St. Louis Blues at Utah Mammoth
Recap
written from the game dataThe St. Louis Blues beat the Utah Mammoth 4-1. The Blues scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Justin Faulk's goal at 13:05 of the third period, which took the Blues' chances from 48% to 85%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 4.4 to 1.9; shots on goal were STL 27, ARI 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Coyotes win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Jordan Binnington stopped 24 of 25 (.960), 0.9 goals saved above expected; Darcy Kuemper stopped 23 of 25 (.920). Three stars: 1. Justin Faulk (2 G, 1 A), 2. Johan Larsson (1 G), 3. Jordan Binnington (24 saves, .960).
Three stars
- ★J. Faulk2 G, 1 A

- ★★J. Larsson1 G

- ★★★J. Binnington24 saves, .960

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
5 goals1st period
1-02:28
2nd period
1-18:44
3rd period
2-113:05
3-118:52
4-119:35
Penalties
1st
- 1:48
Christian Fischer · Interferencedrawn by Vince Dunn2 min
- 14:01
Colton Parayko · Holdingdrawn by Christian Dvorak2 min
2nd
- 2:10
Oskar Sundqvist · Holdingdrawn by Conor Garland2 min
- 15:22
Robert Bortuzzo · Holdingdrawn by Barrett Hayton2 min
3rd
- 6:08
Johan Larsson · Illegal check to headdrawn by Zachary Sanford2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Justin Faulk, 3rd 13:05 — 48% → 85%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 4.42 G
- All situations
- 1 G1.9
- 1.51 G
- Even strength
- 1 G1.3
- 0.31 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.6
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 70 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.75 – 1.82
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 27
- Shots on goal
- 25
- 48%
- Faceoffs
- 52%
- 1/2
- Power play
- 0/3
- 6
- Penalty minutes
- 4
- 12
- Hits
- 25
- 18
- Blocked shots
- 14
- 3
- Giveaways
- 4
- 1
- Takeaways
- 1
Box score
every player line
Season series
ARI leads 5-3
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).






