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Golden Knights at Wild
NHL

Vegas Golden Knights at Minnesota Wild

FinalTV NHLN, ATTSN-RM·Xcel Energy Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Vegas Golden Knights 2-0. The Wild scored first and never trailed. The Wild led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kevin Fiala's goal at 10:51 of the first period, which took the Wild's chances from 54% to 67%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 2.7 to 1.1; shots on goal were VGK 26, MIN 21. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 20 of 21 (.952), 0.8 goals saved above expected; Kaapo Kahkonen stopped 26 of 26 (1.000), 1.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Kaapo Kahkonen (26 saves, 1.000), 2. Kevin Fiala (1 G), 3. Marc-Andre Fleury (20 saves, .952).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    K. Kahkonen26 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    MIN
    K. Fiala1 G
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    M. Fleury20 saves, .952

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VGKVGK0501407026
MINMIN1100516221

Scoring

2 goals

1st period

  1. MIN
    wristxG 0.14win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    10:51

3rd period

  1. MIN
    xG 0.92win prob +2 pts
    0-2
    19:54

Penalties

VGK 4 PIM·MIN 6 PIM

1st

  • 6:44MINserved by M. Zuccarello · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 19:50MINJoel Eriksson Ek · Trippingdrawn by Chandler Stephenson2 min

2nd

  • 5:33MINRyan Suter · Trippingdrawn by Cody Glass2 min
  • 9:21VGKCody Glass · Hookingdrawn by Zach Parise2 min

3rd

  • 5:37VGKJonathan Marchessault · Trippingdrawn by Kirill Kaprizov2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalVGK goalFinal: MIN 100%

Biggest swing: Kevin Fiala, 1st 10:51 — MIN 54% → 67%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Brodin · Goal · xG 0.92Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.21K. Fiala · Missed · xG 0.20J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.17K. Fiala · Goal · xG 0.14Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.11K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.10Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.09J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.09K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.09K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.07N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.07N. Bjugstad · Missed · xG 0.05K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.05M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.05N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.04M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.04J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.04M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.04K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.02K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.02M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.02K. Fiala · Missed · xG 0.02K. Rau · On goal · xG 0.01R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.01
MIN2 G · 2.7 xG · 25 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VGKvsMIN
1.10 G
All situations
2 G2.7
0.80 G
Even strength
2 G1.6
0.30 G
Power play
0 G0.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 57 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VGK35%65%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.12 – 1.76

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VGKvsMIN
26
Shots on goal
21
57%
Faceoffs
43%
0/3
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
6
17
Hits
19
13
Blocked shots
14
3
Giveaways
1
5
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Vegas Golden Knights skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
27S. TheodoreD000-130.11010—26:13
23A. MartinezD000000.00110—24:37
2Z. WhitecloudD000000.01130—21:48
14N. HagueD000050.06400—21:38
89A. TuchR000-110.02010—21:02
20C. StephensonC000000.082105018:33
67M. PaciorettyL000-250.120006718:28
71W. KarlssonC000-100.001006817:59
19R. SmithR000-130.13100—17:09
81J. MarchessaultR000-110.030125016:39
9C. GlassC000-120.340022515:00
10N. RoyC000000.00020014:27
92T. NosekL000000.001006912:04
52D. CoghlanD000-100.00010—11:43
75R. ReavesR000010.06310—11:10
22N. HoldenD000-120.01110—10:12
55K. KolesarR000-110.04100—09:47
28W. CarrierL000020.11100—09:36
Vegas Golden Knights goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29M. Fleury(L)21201.9521.76+0.7658:19

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).