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Wild at Golden Knights
NHL

Minnesota Wild at Vegas Golden Knights

NHL scoreboard
Minnesota Wild
1
Vegas Golden Knights
▸5
FinalTV ATTSN-RM, FS-N+·T-Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the Minnesota Wild 5-1. The Golden Knights scored first and never trailed. The Golden Knights led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jonathan Marchessault's goal at 5:03 of the second period, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 70% to 85%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 3.6 to 3.1; shots on goal were MIN 37, VGK 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 69% of the time. Cam Talbot stopped 23 of 27 (.852), 1.8 goals below expected; Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 36 of 37 (.973), 2.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Alex Tuch (1 G, 1 A), 2. Marc-Andre Fleury (36 saves, .973), 3. Chandler Stephenson (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VGK
    A. Tuch1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    VGK
    M. Fleury36 saves, .973
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    C. Stephenson1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN01017020137
VGKVGK1121838528

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. VGK
    A. Tuch(9)
    C. Glass (6), N. Hague (5)
    snapxG 0.20win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    2:03

2nd period

  1. VGK
    J. Marchessault(7)
    A. Tuch (7), W. Karlsson (10)
    snapxG 0.07win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    5:03
  2. MIN
    M. Foligno(7)
    I. Cole (2), C. Soucy (5)
    wristxG 0.40win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    9:58

3rd period

  1. VGK
    M. Stone(5)
    C. Stephenson (6)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +11 pts
    1-3
    11:08
  2. VGK
    C. Stephenson(6)
    M. Stone (19), M. Pacioretty (7)
    backhandxG 0.10win prob +1 pts
    1-4
    16:38
  3. VGK
    W. Karlsson(6)EN
    N. Hague (6)
    wristxG 0.91
    1-5
    17:41

Penalties

MIN 6 PIM·VGK 8 PIM

1st

  • 12:37VGKRyan Reaves · Interferencedrawn by Kirill Kaprizov2 min
  • 16:27VGKShea Theodore · Trippingdrawn by Kevin Fiala2 min

2nd

  • 2:57MINIan Cole · Hookingdrawn by Max Pacioretty2 min
  • 18:46MINJordan Greenway · Interferencedrawn by William Carrier2 min

3rd

  • 8:00VGKNicolas Hague · Trippingdrawn by Marcus Foligno2 min
  • 9:59VGKAlex Pietrangelo · Roughingdrawn by Kevin Fiala2 min
  • 9:59MINKevin Fiala · Roughingdrawn by Alex Pietrangelo2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VGK goalMIN goalFinal: VGK 100%

Biggest swing: Jonathan Marchessault, 2nd 5:03 — VGK 70% → 85%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
W. Karlsson · Goal · xG 0.91M. Pacioretty · Missed · xG 0.21A. Tuch · Goal · xG 0.20W. Carrier · Missed · xG 0.17W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.12R. Smith · Missed · xG 0.11M. Stone · Goal · xG 0.10C. Stephenson · Goal · xG 0.09M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.08A. Martinez · On goal · xG 0.08M. Pacioretty · Missed · xG 0.08J. Marchessault · Goal · xG 0.07J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.07M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.06M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.06R. Reaves · On goal · xG 0.06M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.05A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.05A. Tuch · Missed · xG 0.05W. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.05A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.04C. Stephenson · On goal · xG 0.04S. Theodore · Missed · xG 0.04S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.03A. Martinez · Missed · xG 0.03S. Theodore · Missed · xG 0.03A. Martinez · On goal · xG 0.02J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.02N. Hague · On goal · xG 0.02A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.02M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.02M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.02K. Kolesar · Missed · xG 0.02M. Pacioretty · Missed · xG 0.02C. Stephenson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.01R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.01A. Martinez · On goal · xG 0.00J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.00
VGK5 G · 3.1 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsVGK
3.61 G
All situations
4 G3.1
2.71 G
Even strength
4 G2.0
0.80 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN69%31%VGK

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.30 – 2.18

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsVGK
37
Shots on goal
28
46%
Faceoffs
54%
0/3
Power play
0/2
6
Penalty minutes
8
23
Hits
25
17
Blocked shots
16
4
Giveaways
10
9
Takeaways
12

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
24M. DumbaD000-230.09120—23:16
25J. BrodinD000-220.04020—22:09
97K. KaprizovL000-150.81200—21:08
14J. Eriksson EkC000050.731404319:56
36M. ZuccarelloR000-120.07120—19:35
20R. SuterD000-200.00110—19:10
28I. ColeD011-140.13022—18:37
46J. SpurgeonD000-260.35200—17:16
22K. FialaL000-130.38012—17:10
18J. GreenwayL000-110.0910210016:58
21C. SoucyD011000.00200—16:08
17M. FolignoL101-210.40310—15:12
13N. BoninoC000-210.020005515:05
49V. RaskC000-200.002004013:51
27N. BjugstadC000010.041004311:59
7N. SturmC000-110.201006711:47
26G. MayhewC000010.17210009:28
37K. RauC000-110.07310008:03
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33C. Talbot(L)27234.8522.18-1.8259:12

Season series

MIN leads 5-3

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).