed · xG 0.02K. Yandle · On goal · xG 0.02A. Stralman · On goal · xG 0.02R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.01E. Luostarinen · On goal · xG 0.01K. Yandle · Goal · xG 0.01R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.01A. Stralman · On goal · xG 0.01P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.01P. Hornqvist · Goal · xG 0.01A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.01A. Ekblad · Goal · xG 0.01F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.01A. Stralman · Missed · xG 0.01N. Acciari · On goal · xG 0.00R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.00F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.00
FLA5 G · 2.3 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CHIvsFLA
2.32 G
All situations
5 G2.3
1.51 G
Even strength
4 G1.9
0.81 G
Power play
1 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 77 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CHI50%50%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.27 – 2.26

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CHIvsFLA
30
Shots on goal
36
47%
Faceoffs
53%
1/3
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
6
24
Hits
30
8
Blocked shots
14
14
Giveaways
25
6
Takeaways
14

Box score

every player line
Chicago Blackhawks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
44C. de HaanD000-100.01520—22:36
2D. KeithD022-110.02110—21:59
5C. MurphyD101-110.07500—21:56
88P. KaneR011-150.55120—21:03
16N. ZadorovD000-140.12410—19:14
12A. DeBrincatR101-150.47002—19:03
17D. StromeC000-130.280007117:54
8D. KubalikL000-130.18100—17:51
51I. MitchellD000-100.00000—16:31
13M. JanmarkC000-110.09100015:44
24P. SuterC011-200.000004215:38
71L. WallmarkC000000.001022215:11
65A. ShawR000020.1110010014:13
23P. KurashevC000-220.17100013:33
27A. BoqvistD000-110.02020—13:22
64D. KampfC000010.160005510:07
22R. CarpenterC000000.002022009:31
36M. HighmoreC000010.06100008:26
Chicago Blackhawks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
60C. Delia(L)36315.8612.31-2.6960:00

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).