Bruins at Capitals 1-2 — Recap, Win Probability & Shot Map

NHL scoreboard

Boston Bruins

Washington Capitals

▸2

FinalTV NHLN, NBCSWA·Capital One Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Washington Capitals beat the Boston Bruins 2-1. The Bruins scored first; the Capitals answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Michael Raffl's goal at 19:57 of the third period, which took the Capitals' chances from 52% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Capitals, 2.7 to 1.1; shots on goal were BOS 25, WSH 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 79% of the time. Jeremy Swayman stopped 30 of 32 (.938), 0.7 goals saved above expected; Vitek Vanecek stopped 24 of 25 (.960). Three stars: 1. Michael Raffl (1 G), 2. Vitek Vanecek (24 saves, .960), 3. Carl Hagelin (1 G).

Three stars

★
M. Raffl1 G
★★
V. Vanecek24 saves, .960
★★★
C. Hagelin1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath

Goals and shots on goal by period
Team	1st	2nd	3rd	T
BOS	06	18	011	125
WSH	010	117	15	232

Scoring

3 goals

2nd period

C. Lazar(7)
J. Tinordi (1), J. DeBrusk (9)
wristxG 0.12win prob +19 pts
1-0
10:11
C. Hagelin(6)
G. Hathaway (12), Z. Chara (8)
wristxG 0.31win prob +22 pts
1-1
16:15

3rd period

M. Raffl(4)
J. Schultz (24)
wristxG 0.01win prob +48 pts
1-2
19:57

Penalties

12 PIM·

12 PIM

1st

7:15Connor Clifton · Slashingdrawn by Carl Hagelin2 min
8:44Anthony Mantha · Trippingdrawn by Steven Kampfer2 min

3rd

1:49Tom Wilson · Misconduct10 min
1:49Trent Frederic · Misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game

Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number

goal

goalFinal: WSH

100%

Biggest swing: Michael Raffl, 3rd 19:57 — WSH 52% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG

2 G · 2.7 xG · 54 att

←

attacks

attacks →

1 G · 1.1 xG · 33 att WSH

2 G · 2.7 xG · 54 att

Tap a shot for who, when and how likely

GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

1.11 G
All situations: 2 G2.7; 1.11 G
Even strength: 2 G2.4; 0.00 G
Power play: 0 G0.2; 0.00 G
Shorthanded: 0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created

21%79%

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.13 – 2.64

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

25
Shots on goal: 32; 38%
Faceoffs: 62%; 0/1
Power play: 0/1; 12
Penalty minutes: 12; 33
Hits: 39; 21
Blocked shots: 10; 4
Giveaways: 9; 7
Takeaways: 8

Box score

every player line

Boston Bruins skaters
Skater	G	A	P	+/-	SOG	ixG	Hit	Blk	PIM	FO%	TOI
44S. KampferD	0	0	0	-1	1	0.03	2	3	0	—	24:05
75C. CliftonD	0	0	0	0	2	0.02	2	2	2	—	22:56
54J. AhcanD	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	0	2	0	—	22:36
84J. TinordiD	0	1	1	0	2	0.02	4	2	0	—	22:20
58U. VaakanainenD	0	0	0	-1	2	0.08	0	2	0	—	21:10
74J. DeBruskL	0	1	1	+1	3	0.15	1	1	0	—	18:53
62O. SteenC	0	0	0	-1	1	0.05	6	1	0	0	17:00
21N. RitchieL	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	0	0	—	16:44
23J. StudnickaC	0	0	0	0	3	0.17	0	2	0	38	16:25
53C. HughesC	0	0	0	-1	3	0.21	2	1	0	42	16:05
14C. WagnerR	0	0	0	+1	3	0.04	2	2	0	—	15:53
20C. LazarC	1	0	1	+1	1	0.12	3	1	0	30	15:34
81A. BlidhL	0	0	0	-1	0	0.03	3	0	0	—	15:11
83K. KuhlmanC	0	0	0	-1	1	0.10	3	1	0	100	12:57
19Z. SenyshynR	0	0	0	0	1	0.07	0	1	0	—	12:27
18G. McKeggC	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	0	43	11:48
11T. FredericC	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	3	0	10	67	10:17
67J. ZborilD	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	—	05:39

Boston Bruins goalies
Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	xGA	GSAx	TOI
1J. Swayman(L)	32	30	2	.938	2.66	+0.66	60:00

Season series

Tied 4-4

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).

Boston Bruins at Washington Capitals

2nd period

3rd period

1st

3rd

Box score