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Utah Mammoth at Anaheim Ducks

FinalTV FS-A, FS-SD·Honda Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Utah Mammoth beat the Anaheim Ducks 5-1. The Coyotes scored first and never trailed. The Coyotes led 4-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jakob Chychrun's goal at 5:35 of the first period, which took the Coyotes' chances from 58% to 73%. Expected goals favored the Ducks, 2.2 to 1.9; shots on goal were ARI 28, ANA 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Ducks win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Antti Raanta stopped 27 of 28 (.964), 1.2 goals saved above expected; Anthony Stolarz stopped 12 of 14 (.857), 1.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Derick Brassard (3 G), 2. Jakob Chychrun (1 G, 1 A), 3. Adam Henrique (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ARI
    D. Brassard3 G
  2. ★★
    ARI
    J. Chychrun1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    ANA
    A. Henrique1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ARIARI3141519528
ANAANA05010113128

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. ARI
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    2:53
  2. ARI
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.02win prob +15 pts
    2-0
    5:35
  3. ARI
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +11 pts
    3-0
    15:22

2nd period

  1. ARI
    slapxG 0.12win prob +6 pts
    4-0
    0:36

3rd period

  1. ARI
    wristxG 0.21
    5-0
    12:17
  2. ANA
    tip-inxG 0.11
    5-1
    14:27

Penalties

ARI 4 PIM·ANA 4 PIM

1st

  • 13:14ARIJakob Chychrun · Hookingdrawn by Troy Terry2 min
  • 13:49ANARickard Rakell · Trippingdrawn by Alex Goligoski2 min

2nd

  • 11:14ANABen Hutton · Slashingdrawn by Phil Kessel2 min

3rd

  • 1:52ARIJordan Oesterle · Trippingdrawn by Trevor Zegras2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalARI goalFinal: ANA 0%

Biggest swing: Jakob Chychrun, 1st 5:35 — ARI 58% → 73%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.15A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.13A. Henrique · Goal · xG 0.11D. Heinen · On goal · xG 0.11A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.11T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.11J. Hakanpää · On goal · xG 0.10J. Hakanpää · On goal · xG 0.10D. Grant · On goal · xG 0.09M. Comtois · Missed · xG 0.09R. Getzlaf · Missed · xG 0.09I. Lundeström · On goal · xG 0.09M. Jones · On goal · xG 0.08K. Shattenkirk · Missed · xG 0.07J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.07R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.07R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.06C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.05T. Zegras · Missed · xG 0.05C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.05M. Jones · On goal · xG 0.05J. Hakanpää · On goal · xG 0.04T. Terry · Missed · xG 0.04J. Drysdale · On goal · xG 0.04J. Drysdale · Missed · xG 0.04D. Grant · On goal · xG 0.03J. Drysdale · On goal · xG 0.03J. Drysdale · On goal · xG 0.03M. Comtois · On goal · xG 0.03T. Zegras · On goal · xG 0.03C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.02J. Drysdale · Missed · xG 0.02D. Heinen · On goal · xG 0.02J. Drysdale · Missed · xG 0.01J. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.01B. Hutton · On goal · xG 0.01
ANA1 G · 2.2 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ARIvsANA
1.95 G
All situations
1 G2.2
1.84 G
Even strength
1 G1.8
0.11 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 76 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ARI43%57%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.88 – 2.23

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ARIvsANA
28
Shots on goal
28
48%
Faceoffs
52%
1/2
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
16
Hits
37
13
Blocked shots
10
10
Giveaways
12
3
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
33A. GoligoskiD000+310.05020—22:38
6J. ChychrunD112+220.08222—21:15
23O. Ekman-LarssonD011+130.18000—19:35
4N. HjalmarssonD000000.00010—19:02
82J. OesterleD000020.12102—18:50
18C. DvorakC000010.012006018:37
46I. LyubushkinD000010.01210—17:28
81P. KesselR011010.07000—16:56
83C. GarlandR011+230.09010—16:18
8N. SchmaltzC011+240.251103316:01
91D. CaggiulaL000000.00110—15:28
67L. CrouseL000+200.072205014:26
17T. PitlickC011+220.06210014:20
16D. BrassardC303+230.321003113:54
9C. KellerR101+210.31000—13:47
22J. LarssonL000-110.161006713:28
24H. FaschingR000-120.09010—12:10
36C. FischerR000-110.02100—11:47
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32A. Raanta(W)28271.9642.23+1.2360:00

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).