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Boston Bruins at Washington Capitals

FinalTV ESPN+, NBCSWA·Capital One Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Boston Bruins beat the Washington Capitals 4-2. The Bruins scored first and never trailed. The Bruins led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was T.J. Oshie's goal at 10:27 of the second period, which took the Capitals' chances from 21% to 38%. Expected goals were close — BOS 2.8, WSH 3.0; shots on goal were BOS 32, WSH 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Jeremy Swayman stopped 31 of 33 (.939), 1.0 goals saved above expected; Ilya Samsonov stopped 28 of 32 (.875), 1.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Brad Marchand (1 G, 1 A), 2. Craig Smith (1 G, 1 A), 3. Alex Ovechkin (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BOS
    B. Marchand1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    BOS
    C. Smith1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    WSH
    A. Ovechkin1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BOSBOS2171718432
WSHWSH09214010233

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. BOS
    slapxG 0.01win prob +11 pts
    1-0
    0:33
  2. BOS
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.33win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    16:02

2nd period

  1. BOS
    backhandxG 0.10win prob +11 pts
    3-0
    4:09
  2. WSH
    J. Carlson (23), T. Oshie (17)
    slapxG 0.10win prob +11 pts
    3-1
    10:08
  3. WSH
    T. Oshie(12)PPG
    slapxG 0.12win prob +17 pts
    3-2
    10:27

3rd period

  1. BOS
    C. Smith(7)PPG
    wristxG 0.20win prob +6 pts
    4-2
    16:55

Penalties

BOS 21 PIM·WSH 15 PIM

1st

  • 4:04WSHTom Wilson · Trippingdrawn by Jakub Zboril2 min
  • 13:27WSHBrenden Dillon · Cross checkingdrawn by Patrice Bergeron2 min
  • 16:31BOSCharlie Coyle · Hookingdrawn by Daniel Carr2 min
  • 19:01WSHGarnet Hathaway · Fightingdrawn by Nick Ritchie5 min
  • 19:01BOSNick Ritchie · Fightingdrawn by Garnet Hathaway5 min
  • 19:01BOSNick Ritchie · Slashingdrawn by Garnet Hathaway2 min

2nd

  • 2:44BOSJakub Zboril · Trippingdrawn by Conor Sheary2 min
  • 8:39BOSAnton Blidh · Roughingdrawn by Lars Eller2 min
  • 8:39BOSAnton Blidh · Slashingdrawn by Lars Eller2 min
  • 10:04BOSJakub Zboril · Interferencedrawn by Conor Sheary2 min
  • 14:45WSHCarl Hagelin · Boardingdrawn by Steven Kampfer2 min

3rd

  • 6:43BOSBrad Marchand · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Garnet Hathaway2 min
  • 6:43WSHGarnet Hathaway · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Brad Marchand2 min
  • 15:20WSHDaniel Carr · Hookingdrawn by Sean Kuraly2 min
  • 19:55BOSBrad Marchand · Trippingdrawn by Alex Ovechkin2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WSH goalBOS goalFinal: WSH 0%

Biggest swing: T.J. Oshie, 2nd 10:27 — WSH 21% → 38%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Sheary · On goal · xG 0.29A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.26T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.23G. Hathaway · On goal · xG 0.17T. Oshie · Missed · xG 0.16G. Hathaway · Missed · xG 0.13D. Carr · On goal · xG 0.12T. Oshie · Goal · xG 0.12E. Kuznetsov · Missed · xG 0.11A. Ovechkin · Goal · xG 0.10N. Dowd · On goal · xG 0.10T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.10T. Wilson · Missed · xG 0.09E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.09E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.08T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.07N. Dowd · On goal · xG 0.07J. Vrana · On goal · xG 0.07E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.06J. Vrana · Missed · xG 0.05T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.05A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.05E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.04J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.04J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.04J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.04D. Carr · On goal · xG 0.03D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.03B. Dillon · On goal · xG 0.03T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.03A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.03J. Schultz · Missed · xG 0.03Z. Chara · On goal · xG 0.02J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Chara · On goal · xG 0.01J. Schultz · On goal · xG 0.01N. Jensen · On goal · xG 0.01J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Schultz · On goal · xG 0.00B. Dillon · On goal · xG 0.00
WSH2 G · 3.0 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BOSvsWSH
2.84 G
All situations
2 G3.0
1.92 G
Even strength
0 G2.2
0.61 G
Power play
2 G0.7
0.21 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BOS46%54%WSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.75 – 2.95

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BOSvsWSH
32
Shots on goal
33
58%
Faceoffs
42%
1/4
Power play
2/7
21
Penalty minutes
15
19
Hits
26
18
Blocked shots
9
2
Giveaways
6
11
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Boston Bruins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
86K. MillerD000000.03550—25:18
55J. LauzonD101+220.03220—25:10
37P. BergeronC011+210.160307821:01
48M. GrzelcykD000020.08010—20:56
63B. MarchandL112+240.2610410019:43
88D. PastrnakR000020.16100—18:46
75C. CliftonD000+310.06210—18:19
52S. KuralyC000030.280005514:48
46D. KrejciC000030.241004414:33
13C. CoyleC011+110.190022914:13
21N. RitchieL000020.19117—13:53
12C. SmithC112+120.28000013:33
74J. DeBruskL000030.080005013:06
14C. WagnerR000020.27330—12:21
67J. ZborilD011020.05224—11:56
44S. KampferD000+100.00000—11:35
81A. BlidhL101+120.43104—10:48
83K. KuhlmanC000+100.00000008:04
Boston Bruins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1J. Swayman(W)33312.9392.99+0.9960:00

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).