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Edmonton Oilers at Montréal Canadiens

Final/OTTV NHLN, SNW·Centre Bell

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Montréal Canadiens 4-3 in overtime, Dominik Kahun scoring at 0:27. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Oilers led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Dominik Kahun's goal at 0:27 of overtime, which took the Oilers' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals were close — EDM 2.1, MTL 2.1; shots on goal were EDM 22, MTL 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canadiens win a replay of these chances 50% of the time. Mike Smith stopped 26 of 29 (.897), 0.9 goals below expected; Cayden Primeau stopped 18 of 22 (.818), 1.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Nick Suzuki (2 G), 2. Cole Caufield (1 G, 1 A), 3. Leon Draisaitl (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MTL
    N. Suzuki2 G
  2. ★★
    MTL
    C. Caufield1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    L. Draisaitl1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
EDMEDM29170511422
MTLMTL290811101329

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. MTL
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.12win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    1:58
  2. EDM
    wristxG 0.10win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    8:35
  3. MTL
    N. Suzuki(14)SHG
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.08win prob +13 pts
    1-2
    9:58
  4. EDM
    wristxG 0.04win prob +9 pts
    2-2
    10:53

2nd period

  1. EDM
    wristxG 0.28win prob +14 pts
    3-2
    10:47

3rd period

  1. MTL
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +30 pts
    3-3
    8:22

Overtime

  1. EDM
    wristxG 0.12win prob +51 pts
    4-3
    0:27

Penalties

EDM 2 PIM·MTL 6 PIM

1st

  • 9:45MTLBen Chiarot · High stickingdrawn by Jesse Puljujarvi2 min

2nd

  • 1:37MTLNick Suzuki · Cross checkingdrawn by Jesse Puljujarvi2 min
  • 10:25MTLNick Suzuki · Hookingdrawn by Leon Draisaitl2 min

3rd

  • 16:23EDMJosh Archibald · Hookingdrawn by Michael Frolik2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MTL goalEDM goalFinal: MTL 0%

Biggest swing: Dominik Kahun, OT 0:27 — EDM 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.19C. Caufield · Goal · xG 0.11C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.11N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.11C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.11A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.10N. Suzuki · Goal · xG 0.10A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.09A. Belzile · On goal · xG 0.09T. Tatar · On goal · xG 0.08A. Belzile · On goal · xG 0.08N. Suzuki · Goal · xG 0.08M. Frolik · Missed · xG 0.07N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.07P. Byron · On goal · xG 0.06J. Ylonen · On goal · xG 0.06P. Byron · On goal · xG 0.04J. Ylonen · Missed · xG 0.04J. Merrill · On goal · xG 0.04J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.04J. Evans · Missed · xG 0.04C. Caufield · Missed · xG 0.04M. Frolik · On goal · xG 0.03C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.03C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.03X. Ouellet · On goal · xG 0.03B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.02C. Caufield · Missed · xG 0.02X. Ouellet · On goal · xG 0.02T. Tatar · On goal · xG 0.02E. Gustafsson · Missed · xG 0.02J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.02B. Kulak · Missed · xG 0.02B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.02X. Ouellet · Missed · xG 0.01E. Gustafsson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Ylonen · Missed · xG 0.01A. Belzile · Missed · xG 0.01M. Frolik · Missed · xG 0.01E. Gustafsson · Missed · xG 0.01E. Gustafsson · On goal · xG 0.00
MTL3 G · 2.1 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsMTL
2.14 G
All situations
3 G2.1
1.42 G
Even strength
2 G1.9
0.72 G
Power play
0 G0.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 74 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM50%50%MTL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.05 – 2.08

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsMTL
22
Shots on goal
29
39%
Faceoffs
61%
2/3
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
6
26
Hits
20
14
Blocked shots
8
23
Giveaways
15
10
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
25D. NurseD000030.08100—24:49
22T. BarrieD022010.04040—24:11
29L. DraisaitlC112010.281004621:33
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC101-110.09000018:40
6A. LarssonD000020.07230—18:25
70D. KulikovD011000.00210—18:18
74E. BearD000-110.01120—17:18
8K. TurrisC000010.21100015:43
97C. McDavidC022-220.260003015:12
39A. ChiassonR112-120.42200—15:06
82C. JonesD000-100.00000—14:47
71R. McLeodC000000.000104214:27
16J. KhairaL000010.015003814:00
18J. NealL011020.11010—13:50
21D. KahunC101030.35100013:43
14D. ShoreC000000.00310013:28
15J. ArchibaldR000000.02402—13:16
13J. PuljujarviR000-120.16310—12:45
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41M. Smith(W)29263.8972.08-0.9260:17

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).