Montréal Canadiens at Edmonton Oilers
Recap
written from the game dataThe Montréal Canadiens beat the Edmonton Oilers 3-1. The Canadiens scored first and never trailed. The Canadiens led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Shea Weber's goal at 19:49 of the second period, which took the Canadiens' chances from 72% to 89%. Expected goals favored the Canadiens, 2.6 to 2.3; shots on goal were MTL 34, EDM 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canadiens win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Jake Allen stopped 25 of 26 (.962), 1.3 goals saved above expected; Mikko Koskinen stopped 31 of 34 (.912).
Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
4 goals1st period
1-09:54
2nd period
2-019:49
3rd period
3-012:15
3-117:51
Penalties
1st
- 13:30
Phillip Danault · Interferencedrawn by Joakim Nygard2 min
- 15:05
Joel Armia · Holdingdrawn by Ryan Nugent-Hopkins2 min
- 16:58
Ben Chiarot · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
2nd
- 4:06
Alexander Romanov · Cross checkingdrawn by Alex Chiasson2 min
- 7:18
Adam Larsson · Holdingdrawn by Phillip Danault2 min
- 13:11
Slater Koekkoek · Slashingdrawn by Nick Suzuki2 min
- 17:11
Brendan Gallagher · Boardingdrawn by Darnell Nurse2 min
- 17:51
Connor McDavid · Hookingdrawn by Jeff Petry2 min
3rd
- 4:17
Shea Weber · Cross checkingdrawn by Leon Draisaitl2 min
- 8:55
Adam Larsson · Interferencedrawn by Jake Evans2 min
- 12:02
Nick Suzuki · Trippingdrawn by Slater Koekkoek2 min
- 16:39
Joakim Nygard · Holdingdrawn by Jeff Petry2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Shea Weber, 2nd 19:49 — 72% → 89%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.63 G
- All situations
- 1 G2.3
- 1.31 G
- Even strength
- 0 G0.7
- 1.21 G
- Power play
- 0 G1.4
- 0.11 G
- Shorthanded
- 1 G0.2
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.63 – 2.33
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 34
- Shots on goal
- 26
- 44%
- Faceoffs
- 56%
- 1/5
- Power play
- 0/7
- 14
- Penalty minutes
- 10
- 31
- Hits
- 17
- 9
- Blocked shots
- 13
- 3
- Giveaways
- 8
- 2
- Takeaways
- 3
Box score
every player line
Season series
MTL leads 5-4
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).






