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Blue Jackets at Red Wings
NHL

Columbus Blue Jackets at Detroit Red Wings

FinalTV FS-D, FS-O·Little Caesars Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Detroit Red Wings beat the Columbus Blue Jackets 3-1. The Red Wings scored first and never trailed. The Red Wings led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Anthony Mantha's goal at 4:42 of the third period, which took the Red Wings' chances from 78% to 94%. Expected goals favored the Red Wings, 3.2 to 1.8; shots on goal were CBJ 22, DET 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Red Wings win a replay of these chances 74% of the time. Elvis Merzlikins stopped 31 of 34 (.912); Calvin Pickard stopped 21 of 22 (.955), 0.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Dylan Larkin (2 A), 2. Calvin Pickard (21 saves, .955), 3. Robby Fabbri (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DET
    D. Larkin2 A
  2. ★★
    DET
    C. Pickard21 saves, .955
  3. ★★★
    DET
    R. Fabbri1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CBJCBJ051908122
DETDET21608110334

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. DET
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    8:29
  2. DET
    D. Larkin (11), F. Zadina (10)
    snapxG 0.09win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    8:58

2nd period

  1. CBJ
    wristxG 0.22win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    11:43

3rd period

  1. DET
    snapxG 0.12win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    4:42

Penalties

CBJ 8 PIM·DET 6 PIM

1st

  • 9:37CBJDavid Savard · Trippingdrawn by Sam Gagner2 min
  • 11:28CBJBoone Jenner · Slashingdrawn by Filip Hronek2 min

2nd

  • 15:12DETRobby Fabbri · Holdingdrawn by Boone Jenner2 min

3rd

  • 15:04CBJVladislav Gavrikov · Trippingdrawn by Robby Fabbri2 min
  • 15:20CBJZach Werenski · Cross checkingdrawn by Michael Rasmussen2 min
  • 15:20DETMichael Rasmussen · Slashingdrawn by Zach Werenski2 min
  • 15:20DETMichael Rasmussen · Interferencedrawn by Zach Werenski2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DET goalCBJ goalFinal: DET 100%

Biggest swing: Anthony Mantha, 3rd 4:42 — DET 78% → 94%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Fabbri · On goal · xG 0.29D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.28A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.21B. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.18J. Merrill · On goal · xG 0.12S. Gagner · Missed · xG 0.12A. Mantha · Goal · xG 0.12D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.11F. Zadina · On goal · xG 0.11D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.11A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.10A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.09L. Glendening · On goal · xG 0.09R. Fabbri · Goal · xG 0.09D. Larkin · Missed · xG 0.08V. Namestnikov · Missed · xG 0.08A. Erne · Goal · xG 0.07F. Zadina · On goal · xG 0.07A. Mantha · Missed · xG 0.07D. Larkin · Missed · xG 0.07V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.07D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.06F. Zadina · On goal · xG 0.06M. Rasmussen · On goal · xG 0.04D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.04J. Merrill · On goal · xG 0.04D. Larkin · Missed · xG 0.04L. Glendening · On goal · xG 0.03F. Hronek · Missed · xG 0.03F. Zadina · On goal · xG 0.03A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.03F. Zadina · On goal · xG 0.03E. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.02P. Nemeth · On goal · xG 0.02P. Nemeth · On goal · xG 0.02M. Staal · On goal · xG 0.02A. Mantha · Missed · xG 0.02M. Staal · Missed · xG 0.02V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.02D. DeKeyser · On goal · xG 0.01P. Nemeth · On goal · xG 0.01D. DeKeyser · Missed · xG 0.01D. Helm · On goal · xG 0.01D. Helm · On goal · xG 0.01P. Nemeth · Missed · xG 0.01L. Glendening · Missed · xG 0.01D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.00
DET3 G · 3.2 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CBJvsDET
1.81 G
All situations
3 G3.2
1.51 G
Even strength
3 G2.5
0.30 G
Power play
0 G0.6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 78 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CBJ26%74%DET

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.75 – 3.13

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CBJvsDET
22
Shots on goal
34
48%
Faceoffs
52%
0/2
Power play
0/3
8
Penalty minutes
6
25
Hits
15
16
Blocked shots
10
7
Giveaways
5
5
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Columbus Blue Jackets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
3S. JonesD000-160.19210—26:11
8Z. WerenskiD000-100.01022—24:17
28O. BjorkstrandR000-200.00110—19:32
38B. JennerC011040.301325618:31
71N. FolignoL101+120.3430010018:11
58D. SavardD000-110.05312—18:09
44V. GavrikovD000-110.21052—17:03
15M. Del ZottoD000000.00310—16:47
42A. TexierL011+110.07400—16:16
16M. DomiC000-100.0400010016:08
53G. CarlssonD000010.02100—16:02
96J. RoslovicC000-230.181002015:17
29P. LaineL000-200.12000—14:45
13C. AtkinsonR000-110.07100—14:10
50E. RobinsonL000010.15110—13:31
11K. StenlundC000000.002006012:34
49R. MacInnisC000010.011003610:02
23S. MatteauC000000.00110009:30
Columbus Blue Jackets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
90E. Merzlikins(L)34313.9123.17+0.1757:13

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).