Edmonton Oilers at Montréal Canadiens
Recap
written from the game dataThe Edmonton Oilers beat the Montréal Canadiens 4-3 in overtime, Dominik Kahun scoring at 0:27. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Oilers led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Dominik Kahun's goal at 0:27 of overtime, which took the Oilers' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals were close — EDM 2.1, MTL 2.1; shots on goal were EDM 22, MTL 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canadiens win a replay of these chances 50% of the time. Mike Smith stopped 26 of 29 (.897), 0.9 goals below expected; Cayden Primeau stopped 18 of 22 (.818), 1.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Nick Suzuki (2 G), 2. Cole Caufield (1 G, 1 A), 3. Leon Draisaitl (1 G, 1 A).
Three stars
- ★N. Suzuki2 G

- ★★C. Caufield1 G, 1 A

- ★★★L. Draisaitl1 G, 1 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
7 goals1st period
0-11:58
1-18:35
1-29:58
2-210:53
2nd period
3-210:47
3rd period
3-38:22
Overtime
4-30:27
Penalties
1st
- 9:45
Ben Chiarot · High stickingdrawn by Jesse Puljujarvi2 min
2nd
- 1:37
Nick Suzuki · Cross checkingdrawn by Jesse Puljujarvi2 min
- 10:25
Nick Suzuki · Hookingdrawn by Leon Draisaitl2 min
3rd
- 16:23
Josh Archibald · Hookingdrawn by Michael Frolik2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Dominik Kahun, OT 0:27 — 49% → 100%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.14 G
- All situations
- 3 G2.1
- 1.42 G
- Even strength
- 2 G1.9
- 0.72 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.1
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 1 G0.1
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 74 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.05 – 2.08
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 22
- Shots on goal
- 29
- 39%
- Faceoffs
- 61%
- 2/3
- Power play
- 0/1
- 2
- Penalty minutes
- 6
- 26
- Hits
- 20
- 14
- Blocked shots
- 8
- 23
- Giveaways
- 15
- 10
- Takeaways
- 6
Box score
every player line
Season series
MTL leads 5-4
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).






