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Ducks at Coyotes
NHL

Anaheim Ducks at Utah Mammoth

NHL scoreboard
Anaheim Ducks
3
Utah Mammoth
▸4
FinalTV FS-A PLUS, FS-SD·Gila River Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Utah Mammoth beat the Anaheim Ducks 4-3. The Coyotes came back from three goals down. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Christian Dvorak's goal at 3:52 of the third period, which took the Coyotes' chances from 56% to 78%. Expected goals favored the Coyotes, 3.3 to 2.7; shots on goal were ANA 28, ARI 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Coyotes win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. John Gibson stopped 21 of 25 (.840), 1.2 goals below expected; Darcy Kuemper stopped 25 of 28 (.893). Three stars: 1. Christian Dvorak (2 G), 2. Jakob Chychrun (1 G, 1 A), 3. Derick Brassard (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ARI
    C. Dvorak2 G
  2. ★★
    ARI
    J. Chychrun1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    ARI
    D. Brassard1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ANAANA2161606328
ARIARI0831314425

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. ANA
    J. Silfverberg(4)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.13win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    3:09
  2. ANA
    M. Jones(2)PPG
    M. Comtois (3), C. Fowler (5)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +15 pts
    2-0
    12:27

2nd period

  1. ANA
    C. Fowler(2)
    R. Getzlaf (6), M. Comtois (4)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +11 pts
    3-0
    1:53
  2. ARI
    C. Dvorak(8)Penalty shot
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.19win prob +9 pts
    3-1
    8:15
  3. ARI
    D. Brassard(3)
    C. Garland (9), P. Kessel (6)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +17 pts
    3-2
    10:21
  4. ARI
    J. Chychrun(4)
    D. Caggiula (6), C. Keller (7)
    backhandxG 0.16win prob +20 pts
    3-3
    12:02

3rd period

  1. ARI
    C. Dvorak(9)PPG
    J. Chychrun (9), C. Keller (8)
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +22 pts
    3-4
    3:52

Penalties

ANA 22 PIM·ARI 24 PIM

1st

  • 3:39ANARickard Rakell · Interferencedrawn by Christian Dvorak2 min
  • 10:33ARITyler Pitlick · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 10:55ARINiklas Hjalmarsson · Trippingdrawn by Jakob Silfverberg2 min
  • 12:27ANAMax Jones · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Darcy Kuemper2 min
  • 12:27ANARyan Getzlaf · Roughingdrawn by Lawson Crouse2 min
  • 12:27ARILawson Crouse · Roughingdrawn by Ryan Getzlaf2 min
  • 12:27ARIDarcy Kuemper · Roughingdrawn by Max Jones2 min
  • 12:27ARIDarcy Kuemper · Roughingdrawn by Troy Terry2 min
  • 18:01ARIJohn Hayden · Fightingdrawn by Max Jones5 min
  • 18:01ANAMax Jones · Fightingdrawn by John Hayden5 min
  • 19:47ARILawson Crouse · Cross checkingdrawn by Derek Grant2 min
  • 19:47ARILawson Crouse · Fightingdrawn by Derek Grant5 min
  • 19:47ANADerek Grant · Fightingdrawn by Lawson Crouse5 min

2nd

  • 3:58ANAIsac Lundeström · Elbowingdrawn by Alex Goligoski2 min
  • 7:43ARIserved by C. Garland · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 8:15ANAJakob Silfverberg · Ps hooking on breakawaydrawn by Christian Dvorak0 min
  • 12:48ANAJani Hakanpää · High stickingdrawn by Clayton Keller2 min

3rd

  • 2:17ANATroy Terry · Hookingdrawn by Clayton Keller2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ARI goalANA goalFinal: ARI 100%

Biggest swing: Christian Dvorak, 3rd 3:52 — ARI 56% → 78%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Garland · Missed · xG 0.44C. Dvorak · Missed · xG 0.29N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.23P. Kessel · Missed · xG 0.23C. Dvorak · Goal · xG 0.19J. Chychrun · Goal · xG 0.16C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.15D. Brassard · On goal · xG 0.14C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.13J. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.13P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.12C. Dvorak · Goal · xG 0.12N. Schmaltz · Missed · xG 0.10C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.09D. Brassard · Goal · xG 0.08C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.08D. Caggiula · Missed · xG 0.08N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.08N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.07J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.06C. Garland · Missed · xG 0.04D. Caggiula · On goal · xG 0.03J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.03J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.02I. Lyubushkin · On goal · xG 0.02A. Goligoski · On goal · xG 0.02N. Hjalmarsson · On goal · xG 0.02O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.02O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.02A. Goligoski · On goal · xG 0.02N. Hjalmarsson · On goal · xG 0.02J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.02I. Lyubushkin · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hjalmarsson · On goal · xG 0.01
ARI4 G · 3.3 xG · 34 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ANAvsARI
2.73 G
All situations
4 G3.3
1.42 G
Even strength
3 G1.9
1.21 G
Power play
1 G0.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 75 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ANA48%52%ARI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.63 – 2.76

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ANAvsARI
28
Shots on goal
25
53%
Faceoffs
47%
1/5
Power play
1/4
22
Penalty minutes
24
25
Hits
24
11
Blocked shots
14
10
Giveaways
10
4
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Anaheim Ducks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4C. FowlerD112+120.08010—25:05
67R. RakellR000-160.71002—21:26
22K. ShattenkirkD000-110.08200—20:25
23S. SteelC000+100.151106420:22
33J. SilfverbergR101+110.18000—19:56
28J. HakanpääD000010.01622—19:18
53M. ComtoisL022030.27400—18:08
7B. HuttonD000010.00020—17:46
32J. LarssonD000010.01120—16:57
15R. GetzlafC011+120.351124416:21
48I. LundestromC000010.231122216:14
49M. JonesL101010.08307—13:55
76J. MahuraD000-120.07000—13:17
46T. ZegrasC000+120.14000013:14
61T. TerryR000+130.28002—13:13
38D. GrantC000-110.013156211:21
20N. DeslauriersL000-100.00100—08:29
24C. RowneyC000-100.0020010008:23
Anaheim Ducks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
36J. Gibson(L)25214.8402.84-1.1658:35

Season series

ARI leads 6-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).