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Boston Bruins at Washington Capitals

FinalTV NBCSWA, NESN·Capital One Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Boston Bruins beat the Washington Capitals 5-3. The Bruins came back from three goals down. The Capitals led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brandon Carlo's goal at 17:23 of the third period, which took the Bruins' chances from 48% to 93%. Expected goals favored the Bruins, 2.7 to 2.0; shots on goal were BOS 33, WSH 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 50% of the time. Jaroslav Halak stopped 23 of 26 (.885), 1.0 goals below expected; Vitek Vanecek stopped 28 of 32 (.875), 2.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. David Pastrnak (2 G), 2. Brandon Carlo (1 G, 1 A), 3. Jakub Vrana (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BOS
    D. Pastrnak2 G
  2. ★★
    BOS
    B. Carlo1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    WSH
    J. Vrana2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BOSBOS0819416533
WSHWSH2151506326

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. WSH
    slapxG 0.04win prob +14 pts
    0-1
    13:26
  2. WSH
    wristxG 0.08win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    13:37

2nd period

  1. WSH
    wristxG 0.06win prob +7 pts
    0-3
    8:35
  2. BOS
    slapxG 0.12win prob +8 pts
    1-3
    12:37

3rd period

  1. BOS
    wristxG 0.08win prob +14 pts
    2-3
    6:08
  2. BOS
    snapxG 0.15win prob +32 pts
    3-3
    13:07
  3. BOS
    slapxG 0.07win prob +45 pts
    4-3
    17:23
  4. BOS
    wristxG 0.70win prob +5 pts
    5-3
    18:34

Penalties

BOS 13 PIM·WSH 13 PIM

1st

  • 8:18BOSKevan Miller · Interferencedrawn by Carl Hagelin2 min
  • 18:23BOSJakub Zboril · Cross checkingdrawn by T.J. Oshie2 min

2nd

  • 3:07WSHT.J. Oshie · Holdingdrawn by Jakub Zboril2 min
  • 4:09WSHGarnet Hathaway · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 7:19BOSJeremy Lauzon · Hookingdrawn by Tom Wilson2 min
  • 9:03BOSDavid Krejci · Interferencedrawn by Trevor van Riemsdyk2 min
  • 13:51WSHNic Dowd · Trippingdrawn by David Pastrnak2 min

3rd

  • 8:49BOSTrent Frederic · Fightingdrawn by Tom Wilson5 min
  • 8:49WSHTom Wilson · Fightingdrawn by Trent Frederic5 min
  • 10:02WSHAlex Ovechkin · Slashingdrawn by Nick Ritchie2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WSH goalBOS goalFinal: WSH 0%

Biggest swing: Brandon Carlo, 3rd 17:23 — BOS 48% → 93%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Vrana · On goal · xG 0.22A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.14A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.09T. Oshie · Missed · xG 0.09A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.09T. Wilson · Missed · xG 0.08D. Sprong · Goal · xG 0.08J. Vrana · On goal · xG 0.08N. Dowd · Missed · xG 0.08T. Oshie · Missed · xG 0.08A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.08N. Dowd · On goal · xG 0.07A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.07J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.06A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.06J. Carlson · Goal · xG 0.06J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.04T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.04C. Hagelin · On goal · xG 0.04Z. Chara · Goal · xG 0.04N. Dowd · Missed · xG 0.03A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.03Z. Chara · On goal · xG 0.03M. Sgarbossa · On goal · xG 0.03T. Oshie · Missed · xG 0.03N. Backstrom · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Chara · Missed · xG 0.02B. Dillon · Missed · xG 0.02J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.02J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.02J. Vrana · On goal · xG 0.02J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.02R. Panik · Missed · xG 0.02C. Sheary · Missed · xG 0.01N. Dowd · Missed · xG 0.01N. Backstrom · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Chara · On goal · xG 0.01R. Panik · On goal · xG 0.01B. Dillon · On goal · xG 0.00N. Jensen · On goal · xG 0.00N. Backstrom · On goal · xG 0.00
WSH3 G · 2.0 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BOSvsWSH
2.74 G
All situations
3 G2.0
1.54 G
Even strength
2 G0.9
0.50 G
Power play
1 G1.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BOS50%50%WSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.98 – 1.99

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BOSvsWSH
33
Shots on goal
26
50%
Faceoffs
50%
0/4
Power play
1/4
13
Penalty minutes
13
27
Hits
17
8
Blocked shots
19
2
Giveaways
11
8
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Boston Bruins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
73C. McAvoyD011+410.09110—21:47
63B. MarchandL112+230.91400—21:37
37P. BergeronC000+230.022105020:32
88D. PastrnakR202+170.56100—20:00
25B. CarloD112+220.10010—19:16
86K. MillerD000000.00102—19:01
46D. KrejciC011+210.040027018:41
55J. LauzonD011+120.04442—18:34
21N. RitchieL011+140.38000—18:33
67J. ZborilD011010.02112—16:49
12C. SmithC101+130.26100016:05
13C. CoyleC000-110.060005415:55
75C. CliftonD000-110.06300—15:14
52S. KuralyC011+100.003002013:24
14C. WagnerR011030.10200—12:43
10A. BjorkL000+100.02300—10:26
11T. FredericC000-110.00005009:05
83K. KuhlmanC000000.03100005:33
Boston Bruins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41J. Halak(W)26233.8851.99-1.0159:29

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).