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Senators at Jets
NHL

Ottawa Senators at Winnipeg Jets

NHL scoreboard
Ottawa Senators
1
Winnipeg Jets
▸5
FinalTV TSN3, TSN5·Bell MTS Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Ottawa Senators 5-1. The Jets scored first and never trailed. The Jets led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nikolaj Ehlers's goal at 7:53 of the second period, which took the Jets' chances from 70% to 86%. Expected goals favored the Senators, 3.8 to 2.3; shots on goal were OTT 42, WPG 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 72% of the time. Matt Murray stopped 12 of 15 (.800), 1.4 goals below expected; Connor Hellebuyck stopped 41 of 42 (.976), 2.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Connor Hellebuyck (41 saves, .976), 2. Paul Stastny (1 G, 1 A), 3. Mason Appleton (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    C. Hellebuyck41 saves, .976
  2. ★★
    WPG
    P. Stastny1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    M. Appleton1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
OTTOTT01809115142
WPGWPG0639211526

Scoring

6 goals

2nd period

  1. WPG
    P. Stastny(3)
    M. Appleton (5), D. Forbort (5)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +15 pts
    0-1
    0:08
  2. WPG
    N. Ehlers(9)
    D. DeMelo (3), K. Connor (6)
    deflectedxG 0.17win prob +16 pts
    0-2
    7:53
  3. WPG
    B. Wheeler(4)PPG
    P. Stastny (5), J. Morrissey (5)
    wristxG 0.19win prob +5 pts
    0-3
    19:33

3rd period

  1. WPG
    M. Perreault(2)
    M. Scheifele (11), T. Lewis (2)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +2 pts
    0-4
    2:58
  2. OTT
    J. Norris(3)
    C. Wolanin (1), A. Watson (3)
    wristxG 0.13
    1-4
    11:42
  3. WPG
    N. Pionk(1)
    M. Scheifele (12), N. Ehlers (7)
    wrap-aroundxG 0.10
    1-5
    13:45

Penalties

OTT 4 PIM·WPG 4 PIM

1st

  • 12:31WPGDylan DeMelo · Holdingdrawn by Alex Galchenyuk2 min

2nd

  • 3:23OTTAlex Galchenyuk · High stickingdrawn by Mathieu Perreault2 min
  • 4:43WPGPierre-Luc Dubois · Trippingdrawn by Connor Brown2 min
  • 18:24OTTErik Gudbranson · Cross checkingdrawn by Nikolaj Ehlers2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalOTT goalFinal: WPG 100%

Biggest swing: Nikolaj Ehlers, 2nd 7:53 — WPG 70% → 86%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Appleton · On goal · xG 0.20B. Wheeler · Goal · xG 0.19N. Ehlers · Goal · xG 0.17M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.11K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.10K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.10N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.10N. Pionk · Goal · xG 0.10B. Wheeler · Missed · xG 0.10A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.09B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.09P. Stastny · Missed · xG 0.09P. Stastny · Goal · xG 0.08P. Stastny · On goal · xG 0.07N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.06M. Appleton · On goal · xG 0.06J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.06P. Dubois · Missed · xG 0.06P. Dubois · Missed · xG 0.06P. Dubois · Missed · xG 0.05A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.05A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.04B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.04N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.04A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.04D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.03K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.03J. Morrissey · Missed · xG 0.02J. Morrissey · Missed · xG 0.02N. Beaulieu · Missed · xG 0.02N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.02T. Poolman · On goal · xG 0.02T. Poolman · On goal · xG 0.01N. Beaulieu · On goal · xG 0.01D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.01M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.01M. Perreault · Goal · xG 0.01T. Poolman · On goal · xG 0.01
WPG5 G · 2.3 xG · 38 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

OTTvsWPG
3.81 G
All situations
5 G2.3
3.61 G
Even strength
4 G1.7
0.10 G
Power play
1 G0.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 95 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
OTT72%28%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.72 – 2.32

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

OTTvsWPG
42
Shots on goal
26
52%
Faceoffs
48%
0/2
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
22
Hits
19
10
Blocked shots
13
9
Giveaways
12
4
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Ottawa Senators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
72T. ChabotD000-120.05010—25:00
22N. ZaitsevD000-210.03110—22:16
44E. GudbransonD000030.11102—20:21
5M. ReillyD000-120.03130—19:35
7B. TkachukL000040.455005019:13
71C. TierneyC000-320.370105016:58
63E. DadonovL000-110.07100—16:15
18T. StützleC000-130.32100016:09
28C. BrownR000-240.28000—16:04
13N. PaulL000-130.400005715:57
21D. StepanC000050.502006415:49
3J. BrownD000-120.05500—15:16
24C. WolaninD011-110.05000—14:35
19D. BathersonR000040.27110—14:32
36C. WhiteC000010.151005714:05
16A. WatsonL011010.20220—13:22
9J. NorrisC101030.501002512:34
17A. GalchenyukC000-100.00012008:50
Ottawa Senators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30M. Murray(L)15123.8001.55-1.4540:00
1M. Hogberg1192.8180.79-1.2120:00

Season series

WPG leads 6-4

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).