Blue Jackets at Red Wings 2-3 — Recap, Win Probability & Shot Map

NHL scoreboard

Columbus Blue Jackets

Detroit Red Wings

▸3

Final/OTTV ESPN+, FS-D·Little Caesars Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Detroit Red Wings beat the Columbus Blue Jackets 3-2 in overtime, Tyler Bertuzzi scoring at 0:15. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Red Wings led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tyler Bertuzzi's goal at 0:15 of overtime, which took the Red Wings' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals were close — CBJ 1.6, DET 1.5; shots on goal were CBJ 24, DET 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blue Jackets win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Elvis Merzlikins stopped 24 of 27 (.889), 1.5 goals below expected; Jonathan Bernier stopped 22 of 24 (.917). Three stars: 1. Dylan Larkin (2 A), 2. Bobby Ryan (1 G), 3. Tyler Bertuzzi (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

★
D. Larkin2 A
★★
B. Ryan1 G
★★★
T. Bertuzzi1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath

Goals and shots on goal by period
Team	1st	2nd	3rd	OT	T
CBJ	08	18	18	00	224
DET	07	210	08	12	327

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

B. Jenner(2)
M. Domi (1), D. Savard (1)
wristxG 0.03win prob +16 pts
1-0
1:38
A. Mantha(1)PPG
T. Bertuzzi (2), D. Larkin (1)
wristxG 0.09win prob +14 pts
1-1
3:37
B. Ryan(4)
J. Merrill (1), F. Nielsen (1)
deflectedxG 0.06win prob +20 pts
1-2
14:17

3rd period

A. Texier(3)
D. Kukan (1), O. Bjorkstrand (2)
slapxG 0.03win prob +27 pts
2-2
5:04

Overtime

T. Bertuzzi(1)
D. Larkin (2)
deflectedxG 0.40win prob +49 pts
2-3
0:15

Penalties

2 PIM·

4 PIM

2nd

1:52Pierre-Luc Dubois · Hookingdrawn by Filip Zadina2 min
8:43Marc Staal · Hookingdrawn by Cam Atkinson2 min

3rd

5:04served by B. Ryan · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game

Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number

goal

goalFinal: DET

100%

Biggest swing: Tyler Bertuzzi, OT 0:15 — DET 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG

3 G · 1.5 xG · 38 att

←

attacks

attacks →

2 G · 1.6 xG · 35 att DET

3 G · 1.5 xG · 38 att

Tap a shot for who, when and how likely

GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

1.62 G
All situations: 3 G1.5; 0.92 G
Even strength: 2 G1.2; 0.50 G
Power play: 1 G0.2; 0.20 G
Shorthanded: 0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 73 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created

54%46%

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.56 – 1.39

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

24
Shots on goal: 27; 36%
Faceoffs: 64%; 0/2
Power play: 1/1; 2
Penalty minutes: 4; 15
Hits: 12; 17
Blocked shots: 10; 10
Giveaways: 11; 2
Takeaways: 3

Box score

every player line

Columbus Blue Jackets skaters
Skater	G	A	P	+/-	SOG	ixG	Hit	Blk	PIM	FO%	TOI
3S. JonesD	0	0	0	-2	2	0.10	3	0	0	—	24:06
8Z. WerenskiD	0	0	0	-1	2	0.06	1	0	0	—	22:52
58D. SavardD	0	1	1	+1	1	0.04	2	2	0	—	19:51
13C. AtkinsonR	0	0	0	-1	1	0.10	0	0	0	—	19:30
44V. GavrikovD	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	3	0	—	18:47
71N. FolignoL	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	3	0	50	18:20
18P. DuboisC	0	0	0	0	1	0.16	0	1	2	47	17:42
28O. BjorkstrandR	0	1	1	+1	2	0.25	1	1	0	—	17:29
38B. JennerC	1	0	1	0	3	0.07	0	4	0	0	16:09
15M. Del ZottoD	0	0	0	+2	0	0.00	0	0	0	—	16:00
42A. TexierL	1	0	1	+1	2	0.13	0	0	0	—	15:25
16M. DomiC	0	1	1	-1	2	0.17	0	0	0	14	15:03
46D. KukanD	0	1	1	+1	2	0.02	2	1	0	—	14:38
20R. NashC	0	0	0	0	1	0.08	0	1	0	36	13:24
52E. BemstromC	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	0	1	0	0	13:11
19L. FoudyC	0	0	0	+1	1	0.03	0	0	0	100	12:54
25M. GrigorenkoC	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	0	12:17
50E. RobinsonL	0	0	0	0	3	0.31	2	0	0	—	11:22

Columbus Blue Jackets goalies
Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	xGA	GSAx	TOI
90E. Merzlikins(O)	27	24	3	.889	1.46	-1.54	59:46

Season series

Tied 4-4

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).

Columbus Blue Jackets at Detroit Red Wings

2nd period

3rd period

Overtime

2nd

3rd

Box score