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Utah Mammoth at St. Louis Blues

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Recap

written from the game data

The Utah Mammoth beat the St. Louis Blues 3-1. The Coyotes scored first and never trailed. The Coyotes led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Clayton Keller's goal at 10:44 of the second period, which took the Coyotes' chances from 49% to 66%. Expected goals favored the Coyotes, 2.7 to 2.1; shots on goal were ARI 19, STL 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Darcy Kuemper stopped 24 of 25 (.960), 1.1 goals saved above expected; Ville Husso stopped 16 of 18 (.889). Three stars: 1. Clayton Keller (1 G, 1 A), 2. Jakob Chychrun (2 G), 3. Oskar Sundqvist.

Three stars

  1. ★
    ARI
    C. Keller1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    ARI
    J. Chychrun2 G
  3. ★★★
    STL
    O. Sundqvist

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ARIARI191317319
STLSTL1110608125

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. ARI
    wristxG 0.13win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    2:50
  2. STL
    backhandxG 0.04win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    4:05

2nd period

  1. ARI
    C. Keller(3)PPG
    backhandxG 0.12win prob +17 pts
    2-1
    10:44

3rd period

  1. ARI
    snapxG 0.83win prob +1 pts
    3-1
    19:34

Penalties

ARI 13 PIM·STL 19 PIM

1st

  • 9:36ARINick Schmaltz · Trippingdrawn by Robert Thomas2 min
  • 17:03STLSammy Blais · Slashingdrawn by Conor Garland2 min

2nd

  • 0:53STLMike Hoffman · Slashingdrawn by Nick Schmaltz2 min
  • 5:32ARIJason Demers · Holdingdrawn by Jake Walman2 min
  • 8:57STLTorey Krug · Hookingdrawn by Nick Schmaltz2 min
  • 11:39STLBrayden Schenn · Fightingdrawn by Johan Larsson5 min
  • 11:39ARIJohan Larsson · Fightingdrawn by Brayden Schenn5 min
  • 17:35ARIChristian Dvorak · Hookingdrawn by David Perron2 min

3rd

  • 2:14STLCarl Gunnarsson · Slashingdrawn by Johan Larsson2 min
  • 9:13ARINiklas Hjalmarsson · Hookingdrawn by Ryan O'Reilly2 min
  • 9:24STLDavid Perron · Trippingdrawn by Johan Larsson2 min
  • 18:04STLJaden Schwartz · Interferencedrawn by Johan Larsson2 min
  • 19:34STLDavid Perron · Trippingdrawn by Conor Garland2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalARI goalFinal: STL 0%

Biggest swing: Clayton Keller, 2nd 10:44 — ARI 49% → 66%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.24M. Hoffman · Missed · xG 0.18B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.14V. Dunn · Missed · xG 0.12J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.12J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.09R. Thomas · Missed · xG 0.09J. Walman · Missed · xG 0.08R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.07M. Hoffman · Missed · xG 0.07M. Hoffman · Missed · xG 0.06J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.06T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.06M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.05C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.05D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.05J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.05I. Barbashev · Missed · xG 0.04J. Schwartz · Missed · xG 0.04R. Thomas · Goal · xG 0.04R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.04R. O'Reilly · Missed · xG 0.04R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.04J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.03V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.03B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.03R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.03C. Gunnarsson · On goal · xG 0.03M. MacEachern · Missed · xG 0.02C. Parayko · Missed · xG 0.02V. Dunn · Missed · xG 0.02T. Krug · Missed · xG 0.02T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.01C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.01N. Mikkola · Missed · xG 0.01M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.01C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.01O. Sundqvist · On goal · xG 0.00B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.00
STL1 G · 2.1 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ARIvsSTL
2.72 G
All situations
1 G2.1
0.91 G
Even strength
1 G1.2
0.61 G
Power play
0 G0.9
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 67 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ARI39%61%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.51 – 2.05

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ARIvsSTL
19
Shots on goal
25
42%
Faceoffs
58%
2/7
Power play
0/4
13
Penalty minutes
19
17
Hits
21
8
Blocked shots
11
10
Giveaways
8
10
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6J. ChychrunD202+131.01110—22:45
33A. GoligoskiD000020.03200—22:45
82J. OesterleD011-100.07220—22:28
4N. HjalmarssonD000010.02022—18:35
18C. DvorakC000000.000023718:29
8N. SchmaltzC000010.110022018:01
17T. PitlickC000000.02110017:50
83C. GarlandR022020.120005016:59
81P. KesselR011020.09000—16:54
16D. BrassardC000010.50000016:29
9C. KellerR112010.18000—16:26
55J. DemersD000-110.04002—14:32
15J. HaydenC000020.13410014:19
26M. ChaputC000000.14200014:09
22J. LarssonL000010.142056213:59
46I. LyubushkinD000+100.00210—12:13
29B. HaytonC000010.101004011:40
91D. CaggiulaL000010.05000—03:56
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35D. Kuemper(W)25241.9602.06+1.0659:52

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).