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Golden Knights at Wild
NHL

Vegas Golden Knights at Minnesota Wild

NHL scoreboard
Vegas Golden Knights
3
Minnesota Wild
▸4
FinalTV NBCSN·Xcel Energy Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Vegas Golden Knights 4-3. The Wild scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kirill Kaprizov's goal at 1:18 of the third period, which took the Wild's chances from 58% to 76%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 2.9 to 1.7; shots on goal were VGK 27, MIN 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 25 of 29 (.862), 1.6 goals below expected; Kaapo Kahkonen stopped 24 of 27 (.889), 1.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Joel Eriksson Ek (2 G), 2. Kirill Kaprizov (1 G), 3. Carson Soucy (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    J. Eriksson Ek2 G
  2. ★★
    MIN
    K. Kaprizov1 G
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    C. Soucy1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VGKVGK1609212327
MINMIN1908314431

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. MIN
    J. Eriksson Ek(9)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.12win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    0:19
  2. VGK
    D. Coghlan(1)
    N. Roy (2)
    snapxG 0.11win prob +11 pts
    1-1
    1:42

3rd period

  1. MIN
    K. Kaprizov(7)PPG
    M. Zuccarello (10), N. Bjugstad (5)
    backhandxG 0.04win prob +18 pts
    1-2
    1:18
  2. MIN
    J. Eriksson Ek(10)
    J. Greenway (14), M. Foligno (9)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    5:54
  3. MIN
    C. Soucy(1)
    N. Sturm (2), K. Rau (1)
    slapxG 0.10win prob +4 pts
    1-4
    7:41
  4. VGK
    D. Coghlan(2)
    A. Martinez (10), C. Stephenson (8)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +1 pts
    2-4
    14:00
  5. VGK
    D. Coghlan(3)
    S. Theodore (12), M. Stone (22)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +5 pts
    3-4
    17:50

Penalties

VGK 6 PIM·MIN 6 PIM

1st

  • 15:59VGKNicolas Roy · Slashingdrawn by Zach Parise2 min

2nd

  • 2:18MINZach Parise · Holdingdrawn by Alex Tuch2 min

3rd

  • 0:53VGKNicolas Hague · Holdingdrawn by Mats Zuccarello2 min
  • 8:40MINKirill Kaprizov · Slashingdrawn by Chandler Stephenson2 min
  • 13:43VGKKeegan Kolesar · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Carson Soucy2 min
  • 13:43MINCarson Soucy · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Keegan Kolesar2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalVGK goalFinal: MIN 100%

Biggest swing: Kirill Kaprizov, 3rd 1:18 — MIN 58% → 76%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
K. Kaprizov · Missed · xG 0.40K. Rau · On goal · xG 0.23M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.20K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.15Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.15N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.14J. Eriksson Ek · Goal · xG 0.11N. Sturm · On goal · xG 0.11K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.11C. Soucy · Goal · xG 0.10N. Sturm · Missed · xG 0.10M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.09N. Bonino · On goal · xG 0.08K. Rau · On goal · xG 0.08J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.07J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.07M. Zuccarello · Missed · xG 0.06J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.05J. Eriksson Ek · Goal · xG 0.05M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.05J. Greenway · On goal · xG 0.05K. Kaprizov · Goal · xG 0.05K. Rau · On goal · xG 0.04K. Kaprizov · Missed · xG 0.04K. Fiala · Missed · xG 0.04Z. Parise · Missed · xG 0.04K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.03N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.03K. Rau · On goal · xG 0.03Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.03R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.02N. Bonino · On goal · xG 0.01J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.01N. Bjugstad · Missed · xG 0.01K. Rau · On goal · xG 0.01N. Bonino · On goal · xG 0.01J. Brodin · Missed · xG 0.01R. Suter · Missed · xG 0.01M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.01I. Cole · On goal · xG 0.00
MIN4 G · 2.9 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VGKvsMIN
1.73 G
All situations
4 G2.9
1.23 G
Even strength
3 G1.9
0.60 G
Power play
1 G0.6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VGK36%64%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.71 – 2.44

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VGKvsMIN
27
Shots on goal
31
49%
Faceoffs
51%
0/2
Power play
1/2
6
Penalty minutes
6
17
Hits
14
9
Blocked shots
19
8
Giveaways
14
5
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Vegas Golden Knights skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
27S. TheodoreD011-110.12000—23:00
23A. MartinezD011-130.08010—21:13
67M. PaciorettyL000-230.2600010019:53
61M. StoneR011-110.02000—19:43
2Z. WhitecloudD000-110.01210—19:11
71W. KarlssonC000+110.022005618:48
52D. CoghlanD303+350.24110—18:23
19R. SmithR000+120.09100—18:21
89A. TuchR000+220.17000—17:41
20C. StephensonC011-100.001305017:22
3B. McNabbD000+120.05310—17:18
81J. MarchessaultR000+130.240005016:32
14N. HagueD000-100.08212—16:07
9C. GlassC000+120.201002914:26
10N. RoyC011+110.110022512:18
55K. KolesarR000-100.033123309:34
92T. NosekL000-100.000006309:14
75R. ReavesR000-100.00100—09:09
Vegas Golden Knights goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29M. Fleury(L)29254.8622.36-1.6448:21
36L. Thompson2201.0000.13+0.1308:15

Season series

MIN leads 5-3

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).