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Coyotes at Ducks
NHL

Utah Mammoth at Anaheim Ducks

NHL scoreboard
Utah Mammoth
▸4
Anaheim Ducks
2
FinalTV BSAZ+, BSW·Honda Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Utah Mammoth beat the Anaheim Ducks 4-2. The Ducks scored first; the Coyotes answered. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Phil Kessel's goal at 12:02 of the third period, which took the Coyotes' chances from 48% to 83%. Expected goals were close — ARI 2.2, ANA 2.2; shots on goal were ARI 31, ANA 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Coyotes win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Adin Hill stopped 27 of 29 (.931); Anthony Stolarz stopped 27 of 31 (.871), 1.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Johan Larsson (1 G), 2. Jamie Drysdale (1 A), 3. Jakob Chychrun.

Three stars

  1. ★
    ARI
    J. Larsson1 G
  2. ★★
    ANA
    J. Drysdale1 A
  3. ★★★
    ARI
    J. Chychrun

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ARIARI11411027431
ANAANA16113010229

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. ANA
    A. Volkov(4)
    M. Comtois (12), J. Drysdale (2)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +14 pts
    0-1
    16:06
  2. ARI
    J. Larsson(5)
    P. Kessel (13), J. Gross (1)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +15 pts
    1-1
    18:43

2nd period

  1. ANA
    J. Silfverberg(7)
    D. Grant (5), C. Fowler (13)
    tip-inxG 0.13win prob +16 pts
    1-2
    4:28
  2. ARI
    L. Pederson(1)
    C. Dvorak (10), A. Goligoski (6)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +18 pts
    2-2
    10:47

3rd period

  1. ARI
    P. Kessel(15)
    N. Schmaltz (14), J. Gross (2)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +35 pts
    3-2
    12:02
  2. ARI
    N. Schmaltz(9)
    J. Gross (3)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +9 pts
    4-2
    16:56

Penalties

ARI 14 PIM·ANA 14 PIM

1st

  • 0:43ANAJamie Drysdale · Interferencedrawn by Conor Garland2 min
  • 10:03ANANicolas Deslauriers · Fightingdrawn by John Hayden5 min
  • 10:03ARIJohn Hayden · Fightingdrawn by Nicolas Deslauriers5 min

2nd

  • 11:48ANAAdam Henrique · Fightingdrawn by Johan Larsson5 min
  • 11:48ARIJohan Larsson · Fightingdrawn by Adam Henrique5 min
  • 14:36ARIPhil Kessel · Slashingdrawn by Max Jones2 min

3rd

  • 16:56ANAserved by N. Deslauriers · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
  • 19:15ARINick Schmaltz · Trippingdrawn by Max Jones2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalARI goalFinal: ANA 0%

Biggest swing: Phil Kessel, 3rd 12:02 — ARI 48% → 83%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Volkov · On goal · xG 0.20D. Grant · On goal · xG 0.17A. Volkov · Goal · xG 0.16T. Zegras · On goal · xG 0.13J. Silfverberg · Goal · xG 0.13N. Deslauriers · On goal · xG 0.11M. Jones · On goal · xG 0.10J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.09T. Zegras · On goal · xG 0.09A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.09D. Grant · Missed · xG 0.09T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.09T. Terry · Missed · xG 0.08D. Heinen · On goal · xG 0.07A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.07D. Heinen · On goal · xG 0.06T. Zegras · On goal · xG 0.05T. Zegras · On goal · xG 0.05J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.04T. Zegras · On goal · xG 0.04K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.04J. Silfverberg · Missed · xG 0.04T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.03D. Grant · Missed · xG 0.03N. Deslauriers · Missed · xG 0.03C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.02T. Zegras · On goal · xG 0.02M. Jones · On goal · xG 0.01I. Lundeström · On goal · xG 0.01D. Grant · On goal · xG 0.01J. Hakanpää · On goal · xG 0.01J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.00K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.00J. Manson · Missed · xG 0.00B. Hutton · On goal · xG 0.00
ANA2 G · 2.2 xG · 35 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ARIvsANA
2.24 G
All situations
2 G2.2
2.14 G
Even strength
2 G2.0
0.20 G
Power play
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 74 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ARI51%49%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.18 – 2.14

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ARIvsANA
31
Shots on goal
29
44%
Faceoffs
56%
0/2
Power play
0/2
14
Penalty minutes
14
30
Hits
22
11
Blocked shots
8
9
Giveaways
13
6
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
23O. Ekman-LarssonD000040.22200—22:54
6J. ChychrunD000+130.11110—21:55
33A. GoligoskiD011+100.00020—21:51
46I. LyubushkinD000020.05400—19:36
8N. SchmaltzC112+130.301023618:32
81P. KesselR112+240.24002—17:51
82J. OesterleD000+100.00100—17:45
58M. BuntingL000010.27200—17:16
83C. GarlandR000+130.18020—16:50
18C. DvorakC011020.133004215:10
79J. GrossD033+100.00230—15:04
67L. CrouseL000010.20410—14:44
9C. KellerR000000.00010—14:39
16D. BrassardC000010.183005014:23
36C. FischerR000+210.05210—13:37
93L. PedersonC101-120.12200012:45
22J. LarssonL101+140.170055812:01
15J. HaydenC000000.00305010:22
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31A. Hill(W)29272.9312.16+0.1660:00

Season series

ARI leads 6-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).