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Jets at Senators
NHL

Winnipeg Jets at Ottawa Senators

NHL scoreboard
Winnipeg Jets
▸3
Ottawa Senators
2
FinalTV TSN3, TSN5·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Ottawa Senators 3-2. The Senators scored first; the Jets answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mathieu Perreault's goal at 2:07 of the third period, which took the Jets' chances from 50% to 73%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 2.9 to 2.0; shots on goal were WPG 35, OTT 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Laurent Brossoit stopped 27 of 29 (.931); Matt Murray stopped 32 of 35 (.914). Three stars: 1. Laurent Brossoit (27 saves, .931), 2. Mark Scheifele (1 G), 3. Nick Paul (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    L. Brossoit27 saves, .931
  2. ★★
    WPG
    M. Scheifele1 G
  3. ★★★
    OTT
    N. Paul1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WPGWPG11109215335
OTTOTT19010110229

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. OTT
    N. Paul(4)
    T. Chabot (23)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    1:19
  2. WPG
    M. Scheifele(16)
    N. Ehlers (25), N. Pionk (24)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    3:24

3rd period

  1. WPG
    M. Perreault(9)PPG
    A. Copp (20), P. Dubois (10)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +23 pts
    2-1
    2:07
  2. WPG
    T. Lewis(3)SHG
    N. Thompson (3)
    wristxG 0.22win prob +19 pts
    3-1
    9:39
  3. OTT
    J. Norris(12)PPG
    T. Chabot (24), C. Brown (11)
    slapxG 0.15win prob +1 pts
    3-2
    19:50

Penalties

WPG 10 PIM·OTT 6 PIM

1st

  • 9:38WPGJosh Morrissey · Trippingdrawn by Josh Norris2 min
  • 18:27OTTserved by B. Tkachuk · Too many men on the ice2 min

2nd

  • 17:05WPGPaul Stastny · Slashingdrawn by Brady Tkachuk2 min

3rd

  • 0:46OTTJosh Norris · Trippingdrawn by Neal Pionk2 min
  • 8:19WPGAndrew Copp · Hookingdrawn by Chris Tierney2 min
  • 17:04OTTArtem Zub · Trippingdrawn by Nikolaj Ehlers2 min
  • 18:55WPGPaul Stastny · Slashingdrawn by Joshua Brown2 min
  • 19:44WPGDylan DeMelo · Holdingdrawn by Drake Batherson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalWPG goalFinal: OTT 0%

Biggest swing: Mathieu Perreault, 3rd 2:07 — WPG 50% → 73%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Stützle · Missed · xG 0.18N. Paul · Goal · xG 0.17B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.17J. Norris · Goal · xG 0.15J. Norris · On goal · xG 0.12M. Amadio · On goal · xG 0.11V. Mete · On goal · xG 0.11B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.10D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.10B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.09E. Dadonov · Missed · xG 0.09A. Formenton · On goal · xG 0.08E. Brannstrom · On goal · xG 0.06R. Dzingel · On goal · xG 0.05T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.05D. Batherson · Missed · xG 0.04J. Norris · Missed · xG 0.03B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.03J. Brown · On goal · xG 0.03T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.03N. Paul · Missed · xG 0.03N. Paul · Missed · xG 0.03R. Dzingel · On goal · xG 0.03R. Dzingel · On goal · xG 0.02A. Formenton · On goal · xG 0.02N. Paul · Missed · xG 0.02T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.02B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.02V. Mete · On goal · xG 0.01C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.01J. Brown · On goal · xG 0.01J. Brown · Missed · xG 0.01J. Brown · On goal · xG 0.01B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.01C. White · Missed · xG 0.01D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.01A. Zub · On goal · xG 0.00A. Zub · On goal · xG 0.00
OTT2 G · 2.0 xG · 38 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsOTT
2.93 G
All situations
2 G2.0
1.71 G
Even strength
1 G1.2
0.61 G
Power play
1 G0.8
0.21 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 78 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG60%40%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.54 – 2.04

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsOTT
35
Shots on goal
29
54%
Faceoffs
46%
1/3
Power play
1/5
10
Penalty minutes
6
36
Hits
32
9
Blocked shots
10
10
Giveaways
15
3
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
24D. ForbortD000030.01500—22:26
44J. MorrisseyD000+120.11242—20:43
4N. PionkD011010.04300—20:09
3T. PoolmanD000000.02220—19:33
2D. DeMeloD000+100.00202—19:02
9A. CoppC011-130.242124018:09
27N. EhlersL011+130.07400—17:41
55M. ScheifeleC101050.670105017:08
25P. StastnyC000+140.421045016:38
81K. ConnorL000-110.08000—16:28
17A. LowryC000+130.425006816:14
13P. DuboisC011010.020102515:22
64L. StanleyD000030.05200—15:08
22M. AppletonC000010.07100014:22
23T. LewisC101+120.28200011:50
11N. ThompsonC011000.153005011:45
85M. PerreaultC101020.13200011:23
12J. HarkinsC000010.12000008:48
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30L. Brossoit(W)29272.9312.04+0.0460:00

Season series

WPG leads 6-4

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).