Montréal Canadiens at Edmonton Oilers
Recap
written from the game dataThe Montréal Canadiens beat the Edmonton Oilers 4-3. The Canadiens scored first and never trailed. The Canadiens led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Josh Anderson's goal at 3:20 of the second period, which took the Canadiens' chances from 47% to 63%. Expected goals favored the Canadiens, 3.2 to 2.4; shots on goal were MTL 31, EDM 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canadiens win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Jake Allen stopped 22 of 25 (.880), 0.6 goals below expected; Mike Smith stopped 27 of 31 (.871), 0.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Josh Anderson (2 G), 2. Connor McDavid (1 G, 2 A), 3. Shea Weber.
Three stars
- ★J. Anderson2 G

- ★★C. McDavid1 G, 2 A

- ★★★S. Weber

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
7 goals1st period
1-019:31
2nd period
1-13:09
2-13:20
3rd period
3-18:10
4-115:03
4-217:48
4-318:49
Penalties
1st
- 2:55
Corey Perry · Fightingdrawn by Alex Chiasson5 min
- 2:55
Alex Chiasson · Fightingdrawn by Corey Perry5 min
2nd
- 8:23
Joel Armia · Trippingdrawn by Jesse Puljujarvi2 min
- 9:39
Mike Smith · Trippingdrawn by Tyler Toffoli2 min
3rd
- 2:57
Connor McDavid · Roughingdrawn by Corey Perry2 min
- 5:45
Jake Allen · Trippingdrawn by Connor McDavid2 min
- 7:35
Leon Draisaitl · Interferencedrawn by Joel Edmundson2 min
- 15:03
served by D. Kahun · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
- 15:10
Jonathan Drouin · High sticking double minordrawn by Josh Archibald4 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Josh Anderson, 2nd 3:20 — 47% → 63%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.24 G
- All situations
- 3 G2.4
- 2.53 G
- Even strength
- 2 G1.3
- 0.41 G
- Power play
- 1 G1.0
- 0.20 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.1
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 77 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 3.15 – 2.42
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 31
- Shots on goal
- 25
- 36%
- Faceoffs
- 64%
- 1/4
- Power play
- 1/4
- 13
- Penalty minutes
- 13
- 46
- Hits
- 41
- 22
- Blocked shots
- 8
- 10
- Giveaways
- 10
- 17
- Takeaways
- 8
Box score
every player line
Season series
MTL leads 5-4
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).






