Columbus Blue Jackets at Detroit Red Wings
Recap
written from the game dataThe Detroit Red Wings beat the Columbus Blue Jackets 3-1. The Red Wings scored first and never trailed. The Red Wings led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Anthony Mantha's goal at 4:42 of the third period, which took the Red Wings' chances from 78% to 94%. Expected goals favored the Red Wings, 3.2 to 1.8; shots on goal were CBJ 22, DET 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Red Wings win a replay of these chances 74% of the time. Elvis Merzlikins stopped 31 of 34 (.912); Calvin Pickard stopped 21 of 22 (.955), 0.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Dylan Larkin (2 A), 2. Calvin Pickard (21 saves, .955), 3. Robby Fabbri (1 G).
Three stars
- ★D. Larkin2 A

- ★★C. Pickard21 saves, .955

- ★★★R. Fabbri1 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
4 goals1st period
0-18:29
0-28:58
2nd period
1-211:43
3rd period
1-34:42
Penalties
1st
- 9:37
David Savard · Trippingdrawn by Sam Gagner2 min
- 11:28
Boone Jenner · Slashingdrawn by Filip Hronek2 min
2nd
- 15:12
Robby Fabbri · Holdingdrawn by Boone Jenner2 min
3rd
- 15:04
Vladislav Gavrikov · Trippingdrawn by Robby Fabbri2 min
- 15:20
Zach Werenski · Cross checkingdrawn by Michael Rasmussen2 min
- 15:20
Michael Rasmussen · Slashingdrawn by Zach Werenski2 min
- 15:20
Michael Rasmussen · Interferencedrawn by Zach Werenski2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Anthony Mantha, 3rd 4:42 — 78% → 94%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 1.81 G
- All situations
- 3 G3.2
- 1.51 G
- Even strength
- 3 G2.5
- 0.30 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.6
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 78 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.75 – 3.13
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 22
- Shots on goal
- 34
- 48%
- Faceoffs
- 52%
- 0/2
- Power play
- 0/3
- 8
- Penalty minutes
- 6
- 25
- Hits
- 15
- 16
- Blocked shots
- 10
- 7
- Giveaways
- 5
- 5
- Takeaways
- 4
Box score
every player line
Season series
Tied 4-4
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).




















