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Utah Mammoth at St. Louis Blues

FinalTV FS-A, FS-MW·Enterprise Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Utah Mammoth beat the St. Louis Blues 4-3. The Coyotes scored first and never trailed. The Coyotes led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nick Schmaltz's goal at 17:48 of the first period, which took the Coyotes' chances from 61% to 78%. Expected goals favored the Coyotes, 3.8 to 3.3; shots on goal were ARI 30, STL 43. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Antti Raanta stopped 40 of 43 (.930); Jordan Binnington stopped 26 of 29 (.897). Three stars: 1. Conor Garland (1 G, 1 A), 2. Mike Hoffman (2 G), 3. Jordan Oesterle (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ARI
    C. Garland1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    STL
    M. Hoffman2 G
  3. ★★★
    ARI
    J. Oesterle2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ARIARI21511015430
STLSTL09016318343

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. ARI
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    9:32
  2. ARI
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    17:48

2nd period

  1. ARI
    wristxG 0.27win prob +11 pts
    3-0
    5:18

3rd period

  1. STL
    slapxG 0.04win prob +1 pts
    3-1
    16:45
  2. ARI
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.78win prob +1 pts
    4-1
    17:46
  3. STL
    wristxG 0.09
    4-2
    18:49
  4. STL
    wristxG 0.05win prob +1 pts
    4-3
    19:35

Penalties

ARI 8 PIM·STL 4 PIM

1st

  • 3:42STLVince Dunn · Hookingdrawn by Conor Garland2 min
  • 11:39ARIClayton Keller · Trippingdrawn by Mike Hoffman2 min

2nd

  • 6:32STLJaden Schwartz · Cross checkingdrawn by Ilya Lyubushkin2 min
  • 9:40ARIJakob Chychrun · High stickingdrawn by David Perron2 min
  • 15:47ARIDrake Caggiula · Hookingdrawn by Jaden Schwartz2 min

3rd

  • 5:22ARIAlex Goligoski · Hookingdrawn by David Perron2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalARI goalFinal: STL 0%

Biggest swing: Nick Schmaltz, 1st 17:48 — ARI 61% → 78%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.28J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.20R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.19B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.14B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.14Z. Sanford · On goal · xG 0.14Z. Sanford · On goal · xG 0.13M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.12R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.11B. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.11B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.10R. O'Reilly · Goal · xG 0.09D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.09M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.09D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.08R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.07B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.07Z. Sanford · Missed · xG 0.07M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.06M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.06J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.05T. Krug · Missed · xG 0.05M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.05B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.05M. Hoffman · Goal · xG 0.05Z. Sanford · On goal · xG 0.05J. Schwartz · Missed · xG 0.05R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.04M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.04D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.04M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.04T. Krug · Missed · xG 0.04M. Hoffman · Goal · xG 0.03J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.03Z. Sanford · Missed · xG 0.03J. Schwartz · Missed · xG 0.03C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.03D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.03V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.02C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.02N. Mikkola · On goal · xG 0.02D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.02N. Mikkola · On goal · xG 0.02T. Krug · Missed · xG 0.02C. Parayko · Missed · xG 0.01T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.01C. Parayko · Missed · xG 0.01T. Krug · Missed · xG 0.01J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.01N. Mikkola · On goal · xG 0.01D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Sanford · On goal · xG 0.01B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.01J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.00J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.00
STL3 G · 3.3 xG · 55 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ARIvsSTL
3.83 G
All situations
3 G3.3
2.73 G
Even strength
3 G1.4
0.30 G
Power play
0 G1.8
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 94 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ARI47%53%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.97 – 3.18

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ARIvsSTL
30
Shots on goal
43
38%
Faceoffs
62%
0/2
Power play
0/4
8
Penalty minutes
4
18
Hits
23
24
Blocked shots
8
2
Giveaways
0
4
Takeaways
1

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4N. HjalmarssonD000+100.00100—21:42
82J. OesterleD022000.01130—21:39
33A. GoligoskiD000+210.03352—21:11
18C. DvorakC112+130.891103319:45
55J. DemersD011010.05220—19:40
6J. ChychrunD000020.15012—18:18
17T. PitlickC101030.50220017:59
83C. GarlandR112+340.67010—15:49
81P. KesselR000-220.22010—14:35
15J. HaydenC000-100.00230014:33
91D. CaggiulaL011+120.02002—14:16
22J. LarssonL000-110.040102414:09
46I. LyubushkinD000-110.03310—14:03
8N. SchmaltzC101+230.310106013:50
16D. BrassardC000010.190005013:46
26M. ChaputC000-110.102105013:10
9C. KellerR000+240.41002—13:06
29B. HaytonC000-110.191108310:29
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32A. Raanta(W)43403.9303.26+0.2660:00

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).