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Montréal Canadiens at Edmonton Oilers

FinalTV SNW, TSN2·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Montréal Canadiens beat the Edmonton Oilers 4-3. The Canadiens scored first and never trailed. The Canadiens led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Josh Anderson's goal at 3:20 of the second period, which took the Canadiens' chances from 47% to 63%. Expected goals favored the Canadiens, 3.2 to 2.4; shots on goal were MTL 31, EDM 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canadiens win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Jake Allen stopped 22 of 25 (.880), 0.6 goals below expected; Mike Smith stopped 27 of 31 (.871), 0.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Josh Anderson (2 G), 2. Connor McDavid (1 G, 2 A), 3. Shea Weber.

Three stars

  1. ★
    MTL
    J. Anderson2 G
  2. ★★
    EDM
    C. McDavid1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    MTL
    S. Weber

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MTLMTL1131929431
EDMEDM0419212325

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. MTL
    backhandxG 0.08win prob +15 pts
    1-0
    19:31

2nd period

  1. EDM
    wristxG 0.17win prob +16 pts
    1-1
    3:09
  2. MTL
    T. Tatar (18), J. Petry (21)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +17 pts
    2-1
    3:20

3rd period

  1. MTL
    T. Toffoli(22)PPG
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.35win prob +12 pts
    3-1
    8:10
  2. MTL
    backhandxG 0.12win prob +1 pts
    4-1
    15:03
  3. EDM
    snapxG 0.18
    4-2
    17:48
  4. EDM
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +3 pts
    4-3
    18:49

Penalties

MTL 13 PIM·EDM 13 PIM

1st

  • 2:55MTLCorey Perry · Fightingdrawn by Alex Chiasson5 min
  • 2:55EDMAlex Chiasson · Fightingdrawn by Corey Perry5 min

2nd

  • 8:23MTLJoel Armia · Trippingdrawn by Jesse Puljujarvi2 min
  • 9:39EDMMike Smith · Trippingdrawn by Tyler Toffoli2 min

3rd

  • 2:57EDMConnor McDavid · Roughingdrawn by Corey Perry2 min
  • 5:45MTLJake Allen · Trippingdrawn by Connor McDavid2 min
  • 7:35EDMLeon Draisaitl · Interferencedrawn by Joel Edmundson2 min
  • 15:03EDMserved by D. Kahun · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
  • 15:10MTLJonathan Drouin · High sticking double minordrawn by Josh Archibald4 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalMTL goalFinal: EDM 0%

Biggest swing: Josh Anderson, 2nd 3:20 — MTL 47% → 63%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Nugent-Hopkins · Goal · xG 0.18L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.17C. McDavid · Goal · xG 0.17C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.13L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.13C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.13J. Puljujarvi · Missed · xG 0.12L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.12L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.11K. Russell · On goal · xG 0.11J. Archibald · On goal · xG 0.09K. Yamamoto · On goal · xG 0.09L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.08G. Haas · On goal · xG 0.08J. Puljujarvi · On goal · xG 0.07K. Yamamoto · Missed · xG 0.06J. Puljujarvi · Goal · xG 0.06D. Nurse · Missed · xG 0.05D. Shore · On goal · xG 0.05R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.05K. Russell · On goal · xG 0.04D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.04T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.04L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.03J. Neal · Missed · xG 0.03D. Kahun · Missed · xG 0.03A. Larsson · Missed · xG 0.02R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.02E. Bear · On goal · xG 0.02T. Barrie · Missed · xG 0.02T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.02J. Archibald · On goal · xG 0.02J. Archibald · Missed · xG 0.02G. Haas · Missed · xG 0.02C. Jones · On goal · xG 0.01G. Haas · On goal · xG 0.01
EDM3 G · 2.4 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MTLvsEDM
3.24 G
All situations
3 G2.4
2.53 G
Even strength
2 G1.3
0.41 G
Power play
1 G1.0
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 77 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MTL63%37%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.15 – 2.42

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MTLvsEDM
31
Shots on goal
25
36%
Faceoffs
64%
1/4
Power play
1/4
13
Penalty minutes
13
46
Hits
41
22
Blocked shots
8
10
Giveaways
10
17
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Montréal Canadiens skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8B. ChiarotD000-110.07930—27:17
6S. WeberD000-110.03430—23:42
26J. PetryD022+110.04200—21:33
44J. EdmundsonD000+110.03120—19:20
24P. DanaultC000+120.271404018:50
41P. ByronL000+130.23710—17:20
62A. LehkonenL101020.20310—16:28
17J. AndersonR202+250.65310—16:03
73T. ToffoliC101-150.750005015:46
14N. SuzukiC000000.070102915:12
90T. TatarL022+210.1000010014:21
27A. RomanovD011+110.02100—13:41
40J. ArmiaR000000.00622—13:37
15J. KotkaniemiC011+120.235202013:35
21E. StaalC000-100.001003811:54
92J. DrouinL000-120.11014—11:52
28J. MerrillD000+120.11310—11:32
94C. PerryR000-120.27005—11:19
Montréal Canadiens goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34J. Allen(W)25223.8802.42-0.5860:00

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).